Basel vs Thun Prediction 2 May 2026
⚽️ The match between Basel and Thun will serve as a test for the teams positioned in the championship group. Both sides are in good form, but their playing styles differ. Basel aim to enhance their home performance, while Thun continue to impress and maintain their lead. Each team has its strengths: Basel focus on ball control and defense, whereas Thun aggressively attack, consistently pressuring the opponent's defense.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 3:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Thun):
- ball possession percentage: 41% vs 59%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 19 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 8 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Basel 1893 and Thun:
- played 37 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 5, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 77 against 42;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.3, in the 2nd half - 1.92;
- average total goals in the match - 3.22.
Head-to-head statistics Basel - Thun
Basel 1893 Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Super League, with Basel playing at home against Sion. The game concluded with a 0-2 scoreline.
Here's how the stats stacked up (Basel vs Sion):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 13 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
The hosts find themselves in a situation where there's no room to retreat: after a string of setbacks, the team has slipped out of the top three, making every point crucial. Under the guidance of Stephan Lichtsteiner, Basel focus on dynamic wing play, with Xherdan Shaqiri and young wingers constantly creating threats through crosses and cutbacks. The main issue lies in their defense, which often falters against top clubs, conceding more than one goal per game on average. Despite these challenges, the home crowd could provide a significant boost against a formidable opponent like Thun.
Match Results: Basel 1893
Thun Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Super League (Thun hosted Lugano). The game ended with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here's the match statistics (Thun vs Lugano):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corners: 7 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 4;
- shots on target: 4 vs 6.
The league leaders, sitting on 71 points, continue their march towards the title. After a setback against Lugano, Mauro Lustrinelli's squad is eager to get back on track with a victory over Basel. Forward Elmin Rastoder, with 13 goals to his name, is the team's main attacking force and top scorer. Thun average 2.3 goals per game, making them favorites in any high-scoring affair. With their powerful forwards, Thun intentionally provoke set pieces, viewing them as a key tool to break down organized defenses. This makes them an ideal candidate for a high total in corner bets.
Match Results: Thun
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- home team wins - 21, away team wins - 5, draws - 11.
- Basel 1893 have not lost in 16 of last 18 home games against Thun.
- Basel 1893 have not lost in 15 of last 17 home games against Thun (Super League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 2.08, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.22;
- both teams scored: overall - 26; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Basel 1893 vs Thun
- average total in the tournament: 2.88 vs 3.3;
- average total goals scored: 1.48 vs 2.18;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.73 vs 0.91;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.76 vs 1.27;
- Basel 1893: average total at home in the tournament - 1.44;
- Thun: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.6) vs 1.9 (away - 1.5).
- Over 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Thun away games (Super League).
Prediction on corners
Basel 1893: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.67; at home field - 5.88;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.7; at home field - 4.2.
Thun: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.03, away - 5.27;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 7.
- Over 9.5 corners in 14 of last 15 Thun games (Super League).
- Over 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Thun away games (Super League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 26 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
- Basel 1893 have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 home games against Thun.
- Basel 1893 have scored and conceded in 10 of last 11 home games against Thun (Super League).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (23/197, 11.7%);
- Basel 1893 at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/16, 18.8%);
- Thun away most often play: 1:2 (5/15, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 11.23% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 8.12% (odds 10)
1:0 - 8% (odds 14)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The clash between the league's most prolific shooting team and a side that thrives on wing play and crosses sets the stage for a high corner count. Thun averages around 7 corners per game, consistently putting pressure on the opposition's penalty area. Basel, playing at St. Jakob-Park, also traditionally exploits the flanks with vigor. Given that the hosts need to mount a comeback and the Super League leaders always play an attacking game, we can expect high-paced action at both ends. The playing style of both teams involves relentless pressure, which inevitably leads to clearances. In a match of this intensity, reaching 10 corners is a realistic target. Our recommendation: total over 9.5 corners.No comments
Betting Tips: Basel 1893 - Thun
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
