Aston Villa vs Brentford Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 October 2026

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    🔊 Aston Villa and Brentford meet in the fifth round of the English Premier League. Unai Emery's side need to do everything they can to be competing for something more than just survival in the division, and that means picking up points now. The Bees, meanwhile, have been one of the surprise packages of the early season and, to the amazement of English football fans, sit fourth after five rounds. Can Emery repeat last round's success and take another three points, or will the visitors' impressive form prevent him from doing so?

    Recently, Brentford have had the upper hand against Aston Villa.

    📊 The two sides met three times last season. Brentford beat Villa 1-0 on both occasions in the Premier League, and the third meeting came in the League Cup, where Brentford again came out on top, winning on penalties. The Bees, then, have had the better of the recent head-to-head meetings.

    Head-to-head statistics Aston Villa - Brentford

    24%
    4 Wins
    35%
    6 Draws
    41%
    7 Wins
    Total games
    17
    Avg. total goals
    2.47
    Both teams scored
    59%
    1.24
    Average total
    1.24
    Last matches
    01.02.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Brentford
    Brentford
    1
    2.73
    0.44
    12
    1
    8
    8
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    2.73
    0.44
    12
    1
    8
    8
    0
    3
    16.09.25
    EFL Cup
    Brentford
    Brentford
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    0.56
    0.74
    3
    3
    12
    10
    0
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    4
    2
    0.56
    0.74
    3
    3
    12
    10
    0
    2
    23.08.25
    EPL
    Brentford
    Brentford
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.24
    1.21
    2
    9
    11
    9
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1.24
    1.21
    2
    9
    11
    9
    1
    2
    08.03.25
    EPL
    Brentford FC
    Brentford FC
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    0.64
    1.3
    6
    5
    10
    5
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0.64
    1.3
    6
    5
    10
    5
    2
    2
    04.12.24
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Brentford
    Brentford
    3.22
    1.13
    10
    5
    11
    14
    2
    2
    3
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3.22
    1.13
    10
    5
    11
    14
    2
    2
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    Aston Villa are struggling to deliver consistently at the back.

    In the previous round, Unai Emery's side managed to claim their first league win of the season, making a successful trip to Tottenham where they scored three times while conceding two. Before that match, Villa had been unable to win, making a large number of errors at the back and frequently conceding too many goals. The statistics bear this out - in three of their five league rounds played, Aston Villa conceded at least twice.

    There are, however, a few bright spots in the Birmingham side's early-season results. They made a positive start in the League Cup, progressing to the next round with a 3-1 win over Coventry, and also had a productive trip to Belgium, beating Club Brugge to earn their first three points in the Champions League. There is still plenty for the manager to work on in terms of the team's style of play and defensive organisation if they are to challenge in the upper reaches of the table and produce good results in Europe.

    Match Results: Aston Villa

    Last matches
    02.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    -
    -
    5
    5
    8
    19
    0
    2
    1
    3
    0
    0
    1
    3
    -
    -
    5
    5
    8
    19
    0
    2
    W
    19.09.26
    EPL
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Tottenham Hotspur
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.45
    1.53
    11
    1
    9
    13
    1
    2
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    1.45
    1.53
    11
    1
    9
    13
    1
    2
    W
    16.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Coventry
    Coventry
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    0.9
    2.2
    2
    9
    17
    12
    3
    3
    1
    3
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0.9
    2.2
    2
    9
    17
    12
    3
    3
    W
    12.09.26
    EPL
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    Nottingham Forest
    Nottingham Forest
    1.06
    2.38
    6
    1
    11
    16
    2
    5
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    2
    1.06
    2.38
    6
    1
    11
    16
    2
    5
    L
    08.09.26
    UCL
    Club Brugge
    Club Brugge
    Aston Villa
    Aston Villa
    1.61
    2.23
    4
    5
    17
    12
    3
    3
    2
    3
    1
    3
    1
    0
    1.61
    2.23
    4
    5
    17
    12
    3
    3
    W
    Empty
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    Brentford are currently enjoying an unbeaten run.

    Before the international break, Brentford made quite a statement with their fifth-round match against Chelsea. The Bees won the London derby convincingly, 3-0, and moved into the top four after five matches played. At the start of the season Brentford put together a seven-match unbeaten run across all competitions - two heavy wins over Chelsea and Tottenham, three scoring draws in the league, and progression through two rounds of the League Cup.

    The team's success comes from a good balance between attack and defence. They make good use of their chances while also knowing when to hold a lead - though that has let them down on a few occasions, when they have surrendered a one-goal advantage during a match and ended up drawing. It happened at Leeds and at home against Sunderland, both finishing 1-1. The match against Villa will be Brentford's third away fixture in this Premier League campaign; the first two both ended in draws.

