Samaxi vs Qarabag Prediction 11 April 2026

    🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Samaxi and Qarabag are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 11:30. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Baku at the Inter Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 04 March 2026 and ended with a score of 3:1. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Qarabag):

    • ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Samaxi and Qarabag:

    • played 59 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 35, draws - 18;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 30 against 104;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.27.

    Head-to-head statistics Samaxi - Qarabag

    10%
    6 Wins
    31%
    19 Draws
    59%
    36 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Total Goals Avg
    2.26
    Both teams scored
    34%
    0.51
    Total average
    1.75
    1.41
    Yellow cards
    0.92
    Last matches
    17.08.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    11.04.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    2
    12
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    12
    -
    -
    2
    3
    04.03.26
    Azerbaijan Cup
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    0
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    0
    3
    10.02.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    2
    4
    05.02.26
    Azerbaijan Cup
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    1
    7
    12
    5
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    7
    12
    5
    2
    1
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    Samaxi Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on 7 April 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Zira, away team - Samaxi). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.

    Here are the game statistics (Samaxi vs Zira):

    • ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
    • corner kicks: 0 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 3.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Samaxi has engaged in 26 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 7 wins,
    • 9 losses,
    • 10 draws.

    📈Currently, Samaxi stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 28% and a loss percentage of 36%.

    ⚽️Samaxi has scored a total of 25 goals. On the defensive end, Samaxi has allowed 28 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Samaxi

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Premier League
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    8
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    D
    17.08.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    L
    21.05.26
    Premier League
    Gabala
    Gabala
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    4
    3
    8
    15
    1
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    8
    15
    1
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    8
    1
    5
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    8
    1
    5
    W
    10.05.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    1
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    1
    4
    L
    Empty
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    Qarabag Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 6 April 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Qarabag, away - Karvan Yevlakh). The match ended with a score of 7:0.

    Here are the game statistics (Qarabag vs Karvan Yevlakh):

    • ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
    • shots on target: 11 vs 3.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Qarabag has engaged in 25 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 17 wins,
    • 4 losses,
    • 4 draws.

    📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 68% and a loss percentage of 16%.

    ⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 55 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 18 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Qarabag

    Last matches
    20.08.26
    UECL
    Twente
    Twente
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1.3
    0.46
    6
    3
    13
    4
    5
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.3
    0.46
    6
    3
    13
    4
    5
    1
    W
    17.08.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    W
    13.08.26
    UECL
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Dynamo Kiev
    Dynamo Kiev
    -
    -
    4
    6
    4
    11
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    4
    11
    1
    2
    W
    06.08.26
    UECL
    Dynamo Kiev
    Dynamo Kiev
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    19
    11
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    11
    19
    11
    3
    1
    L
    30.07.26
    UEL
    CSKA Sofia
    CSKA Sofia
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    2
    10
    26
    14
    6
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    2
    10
    26
    14
    6
    3
    L
    Empty
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    First Half Statistics: Samaxi (Home) vs Qarabag (Away)

    • Number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 11;
    • Number of wins: 2 (16.67%) vs 5 (45.45%);
    • Number of losses: 4 (33.33%) vs 2 (18.18%);
    • Number of draws: 6 (50%) vs 4 (36.36%);
    • Average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.45;
    • Average total goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.55.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • Number of wins: 1 vs 3;
    • Number of losses: 0 vs 4;
    • Number of draws: 9 vs 3;
    • Average first half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2) vs 2.2 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1.1).
    Trends
    • Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half in last 9 games.
    • Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half in last 8 games (Premier League).
    • Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.5)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 59;
    • home team wins - 6, away team wins - 35, draws - 18.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag

    • matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 25;
    • wins: 7 vs 17;
    • win percentage: 28% vs 68%;
    • losses: 9 vs 4;
    • draws: 9 vs 4.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 2 vs 5;
    • losses: 3 vs 3;
    • draws: 5 vs 2.
    Trends
    • Samaxi have not won in 8 of last 9 games.
    • Samaxi have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    • Samaxi have not won in last 6 home games (Premier League).
    • Samaxi have not won in last 5 home games.
    • Qarabag have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Qarabag will not lose (odds: 1.09)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.51, the guests - 1.76;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.27;
    • both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 13.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag

    • average total in the tournament: 2.12 vs 2.92;
    • average total goals scored: 1 vs 2.2;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.92;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 1.28;
    • Samaxi: average total at home in the tournament -  1.08;
    • Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 2.09;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.83) vs 2.8 (away - 1.5).
    Trends
    • Qarabag have scored in 12 of last 13 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Qarabag will score goal

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 59;
    • both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 13 times.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 25;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 10;
    • number of BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 7 (58%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 7 (64%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 3 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 2 (50%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.06)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/153, 10.5%), 1:1 (16/153, 10.5%);
    • Samaxi at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/12, 25%);
    • Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (3/11, 27.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    0:1 - 13.98%
    0:2 - 11.06%
    1:1 - 10.91%

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Samaxi games (Premier League).

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Published: 10/04/2026, 09:24

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    Betting Tips: Samaxi - Qarabag

    Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half:
    inter-bakuin last 9 games.
    inter-bakuin last 8 games (Premier League).
    inter-bakuin last 5 home games (Premier League).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +160
    Samaxi have not won:
    inter-bakuin 8 of last 9 games.
    inter-bakuin 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    inter-bakuin last 6 home games (Premier League).
    inter-bakuin last 5 home games.
    Qarabag have not lost:
    qarabag-fk-1in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
    Qarabag will not lose
    -1111
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    qarabag-fk-1in 16 of last 18 Qarabag away games.
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -526
    Qarabag have conceded:
    qarabag-fk-1in 13 of last 14 away games.
    qarabag-fk-1in 8 of last 9 away games (Premier League).
    Samaxi will score goal
    -
    View more facts

    Samaxi - Qarabag Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Sabah
    Sabah
    33246375-2578
    2.
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    33216671-2769
    3.
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    331611657-3259
    7.
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    331151742-5038
    8.
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    339111331-4038
    9.
    Imisli
    Imisli
    338131224-4037

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 16
    -8
    +14
    19 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    19
    16
    Conceded
    5
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.4
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    2
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    49'
    View all stats