Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 July 2026
💥 The fifth round of the renewed Torneo Intermedio brings an intriguing clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Progreso. After a break for the World Cup, both sides return to action with fresh energy and renewed ambitions. This weekend’s fixture sees Montevideo Wanderers, currently fifth in Group A with six points, take on Progreso, who sit fifth in Group B with three points to their name. Despite being in separate groups, this encounter promises to be a tense affair as both teams battle for crucial points.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides ended 2-1. Here’s a comparative breakdown of that match (Progreso were the home team):
- possession: 35% vs 65%;
- corners: 3 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Montevideo Wanderers and Progreso:
- 21 matches played;
- The hosts have claimed 11 wins, the visitors 7, with 3 draws;
- Total goals scored: 36 for the home side, 29 for the away team;
- Average goals in the first half: 1.62; in the second half: 1.48;
- Average total goals per match: 3.1.
Head-to-head statistics Wanderers - Progreso

Montevideo Wanderers Team Overview
Montevideo Wanderers currently sit fifth in Group A with six points to their name. While their form has been inconsistent, the squad clearly has the potential to climb higher in the standings. Playing at home against an opponent from a different group presents a prime opportunity to pick up valuable points and move up the table. Supporters will be hoping for a bold, confident display, one that could deliver a crucial victory.
Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers

Progreso Team Overview
Progreso find themselves in a challenging position, currently sitting fifth in Group B with just three points. The team have struggled for consistency and are fighting to hold onto their spot in the standings. An away clash against Montevideo Wanderers offers Progreso a valuable opportunity to showcase their potential and try to climb the table. Expect Progreso to give it their all, determined to display their resilience and secure a crucial victory.
Match Results: Progreso
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 21;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.62;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.86, while the visitors net 0.76.
First-Half Stats: Montevideo Wanderers (home) vs Progreso (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
- wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 6 (66.67%);
- draws: 5 (55.56%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.22;
- Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 6;
- draws: 5 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 1.1).
- Progreso conceded in the 1st half in last 5 games (Primera Division).
Editor's Pick
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 21;
- Home wins - 11, Away wins - 7, Draws - 3.
Stats: Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso
- Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Wins: 6 vs 3;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 16%;
- Losses: 7 vs 12;
- Draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- Wins: 3 vs 2;
- Losses: 4 vs 8;
- Draws: 3 vs 0.
- Progreso have lost 6 of their last 7 matches in the Primera.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 1.71, Away side - 1.38;
- Overall in head-to-head - 3.1;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 11 times; at the home ground - 6 times.
Average total stats: Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso
- In this competition: 2.39 vs 2.42;
- Goals scored: 1.11 vs 0.84;
- First half: 0.5 vs 0.37;
- Second half: 0.61 vs 0.47;
- Montevideo Wanderers at home in the tournament - 0.89;
- Progreso away in the tournament - 0.78;
- Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 0.8) vs 0.7 (away - 0.6).
- The total has gone over 1.5 goals in each of Progreso’s last five Primera matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head:
- Matches played - 21;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 11 times;
- At the home ground - 6 times.
Stats: Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso
- Matches played in the competition: 15 vs 15;
- Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
- Montevideo Wanderers BTTS at home - 3 (33%);
- Progreso BTTS away - 4 (44%).
Last 10 matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
- Montevideo Wanderers BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
- Progreso BTTS away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editor's Pick
We expect both sides to approach this match with caution, aiming to avoid costly mistakes. As a result, it’s likely to be a low-scoring affair. Montevideo Wanderers, playing at home, may look to start on the front foot, but Progreso are expected to focus on their defensive structure and keep risks to a minimum. Both teams have shown inconsistency throughout the season, often resulting in games with few goals. Backing under 2.5 goals seems a well-founded prediction here. A 2-0 scoreline is a possible outcome.