    Match Results: Brentford

    Last matches
    18.09.26
    EPL
    Brentford
    Brentford
    Chelsea
    Chelsea
    2.13
    0.89
    4
    12
    10
    7
    2
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2.13
    0.89
    4
    12
    10
    7
    2
    0
    W
    15.09.26
    EFL Cup
    Reading
    Reading
    Brentford
    Brentford
    1.87
    2.4
    5
    7
    8
    11
    0
    0
    1
    2
    0
    2
    1
    0
    1.87
    2.4
    5
    7
    8
    11
    0
    0
    W
    12.09.26
    EPL
    Bournemouth
    Bournemouth
    Brentford
    Brentford
    2.13
    0.52
    2
    1
    10
    13
    5
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    2.13
    0.52
    2
    1
    10
    13
    5
    1
    D
    05.09.26
    EPL
    Brentford
    Brentford
    Sunderland
    Sunderland
    1.26
    2.4
    4
    3
    19
    9
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.26
    2.4
    4
    3
    19
    9
    3
    2
    D
    30.08.26
    EPL
    Leeds United
    Leeds United
    Brentford
    Brentford
    1.12
    1.84
    5
    6
    5
    13
    0
    4
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.12
    1.84
    5
    6
    5
    13
    0
    4
    D
    Empty
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    Latest news

    Aston Villa

    ❌ Amadou Onana and Ian Maatsen are unavailable to Unai Emery for this match through injury.

    ❓ Leon Goretzka's participation in the match is in doubt.

    Brentford

    ❓ Whether Mathias Jensen and Mikkel Damsgaard will be able to help their team remains unknown at this point.

    ⚽ Goals Prediction

    Although recent Premier League head-to-head meetings between these sides have not featured goals from both teams, they come into this match having both made an active start to the season, consistently scoring and conceding. The trend tells us that Brentford have scored and conceded in five consecutive away matches. Against that backdrop, we can expect Both Teams to Score - Yes, with bookmakers offering odds of 1.54*.

    🚩 Corner Prediction

    Total Corners - Over 8.5 has landed in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings between these sides at the home team's ground. This season, Unai Emery's side have tended to pin opponents back in their own box at Villa Park when the game isn't going to plan. In the previous head-to-head at this stadium, the hosts dominated completely and delivered a massive 12 corners. There is every reason to expect the two sides to clear Total Corners - Over 8.5 again (odds 1.38*).

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Aston Villa and Brentford have traditionally met in tight, uncompromising contests. In their most recent Premier League meeting at Villa Park - a 1-0 win for the Bees - the London side picked up four yellow cards and one red. Unai Emery's men need to turn their league form around after a difficult start. Villa will look to attack heavily, but when they lose the ball in the opposition half they frequently resort to tactical fouls to break up counter-attacks. The prediction is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5, priced at 1.75*.

    *Odds are approximate and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐️ Editorial Prediction

    Brentford have been making lively starts to matches recently and have consistently scored away from home in the first half in four consecutive matches. An early goal from the visitors would open the game up and set the platform for at least three goals in the match, and with the current form of both sides that is more than realistic. On top of that, Total Goals - Over 2.5 has landed in 6 of Aston Villa's last 7 home matches, which gives every reason to expect at least three goals here. The main prediction is Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 1-2.

    Total goals Over (2,5)
    Bovada
    Place a bet-141
    Published: 09/10/2026, 03:03
    Daniil Shilovich
    Daniil Shilovich
    Football expert
    11
    0
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    20 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Aston Villa - Brentford

    Brentford have drawn:
    brentford-fcin last 3 away games (Premier League).
    Draw
    Bovada
    +250
    Aston Villa have not lost:
    aston-villa-2brentford-fcin 7 of last 8 home games against Brentford.
    Brentford have not won:
    brentford-fcin last 7 away games (Premier League).
    Aston Villa will not lose
    Everygame
    -196
    Brentford have not lost:
    brentford-fcin last 9 games.
    brentford-fcin last 7 games (Premier League).
    brentford-fcin last 5 away games.
    Brentford will not lose
    Everygame
    -217
    Aston Villa have scored:
    aston-villa-2in 12 of last 13 home games.
    aston-villa-2in 8 of last 9 home games (Premier League).
    Brentford have conceded:
    brentford-fcin last 7 away games.
    Aston Villa will score goal
    -455
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 5
    Loss - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 16
    Conceded - 15
    +1
    +9
    21 - Scored
    12 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    5
    4
    Losses
    1
    Goal difference
    16
    Scored
    21
    15
    Conceded
    12
    3.1
    Average total per match
    3.3
    1.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    2.1
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.2
    6
    Both teams scored
    7
    56'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    43'
    View all stats