Progreso vs Wanderers Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 21 September 2025

    ❓ The upcoming clash between Progreso and Montevideo Wanderers promises to be a tense battle for crucial points in the league. Both teams are languishing at the lower end of the table, making this encounter particularly significant for their survival ambitions. Progreso have shown inconsistent form but benefit from home advantage. Meanwhile, the visitors from Montevideo are eager to turn their fortunes around after a string of setbacks. Both sides are determined to improve their performances to steer clear of the relegation zone, and the match is set to be intriguing with high stakes on the line. How will this encounter unfold? Read the prediction below.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Montevideo Wanderers were the home side):

    • possession: 58% vs 42%;
    • corner kicks: 8 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 5 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 4 vs 4.

    📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Progreso and Montevideo Wanderers:

    • 19 matches played;
    • home team wins - 5, away team wins - 11, draws - 3;
    • goals scored - 25 for Progreso, 35 for Montevideo Wanderers;
    • average goals in the first half - 1.63, in the second half - 1.53;
    • average total goals per match - 3.16.

    Head-to-head statistics Progreso - Wanderers

    32%
    7 Wins
    14%
    3 Draws
    55%
    12 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Avg. total goals
    3.05
    Both teams scored
    50%
    1.32
    Average total
    1.73
    2.18
    Yellow cards
    2.55
    Last matches
    11.07.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    3
    2
    18.04.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    -
    -
    3
    2
    21.09.25
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    5
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    5
    27.03.25
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    8
    10
    0
    0
    5
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    8
    10
    0
    0
    5
    4
    10.11.24
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    1
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Progreso Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with River Plate Montevideo hosting Progreso. The game ended in a 0-0 draw.

    The match statistics are as follows (Progreso vs River Plate Montevideo):

    • possession percentage: 49% vs 51%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 0 vs 0.

    Progreso are wrapping up the season with mixed results, recording 7 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses. Their most recent outing against Montevideo Wanderers ended in a 1-1 draw. The team displays average scoring stats, netting one goal per match while conceding around 1.66 goals on average. In their last five games, they have secured two victories but suffered three defeats; they recently lost their latest match following two consecutive wins.

    Match Results: Progreso

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    -
    -
    3
    0
    W
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    D
    03.10.26
    Primera Division
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    3
    2
    1
    0
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    4
    4
    L
    26.09.26
    Primera Division
    Progreso
    Progreso
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    6
    -
    -
    2
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    Primera Division
    Boston River
    Boston River
    Progreso
    Progreso
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    -
    -
    6
    5
    -
    -
    1
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Montevideo Wanderers Team Overview

    The visitors recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Miramar Misiones hosting Montevideo Wanderers. The encounter ended with a scoreline of 3-0.

    Here are the match statistics (Montevideo Wanderers vs Miramar Misiones):

    • possession: 60% vs 40%;
    • corners: 5 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 4.

    Montevideo Wanderers are facing challenges this season, with only 6 wins against 13 losses and frequent draws (10). They find themselves lower in the standings, having suffered four defeats in their last five games, including a recent setback. The visitors average just 0.69 goals per game, while their defense concedes about once per match (1.07). The Wanderers have yet to find their rhythm and continue searching for the key to restoring a positive trajectory.

    Match Results: Montevideo Wanderers

    Last matches
    17.10.26
    Primera Division
    Racing Montevideo
    Racing Montevideo
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    8
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    8
    8
    -
    -
    0
    2
    L
    10.10.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Boston River
    Boston River
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    3
    1
    L
    07.10.26
    Copa Uruguay
    Cerrito
    Cerrito
    1
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    6
    5
    12
    12
    1
    5
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    0
    3
    4
    -
    -
    6
    5
    12
    12
    1
    5
    W
    04.10.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    -
    -
    2
    4
    W
    28.09.26
    Primera Division
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Montevideo Wanderers
    Albion
    Albion
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    4
    -
    -
    5
    2
    W
    Empty
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-head Record:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • Home wins - 5, Away wins - 11, Draws - 3.
    Trends
    • Montevideo Wanderers have failed to win in 7 of their last 8 matches.
    👉Prediction: Progreso will not lose

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-head Stats:

    • Today's hosts score an average of 1.32, visitors 1.84;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 3.16;
    • Both teams have scored: overall - 10 times; at the home venue - 4 times.

    Statistics: Progreso vs Montevideo Wanderers

    • Average total in the tournament: 2.66 vs 1.76;
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 0.69;
    • Average first-half total: 0.34 vs 0.24;
    • Average second-half total: 0.66 vs 0.45;
    • Progreso: home average in the tournament - 1.14;
    • Montevideo Wanderers: away average in the tournament - 0.69;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 1.75) vs 0.4 (away - 0.57).
    Trends
    • Progreso have scored less than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 9 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Progreso Total goals Under (1,5)(odds: 1.4)

    Corners Prediction

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 5.48; at home - 5.93;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; at home - 4.75.

    Montevideo Wanderers: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 4.17, away - 3.88;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; away - 5.14.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Over (9,5)(odds: 1.95)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.32 (2.16 for hosts and 2.16 for guests);
    • Average yellow cards at the host's venue - 3.29 (1.86 for hosts and 1.43 for guests).

    Progreso: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.97; at home - 3.29;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.8; at home - 3.5.

    Montevideo Wanderers: Statistics

    • Season: average total in the tournament - 2.93, away - 2.5;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 3.2; away - 2.86.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (6,5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 19;
    • Both teams have scored overall - 10 times;
    • At the home venue - 4 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams to Score – (No)(odds: 1.72)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both teams are struggling with form and are in dire need of a positive result to boost their morale as the season draws to a close. Progreso have a slight edge, thanks to their home advantage and a higher goal-scoring record compared to their visitors, Montevideo Wanderers. However, both sides are prone to defensive errors, which could lead to a goal exchange, as seen in their previous 1-1 draw. Given the goals conceded by both teams, betting on both teams to score seems like a well-founded choice for this matchup.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    Odds-103
    Published: 19/09/2025, 11:55

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    Betting Tips: Progreso - Montevideo Wanderers

    Montevideo Wanderers have not won:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 7 of last 8 games.
    Progreso will not lose
    Everygame
    -286
    Progreso scored in the 2nd half:
    ca-progresoin last 5 home games (Primera Division).
    Montevideo Wanderers conceded in the 2nd half:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 6 of last 7 away games.
    2nd half, Progreso will score goal
    -116
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    in 29 of last 30 Santiago Motta games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -556
    Montevideo Wanderers have scored under 1.5 goals:
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 12 of last 13 games.
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 11 of last 12 games (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin 6 of last 7 away games (Primera Division).
    mdeo-wanderers-fcin last 5 away games.
    Montevideo Wanderers Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 2
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 13
    Conceded - 12
    +1
    -9
    11 - Scored
    20 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    3
    1
    Draws
    2
    4
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    13
    Scored
    11
    12
    Conceded
    20
    2.5
    Average total per match
    3.1
    1.3
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.2
    Goals conceded per match on average
    2
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    69'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    85'
    View all stats