Juarez vs Tijuana Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026
🔊 The current meeting between Juárez and Tijuana is defined by the contrast between the hosts' poor form and the visitors' position in the table. Juárez have lost four of their last five matches, while Tijuana remain in the play-off places and have reason not to drop points away from home. With both sides low on goals - Juárez especially so - the match could shape up as a battle for control without either team gaining a clear upper hand.
Tijuana have historically held the upper hand over Juárez in their head-to-head encounters.
Tijuana beat Juárez away 2-1 in their Liga MX match 11 April 2026. The expected goals favoured Juárez - 2.63 to 1.38 - though Juárez lost the shots on target count 1-6.
Across 16 official meetings, Tijuana have won seven times, Juárez four, with five draws. On Juárez's ground, each side has won twice, with four draws.
Head-to-head statistics Juarez - Tijuana
What’s behind Juárez’s poor run of form
Juárez lost 1-2 away to León in their last Liga MX match 28 September 2026. Despite having nine shots to seven and an expected goals advantage of 1.39 to 0.92, the visitors managed just one shot on target.
Juárez are going through a difficult spell: they have lost four of their last five matches, with one win. Over their last ten games, the hosts are averaging just 1.1 goals scored and 2.3 conceded - one of the weakest defensive records in the league at this stage. The run of defeats makes it hard to talk about any stability or potential for a turnaround. The absence of any meaningful objective in the table adds nothing in the way of internal motivation either: the team sit bottom and are playing without any pressure on results.
Match Results: Juarez
Tijuana struggle in attack and their defense remains shaky.
In their last Liga MX home match, Tijuana lost 2-3 to Atlas 26 September 2026, despite leading 2-1 at half-time. Atlas were well on top in terms of shots - 21 to 10 - and possession - 70% to 30%.
Tijuana sit eighth and are right on the playoff line, so holding that position matters even at this mid-season stage. They have won twice in their last five matches, with two defeats and one draw, and their average of 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last ten matches points to moderate attacking output alongside an inconsistent defence. The motivation to stay in the top positions adds to the visitors' determination going into every away fixture.
Match Results: Tijuana
Prediction for the 1st half
In 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between Juárez and Tijuana, the first half has ended level. This is a consistent pattern backed by a reasonably large sample of head-to-head matches. The first-half scoring statistics for both sides this season don't point to a clear favourite, which indirectly supports a high probability of a draw in the opening 45 minutes. We're backing Half-Time Draw at 2.10*.
Total Goals Prediction
In 12 of the last 14 head-to-head meetings between Juárez and Tijuana, the total goals has been under 3.5, pointing to fairly tight matches between these two sides. Juárez's average this season is just 0.7 goals per match, while Tijuana average 1.56 goals. The data supports a low-scoring outcome, and nothing in the recent statistics contradicts that, so a bet on Total Goals - Under 3.5 looks justified at odds of 1.33*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams have scored in each of their last 5 head-to-head meetings, which reflects a certain tendency for goals to be exchanged in their encounters. Juárez score and concede relatively little on average this season (0.7 scored and 2.5 conceded), while Tijuana show higher attacking output. The tension lies in Juárez's low scoring rate, though the recent head-to-head trend and the goals conceded per game in their last 10 home matches (1.33) support the likelihood of both teams getting on the scoresheet. The odds on Both Teams to Score - Yes are 1.59*.
Reliable Bet
Tijuana have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in each of their last 7 matches, which points to a consistent trend. Their average of 1.56 goals per match this season is also well below the selected line. There are no significant conflicts with the current statistics, so Tijuana Team Total - Under 2.5 looks like a reliable bet at odds of 1.18*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely scorelines are 1-1 (12.7%), 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-1 (7.65%). The 1-1 result stands out as the most probable of the three, though the gap in probability between the three scenarios is not particularly large. This reflects a fairly even distribution of strength between the two sides.
*Odds are indicative and may vary depending on the bookmaker.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
The overall picture is that neither side looks like a clear favourite to win, and Both Teams to Score - Yes appears to be the bet with the most logical backing based on both teams' form. The trend shows that Juárez have scored and conceded in five consecutive head-to-head matches between these sides in Liga MX. Our prediction: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
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Betting Tips: Juarez - Tijuana
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in 8 of last 9 games (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 games.
in 4 of last 5 away games (Liga MX).
in 9 of last 10 games (Liga MX).in 6 of last 7 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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