Fluminense vs Vitoria Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 May 2026
🔊 In the upcoming match, Fluminense host Vitória. The encounter promises to be intriguing, given the current form and league standings of both teams. Fluminense have shown mixed results in their last five matches, with two draws and one win, yet they traditionally perform well at home. Meanwhile, Vitória exhibit a more confident style on the road, making them formidable opponents.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 20 September 2025 and ended with a 0-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (Vitória were the home side):
- possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 10 vs 6;
- fouls: 17 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 4 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Fluminense and Vitoria:
- 23 matches played;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 5, draws - 8;
- goals scored - 36 against 28;
- average first-half total - 1, second-half - 1.78;
- average total goals per match - 2.78.
Head-to-head statistics Fluminense - Vitoria
Fluminense Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, featuring Independiente Rivadavia as the home side and Fluminense as the visitors. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Fluminense vs Independiente Rivadavia):
- possession percentage: 73% vs 27%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 6;
- fouls: 14 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
🟢 Fluminense are currently sitting third in the table, and their home form is impressive, boasting victories in 15 of their last 16 matches. However, their recent five-game run has been less successful, with only one win, two losses, and two draws. Their attack is moderately effective, averaging around 1.64 goals per game. Despite this, they frequently concede even when playing at home.
Match Results: Fluminense
Vitoria Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Copa do Nordeste, with Vitória hosting Ceará. The match ended 1-0.
Here are the game statistics (Vitória vs Ceará):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 11 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 9 vs 5.
🔴 Vitória currently sit in ninth place and have shown consistent form in recent matches, securing two consecutive wins in their last five outings. They average 1.23 goals per game, but when facing top teams, they can surprise with their determination and attacking efficiency.
Match Results: Vitoria
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 23;
- home team first-half wins - 6; away team first-half wins - 0; draws - 6;
- average first-half total: 1;
- today's home side averages 0.57 goals, visitors average 0.43.
First-Half Statistics: Fluminense (home) vs Vitória (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 7 vs 6;
- wins: 3 (42.86%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 1 (14.29%) vs 3 (50%);
- draws: 3 (42.86%) vs 3 (50%);
- average goals scored: 1 vs 1.83;
- average goals conceded: 0.29 vs 1.5.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 0 vs 5;
- losses: 3 vs 0;
- draws: 7 vs 5;
- average first-half total: 0.7 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.4 (scored - 1, conceded - 0.4).
- Vitória have conceded in the first half in 7 of their last 8 away matches (Serie A).
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 23;
- home wins - 10, away wins - 5, draws - 8.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Vitoria
- matches in the tournament: 14 vs 13;
- wins: 8 vs 5;
- win percentage: 57% vs 38%;
- losses: 4 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- wins: 2 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 2;
- draws: 4 vs 3.
- Vitoria covers the +1.5 handicap in the last 8 head-to-head away matches (Serie A).
- Vitoria covers the +1.5 handicap in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (average total):
- home team - 1.57, away team - 1.22;
- in head-to-head matches - 2.78;
- both teams scored: all-time - 16 times; at the home ground - 7 times.
Average Total Statistics: Fluminense vs Vitoria
- in the tournament: 2.93 vs 2.62;
- goals scored: 1.64 vs 1.23;
- first half: 0.71 vs 0.54;
- second half: 0.93 vs 0.69;
- Fluminense at home in the tournament - 1.86;
- Vitoria away in the tournament - 0.67;
- last 10 matches: 0.9 (home - 1.33) vs 1.9 (away - 1.25).
- Fluminense concede at home in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings (Serie A).
- Fluminense concede in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
- Vitoria score in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Corners Prediction
Fluminense: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.79; at home - 5.71;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.5; at home - 5.33.
Vitoria: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 3.85, away - 3.83;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4; away - 2.
- Fluminense deliver fewer than 5.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- played - 23;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- at the home ground - 7 times.
Statistics: Fluminense vs Vitoria
- played in the tournament: 14 vs 13;
- season matches where both teams scored (BTTS): 10 vs 6;
- Fluminense BTTS at home - 5 (71%);
- Vitoria BTTS away - 4 (67%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 6 vs 7;
- Fluminense BTTS at home - 3 (100%);
- Vitoria BTTS away - 4 (100%).
Exact Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1-1 (18/137, 13.1%);
- Fluminense at home most often finish matches: 1-0, 2-1 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Vitoria away most often play: 1-1 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top-3 outcomes:
1-0 - 11.38% (odds: 6)
2-0 - 10.35% (odds: 6.5)
1-1 - 10.08% (odds: 7.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Fluminense have a clear edge when it comes to home game statistics, but the numbers suggest that the visitors can put up a fight given their current form. We predict a Vitória win with a +1.5 handicap, as they have covered this handicap in 8 consecutive head-to-head matches against Fluminense in Serie A. Additionally, this bet has come through in 9 of the last 10 games for the club from Salvador.No comments
Betting Tips: Fluminense - Vitoria
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