Botafogo vs Mirassol Prediction 17 September 2025
🔊 In a rescheduled Serie A Matchday 12 clash, Botafogo host Mirassol at the Nilton Santos Olympic Stadium. For the reigning champions, this game holds particular significance as they need a win to stay within the top-6 zone. The visitors, meanwhile, are aiming even higher - they've already climbed into the top-4 and are looking to secure a direct Libertadores spot. This will be the first head-to-head encounter between the clubs: Mirassol are making their debut in the top tier but have already turned heads, losing only three times this season. Therefore, despite the bookmakers favoring Botafogo, it's unwise to underestimate the newcomers.
Head-to-Head
⚠ These teams have never faced each other before.
Head-to-head statistics Botafogo - Mirassol
Botafogo FR Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in Serie A, round 23, with São Paulo hosting Botafogo. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the game stats (Botafogo vs São Paulo):
- possession: 52% vs 48%;
- corners: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 14 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
⚫ On September 14, Botafogo suffered a painful defeat in the 23rd round of the Brazilian Championship. At "Morumbi," everything was decided early on: São Paulo quickly took the lead, and the visitors couldn't break through the opponent's solid defense. The result was a 0-1 loss, costing them valuable points in the race for the top four. After this round, Ancelotti's squad sits in 6th place in Serie A with 35 points. They remain in the Libertadores zone, but the pressure from rivals is intense-any slip-up could cost them a spot in the top six.
Match Results: Botafogo FR
Mirassol Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, Round 23, with Grêmio hosting Mirassol. The game concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here's the match stats (Mirassol vs Grêmio):
- possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 15 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 5.
🟡 Mirassol continue to defy expectations. In the 23rd round, they secured a valuable away victory against Gremio-Alesson netted the decisive goal in stoppage time of the first half. After the break, the visitors managed the game effectively, withstanding the hosts' pressure to maintain their slender 1-0 lead. This win solidified the debutants' position in the upper reaches of the table: Mirassol, with 38 points, climbed to 4th place and firmly established themselves in the Copa Libertadores zone. For a newcomer to the top flight, this remains the standout surprise of the season.
Match Results: Mirassol
Outcome Prediction
Statistics: Botafogo vs Mirassol
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 10 vs 10;
- win percentage: 48% vs 48%;
- losses: 6 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 8.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Mirassol have won with a +1.5 handicap in 21 consecutive matches (Serie A).
- Mirassol have won with a +1.5 handicap in 11 consecutive away matches (Serie A).
Total Goals Prediction
Statistics: Botafogo vs Mirassol
- average total in the tournament: 2.1 vs 2.67;
- average goals scored per match: 1.43 vs 1.71;
- average first-half total: 0.62 vs 0.76;
- average second-half total: 0.81 vs 0.95;
- Botafogo: average home total in the tournament - 1.8;
- Mirassol: average away total in the tournament - 1.18;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.5) vs 1.9 (away - 1.2).
- Botafogo have conceded in 7 consecutive matches.
- Mirassol have scored in 14 consecutive matches (Serie A).
- Mirassol have scored in 7 consecutive away matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Botafogo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.76; at home - 5.4;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; at home - 5.75.
Mirassol: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.9, away - 4.18;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.7; away - 5.
- Total over 8.5 corners has hit in Mirassol's last 6 away matches (Serie A).
Cards Prediction
Botafogo: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 1.9; at home - 1.5;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.5; at home - 0.5.
Mirassol: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 2.48, away - 2.73;
- last 10 matches: average total - 1.8; away - 2.2.
- Total under 5.5 yellow cards has occurred in 11 of Botafogo's last 12 matches (Serie A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Statistics: Botafogo vs Mirassol
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- matches this season with both teams scoring (BTTS): 5 vs 14;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - 4 (40%);
- BTTS for Mirassol away - 6 (55%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 4 vs 6;
- BTTS for Botafogo at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS for Mirassol away - 2 (40%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Both teams enter this rescheduled match with contrasting mindsets. Botafogo suffered a loss to São Paulo and are at risk of dropping out of the top six, so their motivation is through the roof. Meanwhile, Mirassol have once again proven with their victory over Grêmio that they can pick up points even away from home against tough opponents. The league newcomers look fresh and consistent, with a defense that rarely falters. Our prediction: Mirassol will score a goal, as they have done for 14 consecutive matches. Additionally, Botafogo have conceded in their last seven games in a row.
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Betting Tips: Botafogo FR - Mirassol
in last 5 away games (Serie A).
in 16 of last 18 home games.in 13 of last 14 games (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 away games (Serie A).in 13 of last 15 Mirassol games (Serie A).in last 8 Mirassol away games (Serie A).
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