Groningen vs Nijmegen Prediction 10 May 2026
🔊 Can NEC Nijmegen hold onto third place in the Eredivisie? With just two rounds remaining, their lead over fourth-placed Ajax is razor-thin-just one point. On Sunday, Nijmegen face an away game against Groningen, a team still clinging to mathematical hopes of securing a European competition spot, but they trail by a significant six points. Which club needs the victory more in this scenario? Let's assess each team's chances in our editorial prediction.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 09 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - NEC Nijmegen):
- ball possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 3;
- fouls: 6 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Groningen and NEC Nijmegen:
- played 17 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 5, for the away team - 8, draws - 4;
- number of goals - 22 against 29;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.35, in the 2nd half - 1.65;
- average total goals in the match - 3.
Head-to-head statistics Groningen - Nijmegen
Groningen Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - Groningen, away team - Excelsior). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:3.
Here's the game statistics (Groningen vs Excelsior):
- ball possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 8;
- fouls: 5 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 0;
- shots on target: 5 vs 9.
Groningen sit in 10th place in the Eredivisie standings, displaying rather inconsistent form. Over their last five matches, they have managed just two victories and are winless in their last three outings, suffering defeats in the most recent two. Despite a decent average of 1.41 goals scored per game, the players often struggle to maintain their lead due to frequent defensive errors, conceding an average of 1.34 goals per match.
Match Results: Groningen
NEC Nijmegen Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team - NEC Nijmegen, away - Telstar). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar):
- ball possession: 70% vs 30%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 0;
- fouls: 10 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
NEC Nijmegen hold a strong third place in the Eredivisie standings, thanks to their consistent performances throughout the season. However, recently the team has faltered, despite losing only twice in their last ten matches. One of these defeats was a 5-1 loss to AZ Alkmaar in the KNVB Cup final. In the league, NEC are currently on a run of three consecutive draws, maintaining a solid scoring rate of 2.31 goals per game, while also conceding an average of 1.56 goals.
Match Results: NEC Nijmegen
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- home team wins - 5, away team wins - 8, draws - 4.
Statistics: Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
- matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- wins: 12 vs 15;
- win percentage: 38% vs 47%;
- losses: 14 vs 6;
- draws: 6 vs 11.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 4;
- losses: 5 vs 2;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.29, the guests - 1.71;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3;
- both teams scored: overall - 9; at the home team's field - 4.
Statistics: Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 3.88;
- average total goals scored: 1.41 vs 2.31;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.59 vs 0.88;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.81 vs 1.44;
- Groningen: average total at home in the tournament - 1.56;
- NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 2.19;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.8) vs 1.9 (away - 1.75).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 17;
- both teams scored all-time - 9 times;
- on the home team’s field - 4 times.
Statistics: Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen
- number of matches played in the tournament: 32 vs 32;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 17 vs 26;
- number of BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 8 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 14 (88%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 7 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Groningen at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away - 3 (75%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (32/288, 11.1%);
- Groningen at home most often finish matches: 1:2 (3/16, 18.8%);
- NEC Nijmegen away most often play: 1:1 (4/16, 25%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 9.3% (odds 9)
1:2 - 8.73% (odds 9)
2:1 - 7.28% (odds 10)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
In this match, Groningen will be looking to break their streak of poor results, though it might be too late to turn things around: they trail the European competition spots by five points with just two rounds left in the championship. NEC Nijmegen, on the other hand, are highly motivated to maintain their position in the Eredivisie's top three. Considering both teams' form and the current season trends, it seems clear that Nijmegen need the points much more. With the visitors' impressive scoring ability, we predict they can outscore the hosts and leave Groningen with a victory. However, a less risky bet would be on NEC Nijmegen scoring over 1.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Groningen - NEC Nijmegen
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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