Malaga vs Las Palmas Prediction
🔊 Can Málaga hold onto the advantage they earned in the first leg? This Wednesday, Málaga and Las Palmas face off in the decisive return fixture, battling for a spot in next season’s La Liga. Thanks to home-field advantage, bookmakers are giving the Anchovies a slight edge.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 07 June 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Las Palmas):
- ball possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 2;
- fouls: 10 vs 16;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- shots on target: 2 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Malaga CF and Las Palmas:
- played 29 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 10, for the away team - 8, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 33 against 30;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.69, in the 2nd half - 1.48;
- average total goals in the match - 2.17.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Malaga CF Team Overview
The team's most recent fixture took place on in the Segunda, with Las Palmas playing host to Malaga. The match ended in a 0-1 defeat for the home side.
Here’s a breakdown of the key stats (Malaga vs Las Palmas):
- Possession: 40% vs 60%;
- Corners: 2 vs 4;
- Fouls committed: 16 vs 10;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 2;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 2.
Malaga have looked impressive over their last five matches, picking up four wins and a draw-a clear sign of strong form heading into the decisive clash of the season. Over their past ten outings, Malaga are averaging 2.1 goals per game while conceding just 1.2, boasting one of the best goal differences among the Segunda Division’s frontrunners. Motivation is at its peak: for the first time since the 2017/18 season, Malaga are on the verge of a return to Spanish football’s top flight.
Match Results: Malaga CF
Las Palmas Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Segunda División, facing Las Palmas away from home. Malaga came away with a 1-0 victory.
Here’s a look at the key stats from that fixture (Las Palmas vs Malaga):
- Possession: 60% vs 40%;
- Corners: 4 vs 2;
- Fouls: 10 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 4.
Over their last ten matches, Las Palmas have picked up six wins, suffered three defeats, and drawn once. They’re averaging 1.4 goals scored per game, while conceding at the same rate (1.4). Across the season, the visitors have generally played with more caution-averaging 1.33 goals scored and conceding less than one per match. However, their recent form suggests a shift towards a more open style of football, as reflected by the frequent exchange of goals in nearly every fixture lately.
Match Results: Las Palmas
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 8, draws - 11.
Statistics: Malaga CF vs Las Palmas
- matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- wins: 22 vs 20;
- win percentage: 51% vs 47%;
- losses: 11 vs 10;
- draws: 10 vs 13.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 1.
- Malaga CF have not lost in 8 of last 9 home games against Las Palmas (Segunda División).
- Malaga CF have not lost in 16 of last 17 home games (Segunda División).
- Malaga CF have not lost in last 6 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.14, the guests - 1.03;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.17;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 8.
Statistics: Malaga CF vs Las Palmas
- average total in the tournament: 2.98 vs 2.28;
- average total goals scored: 1.77 vs 1.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.7;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 0.63;
- Malaga CF: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Las Palmas: average total away in the tournament - 1.14;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.1 (home - 1.75) vs 1.4 (away - 1.4).
- Las Palmas have scored under 1.5 goals in 12 of last 14 away games against Malaga CF.
Prediction on corners
Malaga CF: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.19; at home field - 4.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 5.
Las Palmas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.4, away - 4.19;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; away - 4.8.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 29;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Malaga CF vs Las Palmas
- number of matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 26 vs 24;
- number of BTTS matches for Malaga CF at home - 14 (67%);
- number of BTTS matches for Las Palmas away - 13 (62%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Malaga CF at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Las Palmas away - 4 (80%).
- Las Palmas have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (58/464, 12.5%);
- Malaga CF at home most often finish matches: 2:1 (4/21, 19%);
- Las Palmas away most often play: 1:1 , 1:2 (4/21, 19%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.51% (odds 6)
1:0 - 9.41% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.83% (odds 8)
- Las Palmas won 2:1 in 3 of last 4 away games (Segunda División).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The key factor in this matchup is the recent scoring form of both sides, with Las Palmas showing a clear trend toward high-scoring, end-to-end football. Given Malaga’s consistent attacking displays at home and the visitors’ newfound willingness to play more openly, this clash promises chances at both ends throughout the full ninety minutes-especially with both teams highly motivated by their league ambitions. Our main prediction: both teams to score.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Malaga CF - Las Palmas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
