Las Palmas vs Malaga Prediction
🔊 This Sunday, Gran Canaria will host a high-stakes clash as Las Palmas take on Malaga in the first leg of the promotion playoff semi-finals for a coveted spot in Spain’s top flight. Both sides have enjoyed impressive campaigns, with their performances matching the standards of La Liga. However, bookmakers are giving the home side a two-to-one edge ahead of kickoff.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 11 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Malaga CF):
- ball possession percentage: 44% vs 56%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Las Palmas and Malaga CF:
- played 28 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 8, for the away team - 9, draws - 11;
- number of goals - 30 against 32;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.71, in the 2nd half - 1.5;
- average total goals in the match - 2.21.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Las Palmas Team Overview
The team’s most recent official fixture took place on in the Segunda, with Deportivo La Coruña playing host to Las Palmas. The visitors emerged victorious, sealing a 2-1 win.
Key match statistics (Las Palmas vs Deportivo La Coruña):
- Possession: 56% vs 44%;
- Corners: 5 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 8 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Las Palmas are enjoying an impressive run at home, having claimed victory in six of their last seven matches on their own turf-a testament to their confidence in familiar surroundings. Over their previous five fixtures, they have recorded three wins, one draw, and just one defeat. Throughout the season, Las Palmas average 1.36 goals per game while boasting a solid defensive record, conceding less than a goal per match (0.95).
Match Results: Las Palmas
Malaga CF Team Overview
The visitors’ most recent official fixture took place on in the Segunda Division, with Real Zaragoza hosting Malaga. The match ended in a 2-0 victory for Malaga.
Here’s a look at the key stats from the game (Malaga vs Real Zaragoza):
- Possession: 57% vs 43%;
- Corners: 6 vs 3;
- Fouls committed: 13 vs 11;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- Shots on target: 7 vs 2.
Malaga are currently in fine form, with five wins and a draw from their last six matches highlighting their strong run at this stage of the season. The visitors’ attacking output has been particularly impressive-they have averaged 2.3 goals per game over their last ten outings. However, their season-long average is slightly lower at 1.79 goals per match, while their defense remains somewhat vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.24 goals per game.
Match Results: Malaga CF
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 28;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 9;
- Average first-half total: 0.71;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.36, while the visitors net 0.36.
First-Half Stats: Las Palmas (home) vs Malaga CF (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 21 vs 21;
- wins: 12 (57.14%) vs 7 (33.33%);
- losses: 4 (19.05%) vs 6 (28.57%);
- draws: 5 (23.81%) vs 8 (38.1%);
- Average goals scored: 1.29 vs 1.1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.43.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 4;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.4) vs 1.3 (scored - 0.9, conceded - 0.4).
- Las Palmas scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 9, draws - 11.
Statistics: Las Palmas vs Malaga CF
- matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- wins: 20 vs 21;
- win percentage: 48% vs 50%;
- losses: 9 vs 11;
- draws: 13 vs 10.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 5;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Malaga CF won with a +1.5 handicap in last 14 away games against Las Palmas.
- Malaga CF won with a +1.5 handicap in last 34 games.
- Malaga CF won with a +1.5 handicap in last 32 games (Segunda División).
- Malaga CF won with a +1.5 handicap in last 18 away games.
- Malaga CF won with a +1.5 handicap in last 16 away games (Segunda División).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.07, the guests - 1.14;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.21;
- both teams scored: overall - 17; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Las Palmas vs Malaga CF
- average total in the tournament: 2.31 vs 3.02;
- average total goals scored: 1.36 vs 1.79;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.79;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.64 vs 1;
- Las Palmas: average total at home in the tournament - 1.57;
- Malaga CF: average total away in the tournament - 1.57;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 2.3 (away - 2.67).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Las Palmas games against Malaga CF (Segunda División).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 11 Las Palmas games (Segunda División).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 5 Las Palmas home games (Segunda División).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 10 Malaga CF games (Segunda División).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 7 Malaga CF away games (Segunda División).
Prediction on corners
Las Palmas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.4; at home field - 4.62;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 4.2.
Malaga CF: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.24, away - 4.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; away - 5.33.
- Malaga CF have taken under 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Las Palmas.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 28;
- both teams scored all-time - 17 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Las Palmas vs Malaga CF
- number of matches played in the tournament: 42 vs 42;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 24 vs 26;
- number of BTTS matches for Las Palmas at home - 11 (52%);
- number of BTTS matches for Malaga CF away - 12 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Las Palmas at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Malaga CF away - 5 (83%).
- Las Palmas have scored and conceded in last 6 games (Segunda División).
- Malaga CF have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (Segunda División).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (57/462, 12.3%);
- Las Palmas at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:1 (4/21, 19%);
- Malaga CF away most often play: 2:1 (4/21, 19%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.68% (odds 5)
1:0 - 9.59% (odds 5.5)
2:1 - 9.22% (odds 7)
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Both teams head into the decisive stage of the season riding impressive runs and boasting significant attacking firepower. Las Palmas consistently convert their chances at home, while Malaga make the most of their offensive strengths even on the road. However, the hosts have seen their defensive record worsen as the campaign draws to a close, whereas the visitors continue to score freely. The main prediction: both teams to score.
Will this prediction come true?
Betting Tips: Las Palmas - Malaga CF
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in 7 of last 8 away games (Segunda División).
in 8 of last 9 home games against Malaga CF.in 16 of last 17 home games (Segunda División).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
