Emelec vs Libertad Loja Prediction 10 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming match promises to be tactically intriguing. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the table, making every point crucial for them. Emelec, despite their inconsistent results, showcase a more organized defense. Meanwhile, Libertad are eager to rectify recent setbacks and improve their standings.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 August 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (Libertad were the hosts):
- possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corners: 9 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of the official head-to-head encounters between Emelec and Libertad:
- 6 matches played;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3;
- total goals - 6 for Emelec, 4 for Libertad;
- average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 0.67;
- average total goals per match - 1.67.
Head-to-head statistics Emelec - Libertad Loja

Emelec Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in Serie A, with Leones del Norte hosting Emelec. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home side.
Here are the match statistics (Emelec vs Leones del Norte):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
- fouls: 10 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Emelec find themselves low in the standings and are eager to climb up the table. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. The team struggles offensively, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals in eight consecutive games. This is underscored by their last ten matches, where they average just 0.8 goals per game. However, their defense shows some resilience, effectively limiting the opposition's chances.
Match Results: Emelec

Libertad Loja Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, with Libertad hosting Aucas. The game ended with a 3-2 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Libertad vs Aucas):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 6 vs 9.
Libertad are still searching for their rhythm. Their current form leaves much to be desired: four losses and just one win in their last five matches. The team struggles with finishing attacks, as evidenced by an average of only 0.9 goals scored per game over the last ten matches. Their defense isn't much better, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match in the same period. However, Libertad have the potential to surprise opponents with quick counterattacks and standout performances from their key players.
Match Results: Libertad Loja
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 6;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
- Average first-half total: 1;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.33.
First-Half Stats: Emelec (home) vs Libertad Loja (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
- wins: 1 (16.67%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (50%);
- draws: 5 (83.33%) vs 3 (50%);
- Average goals scored: 1 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.83.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 1 vs 1;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 7 vs 4;
- Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.7).
- Emelec have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.
Statistics: Emelec vs Libertad Loja
- matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- win percentage: 33% vs 25%;
- losses: 6 vs 5;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 5 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Libertad Loja have not won in last 14 away games.
- Libertad Loja have not won in last 13 away games (Serie A).
- Libertad Loja have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.67;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
- both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.
Statistics: Emelec vs Libertad Loja
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.25;
- average total goals scored: 0.75 vs 0.92;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.42 vs 0.67;
- Emelec: average total at home in the tournament - 1.17;
- Libertad Loja: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.4).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Emelec games (Serie A).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.34 (3.67 - for home team and 4.67 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9 (6.33 - for home team and 2.67 - for away team).
Emelec: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5.5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.4.
Libertad Loja: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.42, away - 4.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.8.
- Emelec have taken under 6.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 6;
- both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
- on the home team’s field - 1 times.
Statistics: Emelec vs Libertad Loja
- number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 6;
- number of BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 3 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 3 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
- BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 2 (40%);
- BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (18/96, 18.8%);
- Emelec at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 2:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
- Libertad Loja away most often play: 2:1 (2/6, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 14.37% (odds 6)
1:1 - 12.16% (odds 6.5)
2:0 - 10.35% (odds 7.5)