Empoli vs Palermo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
📢 Empoli and Palermo come into this match in very different form. The hosts sit just 13th and have lost three of their five Serie B fixtures, struggling badly for goals. Palermo, by contrast, are top of the table and have been picking up points consistently, winning four of those five matches. The gap in current form makes this a difficult test for Empoli.
Head-to-Head
Palermo beat Empoli 3-2 at home in their Serie B meeting on 07 February 2026, despite the visitors having more shots - 17 to 12 - and more shots on target - 8 to 3. The score was level at 1-1 at half-time.
Across 20 official meetings, Empoli have the upper hand: nine wins to Palermo's six, with five draws. The difference is particularly pronounced at Empoli's ground, where the hosts have won six of the ten meetings there and scored 20 goals to Palermo's nine.
Head-to-head statistics Empoli - Palermo
Empoli Team Overview
Empoli lost 2-1 away to Modena in their last Serie B match on 20 September 2026. They led 1-0 at half-time but managed only nine shots across the whole game, compared to 22 for their opponents.
Empoli have struggled to find any consistency at the start of the season, picking up six points and sitting 13th in the table. Their five-match record has been straightforward: two wins and three defeats. Across their last ten matches, Empoli have won just three times and lost five, averaging only 0.9 goals per game. Their attack has been even more modest this season, scoring at 0.8 goals per match, while the defence concedes an average of 1.2. That gap makes it difficult for the team to produce positive results on a regular basis.
Match Results: Empoli
Palermo Team Overview
In their previous Serie B match on 19 September 2026, Palermo beat Padova 2-1 at home. The shot counts were close - 22 to 20 - but the hosts had seven shots on target to Padova's five, and Padova finished the match with a red card.
Palermo top the table with 13 points heading into the sixth round, and they arrive in excellent form. They are unbeaten in the league so far this season, with four wins and one draw. Over a longer run of ten matches, the record is also impressive - seven wins, one draw and two defeats. Palermo are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game and conceding one, showing a good balance between attack and defence. Notably, they have won seven of their previous eight matches.
Match Results: Palermo
Total Goals Prediction
In 9 of Palermo's last 10 away matches, the total goals have been under 3.5, which supports the trend. Empoli also average 0.8 goals per game this season, and just 0.5 at home, which further points towards the low-scoring line. Palermo don't concede many goals in away matches either. We're backing Total Goals - Under 3.5 at odds of 1.39*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
Correct Score Prediction
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm identifies three most likely scorelines: 0-1 (13.47%), 1-1 (11.94%) and 0-0 (9.12%). The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 win for Palermo, though draw scenarios also carry significant weight. All three options point to an expectation of low scoring in the match.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Palermo are considered favourites for this match, and it is hard to argue with that assessment given both teams' results at the start of the season. The visitors lead the table, have won four of their five league matches, and have looked considerably more assured in attack. Empoli have shown neither consistency nor a high level of scoring so far, so even at home they will find it difficult to stop an opponent who has hit their stride. Our pick is a Palermo win.
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Betting Tips: Empoli - Palermo
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