Samaxi vs Qarabag Prediction 11 April 2026
🔊How will the weather conditions and the state of the field affect the game? Today, the teams Samaxi and Qarabag are meeting. The match is scheduled to start at 11:30. The tournament match Premier League will take place in the city of Baku at the Inter Arena stadium. The odds for the teams' victories have been determined by bookmakers at and , respectively, with the team Qarabag being the favorite of the match.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 04 March 2026 and ended with a score of 3:1. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Qarabag):
- ball possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3.
📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Samaxi and Qarabag:
- played 59 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 35, draws - 18;
- number of goals (home/away) - 30 against 104;
- average total goals in the match - 2.27.
Head-to-head statistics Samaxi - Qarabag

Samaxi Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on 7 April 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Zira, away team - Samaxi). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the game statistics (Samaxi vs Zira):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 0 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
- 7 wins,
- 9 losses,
- 10 draws.
📈Currently, Samaxi stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 28% and a loss percentage of 36%.
⚽️Samaxi has scored a total of 25 goals. On the defensive end, Samaxi has allowed 28 goals over the season.
Match Results: Samaxi

Qarabag Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 6 April 2026 as part of the Premier League tournament (home team - Qarabag, away - Karvan Yevlakh). The match ended with a score of 7:0.
Here are the game statistics (Qarabag vs Karvan Yevlakh):
- ball possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 11 vs 3.
- 17 wins,
- 4 losses,
- 4 draws.
📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 68% and a loss percentage of 16%.
⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 55 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 18 goals over the season.
Match Results: Qarabag
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Samaxi (Home) vs Qarabag (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 11;
- Number of wins: 2 (16.67%) vs 5 (45.45%);
- Number of losses: 4 (33.33%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- Number of draws: 6 (50%) vs 4 (36.36%);
- Average total goals scored: 0.92 vs 1.45;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.55.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 1 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 0 vs 4;
- Number of draws: 9 vs 3;
- Average first half total: 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2) vs 2.2 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 1.1).
- Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half in last 9 games.
- Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half in last 8 games (Premier League).
- Samaxi have drawn in the 1st half in last 5 home games (Premier League).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- home team wins - 6, away team wins - 35, draws - 18.
Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag
- matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 25;
- wins: 7 vs 17;
- win percentage: 28% vs 68%;
- losses: 9 vs 4;
- draws: 9 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 5 vs 2.
- Samaxi have not won in 8 of last 9 games.
- Samaxi have not won in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
- Samaxi have not won in last 6 home games (Premier League).
- Samaxi have not won in last 5 home games.
- Qarabag have not lost in 7 of last 8 games (Premier League).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.51, the guests - 1.76;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.27;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 13.
Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag
- average total in the tournament: 2.12 vs 2.92;
- average total goals scored: 1 vs 2.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.44 vs 0.92;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 1.28;
- Samaxi: average total at home in the tournament - 1.08;
- Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 2.09;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 0.83) vs 2.8 (away - 1.5).
- Qarabag have scored in 12 of last 13 away games (Premier League).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 59;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 13 times.
Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag
- number of matches played in the tournament: 26 vs 25;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 12 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 7 (58%);
- number of BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 7 (64%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 3 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 2 (50%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (16/153, 10.5%), 1:1 (16/153, 10.5%);
- Samaxi at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/12, 25%);
- Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 13.98%
0:2 - 11.06%
1:1 - 10.91%
Editorial Prediction
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Samaxi games (Premier League).