Sao Paulo vs Gremio Prediction 12 February 2026
🔊 The upcoming clash between São Paulo and Grêmio promises to be a spectacle. Both teams are eager to solidify their positions at the top of the table, making this encounter particularly significant. São Paulo currently sit in 5th place, showcasing solid form at home with victories in 6 of their last 7 home matches. Meanwhile, Grêmio are in 9th place and known for their potent attacking prowess. The tactical decisions by the coaches and lineup selections will be crucial: fans can expect a dynamic match with plenty of attacking play.
Head-to-Head
The last official clash between the teams took place on 16 October 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Grêmio were the home side):
- possession percentage: 36% vs 64%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between São Paulo and Grêmio:
- 38 matches played;
- home wins - 14, away wins - 16, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 39 versus 41;
- average total in the first half - 0.89, in the second half - 1.21;
- average total goals per match - 2.11.
Head-to-head statistics Sao Paulo - Gremio
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Campeonato Paulista A1, with São Paulo hosting Primavera. The game concluded with a 2-1 victory.
Here are the match statistics (São Paulo vs Primavera):
- possession: 67% vs 33%;
- corners: 11 vs 2;
- fouls: 3 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 4.
⚪ After their victory over Flamengo (2-1) in the first round, São Paulo shared the spoils with Santos (1-1) in the second. In the Paulista, they defeated Primavera (2-1) and currently sit eighth after seven rounds. The team averages 1.5 goals per game, conceding approximately one goal per match. On home turf, they traditionally perform well, securing victories in six of their last seven matches. However, their defense can be shaky at times, as São Paulo often concedes goals from visiting teams.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Gremio Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place on in the Gauchão League, with Grêmio hosting Novo Hamburgo. The match concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Grêmio vs Novo Hamburgo):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 6 vs 2;
- fouls: 21 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 7;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
🔵 After a 2-1 defeat away to Fluminense in the opening round, Grêmio engaged in a goal-fest at home against Botafogo, winning 5-3 and securing their first three points of the new Serie A season. Luis Castro's side then edged past Novo Hamburgo 1-0 in the quarterfinals of the Gaúcho League. Their attacking prowess is impressive, averaging 3 goals per game, but their defense leaves much to be desired, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match. In their most recent head-to-head, they defeated São Paulo 2-0, which could boost their confidence ahead of their upcoming away fixture.
Match Results: Gremio
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 38;
- First-half wins for home team - 7; away team - 2; draws - 10;
- Average first-half total: 0.89;
- Today's home team averages 0.45 goals, visitors - 0.45.
First-half Stats: São Paulo (home) vs Grêmio (away)
- Tournament matches played: 1 vs 1;
- Wins: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Losses: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Draws: 1 (100%) vs 1 (100%);
- Average goals scored: 0 vs 0;
- Average goals conceded: 0 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Wins: 1 vs 2;
- Losses: 3 vs 2;
- Draws: 6 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4).
- São Paulo have drawn the first half at home in their last 5 matches.
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 38;
- Home wins - 14, Away wins - 16, Draws - 8.
Stats: São Paulo vs Grêmio
- Matches in tournament: 2 vs 2;
- Wins: 1 vs 1;
- Win percentage: 50% vs 50%;
- Losses: 0 vs 1;
- Draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 6;
- Losses: 4 vs 3;
- Draws: 2 vs 1.
- São Paulo have won at home in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- Home team - 1.03, Away team - 1.08;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.11;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 18 times; at home venue - 9 times.
- São Paulo have conceded in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
- Grêmio have scored in 14 of their last 15 matches.
- Grêmio have scored in 8 consecutive Serie A matches.
- Grêmio have scored in 7 consecutive away matches.
Corners Prediction
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 3; at home - 2;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; at home - 6.8.
Grêmio: Statistics
- Season: average total in tournament - 5, away - 6;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.2; away - 4.8.
- São Paulo have had fewer than 5.5 corners in 7 consecutive Serie A matches.
- São Paulo have had fewer than 5.5 corners at home in 6 of their last 7 Serie A matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 38;
- Both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- At home venue - 9 times.
Stats: São Paulo vs Grêmio
- Tournament matches played: 2 vs 2;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 2;
- São Paulo: BTTS at home - 1 (100%);
- Grêmio: BTTS away - 1 (100%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- São Paulo: BTTS at home - 3 (60%);
- Grêmio: BTTS away - 2 (40%).
- São Paulo have both scored and conceded in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent score results (current season):
- The most frequent score in the tournament: 1-1 (4/19, 21.1%);
- São Paulo at home most often finishes matches: 2-1 (1/1, 100%);
- Grêmio away most often plays: 2-1 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-1 - 10.5% (odds: 6)
2-1 - 8.63% (odds: 8.5)
2-2 - 7.7% (odds: 14)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In the upcoming match, we anticipate an aggressive offensive display from both teams, with plenty of chances at both ends. Given Grêmio's high scoring ability and São Paulo's traditional strength at "Morumbi," a goal-fest seems likely, as evidenced by their previous encounters. Based on this analysis and the current form of the clubs, we predict a São Paulo goal in the 2nd half, which has occurred in seven consecutive home games under Hernán Crespo. Additionally, Grêmio have conceded in the second half in 7 of their last 8 away matches in Serie A.No comments
Betting Tips: Sao Paulo - Gremio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
