Wanderers vs Progreso Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 11 July 2026

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Key points

    💥 The fifth round of the renewed Torneo Intermedio brings an intriguing clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Progreso. After a break for the World Cup, both sides return to action with fresh energy and renewed ambitions. This weekend’s fixture sees Montevideo Wanderers, currently fifth in Group A with six points, take on Progreso, who sit fifth in Group B with three points to their name. Despite being in separate groups, this encounter promises to be a tense affair as both teams battle for crucial points.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official meeting between these sides ended 2-1. Here’s a comparative breakdown of that match (Progreso were the home team):

    • possession: 35% vs 65%;
    • corners: 3 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of official head-to-head meetings between Montevideo Wanderers and Progreso:

    • 21 matches played;
    • The hosts have claimed 11 wins, the visitors 7, with 3 draws;
    • Total goals scored: 36 for the home side, 29 for the away team;
    • Average goals in the first half: 1.62; in the second half: 1.48;
    • Average total goals per match: 3.1.

    Head-to-head statistics Wanderers - Progreso

    55%
    12 Wins
    14%
    3 Draws
    32%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Avg. total goals
    3.05
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.73
    Average total
    1.32
    2.55
    Yellow cards
    2.18
    Last matches
    11.07.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    18.04.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    21.09.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    5
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    5
    27.03.25
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    8
    10
    0
    0
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    10
    0
    0
    5
    4
    10.11.24
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Montevideo Wanderers Team Overview

    Montevideo Wanderers currently sit fifth in Group A with six points to their name. While their form has been inconsistent, the squad clearly has the potential to climb higher in the standings. Playing at home against an opponent from a different group presents a prime opportunity to pick up valuable points and move up the table. Supporters will be hoping for a bold, confident display, one that could deliver a crucial victory.

    Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    8
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    8
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    L
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
    07.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    1
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    6
    5
    12
    12
    1
    5
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    6
    5
    12
    12
    1
    5
    W
    04.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    28.09.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    Progreso find themselves in a challenging position, currently sitting fifth in Group B with just three points. The team have struggled for consistency and are fighting to hold onto their spot in the standings. An away clash against Montevideo Wanderers offers Progreso a valuable opportunity to showcase their potential and try to climb the table. Expect Progreso to give it their all, determined to display their resilience and secure a crucial victory.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    W
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    D
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 21;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 6; for visitors away - 2; number of draws - 3;
    • Average first-half total: 1.62;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.86, while the visitors net 0.76.

    First-Half Stats: Montevideo Wanderers (home) vs Progreso (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 9 vs 9;
    • wins: 3 (33.33%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 1 (11.11%) vs 6 (66.67%);
    • draws: 5 (55.56%) vs 3 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1.22;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 1.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 3 vs 1;
    • losses: 2 vs 6;
    • draws: 5 vs 3;
    • Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.5, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.4 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 1.1).
    Trends
    • Progreso conceded in the 1st half in last 5 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st half, Montevideo Wanderers to score goal (odds: 1.95)

    Editor's Pick

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 21;
    • Home wins - 11, Away wins - 7, Draws - 3.

    Stats: Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso

    • Matches in the competition: 15 vs 15;
    • Wins: 6 vs 3;
    • Win percentage: 33% vs 16%;
    • Losses: 7 vs 12;
    • Draws: 5 vs 4.

    Last 10 matches:

    • Wins: 3 vs 2;
    • Losses: 4 vs 8;
    • Draws: 3 vs 0.
    Trends
    • Progreso have lost 6 of their last 7 matches in the Primera.
    👉Prediction: Montevideo Wanderers to Win (odds: 2.03)

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head (average total goals):

    • Home side - 1.71, Away side - 1.38;
    • Overall in head-to-head - 3.1;
    • Both teams scored: all-time - 11 times; at the home ground - 6 times.

    Average total stats: Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso

    • In this competition: 2.39 vs 2.42;
    • Goals scored: 1.11 vs 0.84;
    • First half: 0.5 vs 0.37;
    • Second half: 0.61 vs 0.47;
    • Montevideo Wanderers at home in the tournament - 0.89;
    • Progreso away in the tournament - 0.78;
    • Last 10 matches: 1.2 (home - 0.8) vs 0.7 (away - 0.6).
    Trends
    • The total has gone over 1.5 goals in each of Progreso’s last five Primera matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1,5) (odds: 1.37)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head:

    • Matches played - 21;
    • Both teams have scored all-time - 11 times;
    • At the home ground - 6 times.

    Stats: Montevideo Wanderers vs Progreso

    • Matches played in the competition: 15 vs 15;
    • Matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 9 vs 9;
    • Montevideo Wanderers BTTS at home - 3 (33%);
    • Progreso BTTS away - 4 (44%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
    • Montevideo Wanderers BTTS at home - 2 (40%);
    • Progreso BTTS away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No) (odds: 1.78)

    ⭐ Editor's Pick

    We expect both sides to approach this match with caution, aiming to avoid costly mistakes. As a result, it’s likely to be a low-scoring affair. Montevideo Wanderers, playing at home, may look to start on the front foot, but Progreso are expected to focus on their defensive structure and keep risks to a minimum. Both teams have shown inconsistency throughout the season, often resulting in games with few goals. Backing under 2.5 goals seems a well-founded prediction here. A 2-0 scoreline is a possible outcome.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-154
    Published: 09/07/2026, 07:53
    Rasim Akhmedov
    Rasim Akhmedov
    Scores24 Editor
    30
    0
    23
    53 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Montevideo Wanderers - Progreso

    Progreso have lost:
    ca-progresoin 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers to Win
    Bovada
    -105
    Montevideo Wanderers have not lost:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 7 of last 8 home games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers will not lose
    -385
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    ca-progresoin last 5 Progreso games (Primera Division).
    in 9 of last 10 Mathias De Armas games.
    in 7 of last 8 Mathias De Armas games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -278
    Progreso have conceded:
    ca-progresoin 22 of last 23 games (Primera Division).
    ca-progresoin 20 of last 21 games.
    ca-progresoin 10 of last 11 away games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers will score goal
    -400
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    5 - Losses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 20
    -9
    +1
    13 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    5
    2
    Draws
    1
    5
    Losses
    4
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    13
    20
    Conceded
    12
    3.1
    Average total per match
    2.5
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.3
    2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    7
    Both teams scored
    6
    85'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    69'
    View all stats