Thun vs Basel Prediction 18 April 2026
⚽️ The clash between Thun and Basel promises to be intense, given the current form of both teams. Thun enter this encounter as the sole leaders of the Super League with 71 points. Mauro Lustrinelli's squad have hit a phenomenal stride and are serious contenders for the championship. Meanwhile, Basel, sitting in 4th place, are fighting for a spot in European competitions. For the hosts, this match at Stockhorn Arena is a chance to solidify their lead and seek revenge for their defeat to Basel in the first round.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 01 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Basel 1893):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- fouls: 8 vs 24;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 2.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Thun and Basel 1893:
- played 36 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 4, for the away team - 21, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 39 against 76;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.31, in the 2nd half - 1.89;
- average total goals in the match - 3.19.
Head-to-head statistics Thun - Basel
Thun Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Super League, with Lugano hosting Thun. The match concluded with a 1-0 victory.
Here's the match statistics (Thun vs Lugano):
- possession percentage: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 15 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
Thun currently sit atop the league standings, showcasing formidable form, particularly on their home turf. The hosts boast the league's most potent attack, having netted 72 goals in 32 matches. At home, Thun play with remarkable aggression, creating an average of 3.43 "big chances" per game-the best mark in Switzerland. Over their last ten home fixtures, the team's scoring rate stands at 2.23 goals per game. Despite a recent slip-up against Lugano (1-0), Thun rarely leave their home stadium without finding the back of the net.
Match Results: Thun
Basel 1893 Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Super League, with Basel hosting Young Boys. The game ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw.
Here are the match stats (Basel vs Young Boys):
- possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 3 vs 7;
- fouls: 6 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Basel are currently sitting in fourth place in the standings, showing decent form with four wins in their last ten matches. The team plays an open but inconsistent style of football. Basel have been prolific in front of goal, scoring 50 times this season, yet they frequently falter defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. In their most recent outing, they played out an exhilarating 3-3 draw against Young Boys, further highlighting their tendency for high-scoring games and ongoing defensive lapses.
Match Results: Basel 1893
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- home team wins - 4, away team wins - 21, draws - 11.
- Basel 1893 won with a +1.5 handicap in 17 of last 18 away games against Thun.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.08, the guests - 2.11;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.19;
- both teams scored: overall - 25; at the home team's field - 11.
Statistics: Thun vs Basel 1893
- average total in the tournament: 3.35 vs 2.87;
- average total goals scored: 2.23 vs 1.55;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.94 vs 0.77;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.29 vs 0.77;
- Thun: average total at home in the tournament - 2.44;
- Basel 1893: average total away in the tournament - 1.56;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.4 (home - 3) vs 1.6 (away - 1.2).
- Thun have scored under 2.5 goals in 16 of last 17 home games against Basel 1893.
- Thun have scored under 2.5 goals in 15 of last 16 home games against Basel 1893 (Super League).
- Thun have scored under 2.5 goals in 14 of last 15 games against Basel 1893.
- Thun have scored under 2.5 goals in 13 of last 14 games against Basel 1893 (Super League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 36;
- both teams scored all-time - 25 times;
- on the home team’s field - 11 times.
- Thun have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 home games (Super League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (21/185, 11.4%), 1:2 (21/185, 11.4%);
- Thun at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Basel 1893 away most often play: 1:2 (3/16, 18.8%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:1 - 9.29% (odds 8)
1:1 - 8.86% (odds 9.5)
1:0 - 6.57% (odds 12)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Given their status as the league's highest-scoring team and the defensive vulnerabilities of the visitors, a bet on Thun's individual total over 1.5 appears to be the most promising option for this matchup. The league leaders, spearheaded by Elmin Rastoder, are expected to exploit the open spaces in Basel's defensive setup. Several factors support the choice of backing the home side's scoring prowess. Firstly, Thun have netted 2 or more goals in 8 of their last 10 home league matches. Secondly, in their most recent head-to-head encounter on Basel's turf in February, Thun also managed to score twice.
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Betting Tips: Thun - Basel 1893
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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