Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 Akureyri climbed out of the relegation zone in the city derby on September 19, thrashing Thor 3-0 at home. Their cushion remains slim-just two points with three matches left to play. Stjarnan, meanwhile, have nothing at stake, having secured their place in the Besta-deild before the international break.
Head-to-Head
Stjarnan Gardabaer claimed a 3-1 home victory over Akureyri in their most recent head-to-head clash in the league. The hosts went into halftime with a 2-0 lead and finished the match having registered 13 shots on target compared to the visitors’ five.
Across 22 official encounters, Stjarnan Gardabaer and Akureyri are level in terms of results, with each side claiming eight wins and six matches ending in a draw. Stjarnan Gardabaer hold a slight edge on goals scored, outscoring Akureyri 36 to 32. Notably, both teams have found the net in 15 of those meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Stjarnan - KA Akureyri
Stjarnan Gardabae Team Overview
Stjarnan Gardabaer suffered a 5-2 away defeat to Hafnarfjordur in their most recent Premier Division fixture. By halftime, they already trailed 0-4, despite dominating possession throughout the match (62%) and earning 11 corners compared to the hosts’ five.
Since late August, Stjarnan have been managed by a trio of coaches, including Brynjar Kristmundsson. Under their guidance, the team have suffered just one defeat in five matches-a 2-5 loss away to Hafnarfjordur. Despite matching Keflavik on points, Stjarnan missed out on a top-six finish and now sit second in the lower group, with no threat of relegation. Kristmundsson, however, refuses to let his side ease off: following the setback in Hafnarfjordur, he made it clear that Stjarnan owe the fans in Gardabaer a strong finish to the season.
Match Results: Stjarnan Gardabae
Akureyri Team Overview
At home, Akureyri cruised to a 3-0 victory over Thór Akureyri in their previous Premier Division outing. After a goalless first half, the hosts struck three times, completely outclassing their rivals in shots on target with a dominant 13-1 margin.
In August, Akureyri added Eidur Gudjohnsen-the former Chelsea and Barcelona striker-to their coaching staff. He now leads the team alongside Hallgrimur Jonasson. Since Gudjohnsen’s arrival, Akureyri have picked up seven points from five matches, climbing to tenth place in the table. However, they have conceded in ten consecutive away games. After the win over Thor, Gudjohnsen was quick to remind everyone that nothing has been decided yet.
Match Results: Akureyri
Total Goals Prediction
Six of Stjarnan Gardabaer's last seven home fixtures have seen no more than four goals scored. On average, both teams combine for fewer than two goals per match. Akureyri's away games are even less prolific, with an average of just 1.58 goals. Given these stats, backing under 4.5 total goals looks like a well-founded prediction.
Safe Bet
Stjarnan Gardabaer are unbeaten in their last six head-to-head matches against Akureyri. On top of that, the hosts have been dominant at home, winning six of their previous seven games on their own turf. Backing Stjarnan Gardabaer to avoid defeat looks like a reliable option here.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the most likely scorelines for this match are 1-1 (8.99%), 2-1 (7.78%), and 2-0 (6.5%). Of these, a 1-1 draw emerges as the most probable outcome, though the margins between the options are relatively narrow.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Stjarnan are in strong home form, having won six of their last seven matches on their own turf. Akureyri, meanwhile, have struggled on the road, failing to pick up all three points in their last nine away games. The head-to-head record also favors the hosts-Stjarnan are unbeaten against Akureyri in their last six Bestu deildin encounters. The visitors are fighting to avoid relegation, but it’s hard to see them ending their poor run in Gardabaer. Our pick: Stjarnan to win. Predicted score: 2-1.
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Betting Tips: Stjarnan Gardabae - Akureyri
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