Samaxi vs Qarabag Prediction 10 February 2026

    🔔How will young players cope with the pressure of this match? There may be squad rotations from the coaching staff, so the game between Samaxi and Qarabag may differ from the usual. The meeting will take place at the Inter Arena stadium in the city of Baku as part of the Premier League tournament. The match is scheduled for 10:50 10 February.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 05 February 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Samaxi):

    • ball possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
    • fouls: 12 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.

    📊 Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Samaxi and Qarabag:

    • played 57 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 6, for the away team - 33, draws - 18;
    • number of goals (home/away) - 28 against 99;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.23.

    Head-to-head statistics Samaxi - Qarabag

    10%
    6 Wins
    31%
    19 Draws
    59%
    36 Wins
    Total games
    61
    Total Goals Avg
    2.26
    Both teams scored
    34%
    0.51
    Total average
    1.75
    1.41
    Yellow cards
    0.92
    Last matches
    17.08.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    11.04.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    2
    12
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    2
    12
    -
    -
    2
    3
    04.03.26
    Azerbaijan Cup
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    0
    3
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    -
    -
    0
    3
    10.02.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    7
    -
    -
    2
    4
    05.02.26
    Azerbaijan Cup
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    1
    7
    12
    5
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    1
    7
    12
    5
    2
    1
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Samaxi Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 5 February 2026 as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Samaxi, away team - Qarabag). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here's the game statistics (Samaxi vs Qarabag):

    • ball possession: 36% vs 64%;
    • corner kicks: 1 vs 7;
    • fouls: 12 vs 5;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 2.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Samaxi has engaged in 18 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 6 wins,
    • 7 losses,
    • 5 draws.

    📈Currently, Samaxi stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 33% and a loss percentage of 39%.

    ⚽️Samaxi has scored a total of 20 goals. On the defensive end, Samaxi has allowed 22 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Samaxi

    Last matches
    23.08.26
    Premier League
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    8
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    8
    1
    -
    -
    2
    1
    D
    17.08.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    L
    21.05.26
    Premier League
    Gabala
    Gabala
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    4
    3
    8
    15
    1
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    8
    15
    1
    2
    L
    16.05.26
    Premier League
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    Turan Tovuz
    Turan Tovuz
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    8
    1
    5
    3
    2
    2
    0
    1
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    8
    1
    5
    W
    10.05.26
    Premier League
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    1
    4
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    6
    1
    13
    16
    1
    4
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Qarabag Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 5 February 2026 as part of the Cup tournament (home team - Samaxi, away - Qarabag). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.

    Here are the match stats (Qarabag vs Samaxi):

    • ball possession: 64% vs 36%;
    • corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
    • fouls: 5 vs 12;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.
    🏆Throughout the Premier League season, the team Qarabag has engaged in 18 fixtures, resulting in:
    • 12 wins,
    • 3 losses,
    • 3 draws.

    📈Currently, Qarabag stands at a mid-tier position within the Premier League standings, with a win percentage of 67% and a loss percentage of 17%.

    ⚽Qarabag has scored a total of 33 goals. On the defensive end has allowed 12 goals over the season.

    Match Results: Qarabag

    Last matches
    20.08.26
    UECL
    Twente
    Twente
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1.3
    0.46
    6
    3
    13
    4
    5
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    1.3
    0.46
    6
    3
    13
    4
    5
    1
    W
    17.08.26
    Premier League
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    3
    1
    1
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    8
    8
    0
    4
    W
    13.08.26
    UECL
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    Dynamo Kiev
    Dynamo Kiev
    -
    -
    4
    6
    4
    11
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    4
    11
    1
    2
    W
    06.08.26
    UECL
    Dynamo Kiev
    Dynamo Kiev
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    1
    -
    -
    4
    11
    19
    11
    3
    1
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    11
    19
    11
    3
    1
    L
    30.07.26
    UEL
    CSKA Sofia
    CSKA Sofia
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    -
    -
    2
    10
    26
    14
    6
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    5
    4
    -
    -
    2
    10
    26
    14
    6
    3
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 57;
    • home team wins - 6, away team wins - 33, draws - 18.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag

    • matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • wins: 6 vs 12;
    • win percentage: 33% vs 67%;
    • losses: 7 vs 3;
    • draws: 5 vs 3.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 6 vs 4;
    • losses: 3 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Qarabag have not lost in 15 of last 17 games (Premier League).
    • Qarabag have not lost in 13 of last 14 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Qarabag will not lose (odds: 1.04)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 0.49, the guests - 1.74;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.23;
    • both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 12.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag

    • average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 2.5;
    • average total goals scored: 1.11 vs 1.83;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.72;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.56 vs 1.11;
    • Samaxi: average total at home in the tournament -  1.25;
    • Qarabag: average total away in the tournament - 2.43;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.17) vs 1.6 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Samaxi have scored in 9 of last 10 home games.
    • Qarabag have conceded in 9 of last 10 games.
    👉Prediction: Samaxi will score goal (odds: 1.95)

    Prediction on corners

    Samaxi: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.56; at home field - 4.38;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.

    Qarabag: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.44, away - 5.71;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.1; away - 4.
    Trends
    • Under 10.5 corners in 12 of last 14 Samaxi games.
    • Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Samaxi home games.
    • Under 10.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Qarabag games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Total Under (10,5) (odds: 1.53)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 57;
    • both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 12 times.

    Statistics: Samaxi vs Qarabag

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 7;
    • number of BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 5 (63%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 5 (71%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 7;
    • BTTS matches for Samaxi at home - 3 (50%);
    • BTTS matches for Qarabag away - 4 (80%).
    Trends
    • Qarabag have scored and conceded in last 5 away games (Premier League).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 2.15)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 0:2 (11/107, 10.3%), 1:1 (11/107, 10.3%);
    • Samaxi at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (2/8, 25%);
    • Qarabag away most often play: 1:2 (2/7, 28.6%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Samaxi have scored in 9 of last 10 home games.
    • Qarabag have conceded in 9 of last 10 games.

    Samaxi will score goal
    Published: 09/02/2026, 06:24

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    Betting Tips: Samaxi - Qarabag

    Qarabag have not lost:
    qarabag-fk-1in 15 of last 17 games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in 13 of last 14 away games (Premier League).
    Qarabag will not lose
    -2500
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    inter-bakuin 17 of last 19 Samaxi home games.
    inter-bakuin 15 of last 17 Samaxi home games (Premier League).
    inter-bakuin 12 of last 13 Samaxi games.
    inter-bakuin 9 of last 10 Samaxi games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in 6 of last 7 Qarabag games (Premier League).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    -286
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    inter-bakuin 7 of last 8 Samaxi home games (Premier League).
    inter-bakuin last 6 Samaxi games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in 16 of last 17 Qarabag games.
    qarabag-fk-1in last 13 Qarabag away games.
    qarabag-fk-1in 9 of last 10 Qarabag games (Premier League).
    qarabag-fk-1in last 7 Qarabag away games (Premier League).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    -333
    Samaxi have scored:
    inter-bakuin 9 of last 10 home games.
    Qarabag have conceded:
    qarabag-fk-1in 9 of last 10 games.
    Samaxi will score goal
    -105
    View more facts

    Samaxi - Qarabag Table position

    Premier League 25/26
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Sabah
    Sabah
    33246375-2578
    2.
    Qarabag
    Qarabag
    33216671-2769
    3.
    Neftchi Baku
    Neftchi Baku
    331611657-3259
    7.
    Sumgayit
    Sumgayit
    331151742-5038
    8.
    Samaxi
    Samaxi
    339111331-4038
    9.
    Imisli
    Imisli
    338131224-4037

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    2 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    5 - Loses
    Wins - 7
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 8
    Conceded - 16
    -8
    +14
    19 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    2
    Wins
    7
    3
    Draws
    1
    5
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    8
    Scored
    19
    16
    Conceded
    5
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.4
    0.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.9
    1.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    4
    Both teams scored
    2
    113'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    49'
    View all stats