Derby vs Millwall Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 December 2025
🔊 The upcoming clash between Derby County and Millwall promises to be thrilling. The teams have different objectives in the standings. Derby County, sitting in 15th place, aims to secure a mid-table position, while Millwall, currently third, are fighting for promotion. Motivation will be a key factor for both sides: the Rams are playing at home and will be eager to break their poor head-to-head run against the Lions on their own turf.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 22 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Derby ):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 0 vs 4.
📊Analytical review of previous official games between the teams Derby and Millwall:
- played 34 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 9, for the away team - 14, draws - 11;
- number of goals (home/away) - 35 against 38;
- average total goals in the match - 2.15.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Millwall
Derby Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Derby , away team - Leicester City). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:3.
Here's the game statistics (Derby vs Leicester City):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Derby County are showing inconsistent form this season. In their last five matches, the team have secured two wins and suffered three losses, highlighting some ongoing issues. Their playing style relies on attacking down the flanks and engaging in active battles for possession in midfield. However, the Rams have a tendency to concede frequently, with an average of 1.47 goals per game.
Match Results: Derby
Millwall Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Championship tournament (home team - Bristol City, away - Millwall). The match concluded with a scoreline of 0:1.
Here are the match stats (Millwall vs Bristol City):
- ball possession: 33% vs 67%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 8;
- fouls: 18 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 6 vs 3.
Millwall are having a strong season, currently sitting in third place thanks to their consistent performances both in defense and attack. Over their last five matches, they've secured three wins and a draw, indicating a positive mindset ahead of this clash. The team's strength lies in their organization without the ball and their ability to swiftly transition from defense to attack after regaining possession. Millwall's average scoring rate is 1.21 goals per game, though they do concede a fair amount as well, with 1.32 goals against them.
Match Results: Millwall
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Derby (Home) vs Millwall (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 10 vs 9;
- Number of wins: 3 (30%) vs 2 (22.22%);
- Number of losses: 4 (40%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Number of draws: 3 (30%) vs 4 (44.44%);
- Average total goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.22;
- Average total goals conceded: 0.9 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 7 vs 3;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- Number of draws: 1 vs 5;
- Average first half total: 1.2 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.2 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.5).
- Derby have won the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games (Championship).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- home team wins - 9, away team wins - 14, draws - 11.
Statistics: Derby vs Millwall
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- wins: 7 vs 10;
- win percentage: 37% vs 53%;
- losses: 7 vs 5;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 0 vs 2.
- Derby have not won in last 5 home games against Millwall (Championship).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.03, the guests - 1.12;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.15;
- both teams scored: overall - 14; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Derby vs Millwall
- average total in the tournament: 2.84 vs 2.53;
- average total goals scored: 1.37 vs 1.21;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.58 vs 0.58;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.79 vs 0.63;
- Derby : average total at home in the tournament - 1.3;
- Millwall: average total away in the tournament - 1.22;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.4) vs 1.4 (away - 1.2).
- Derby have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Millwall (Championship).
- Derby have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 home games against Millwall (Championship).
Prediction on corners
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.74; at home field - 5.2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6; at home field - 6.2.
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.21, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.5; away - 3.8.
- Derby have taken under 5.5 corners in 7 of last 8 games against Millwall (Championship).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 2.06 (1.03 for home team and 1.03 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 1.94 (0.65 for home team and 1.29 for away team).
Derby : Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.58; at home - 2.4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.9; at home - 2.
Millwall: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.89, away - 2.22;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 2.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 34;
- both teams scored all-time - 14 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Derby vs Millwall
- number of matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 19;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 14 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Derby at home - 7 (70%);
- number of BTTS matches for Millwall away - 6 (67%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Derby at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Millwall away - 3 (60%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (36/226, 15.9%);
- Derby at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/10, 30%);
- Millwall away most often play: 0:1 , 1:1 , 1:2 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.85% (odds 5.35)
1:0 - 10.34% (odds 6.15)
0:1 - 8.98% (odds 6.9)
- Derby lost 0:1 in 4 of last 5 home games against Millwall (Championship).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the teams' form and recent trends, an open game with both sides likely to score seems on the cards. Derby County need to break their winless streak against Millwall at home, but given the visitors' significantly better form, we find that unlikely. Our main bet is Millwall to avoid defeat.
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Betting Tips: Derby - Millwall
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