Emelec vs Libertad Loja Prediction 10 May 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 The upcoming match promises to be tactically intriguing. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the table, making every point crucial for them. Emelec, despite their inconsistent results, showcase a more organized defense. Meanwhile, Libertad are eager to rectify recent setbacks and improve their standings.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 August 2025 and ended with a 1-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that match (Libertad were the hosts):

    • possession: 63% vs 37%;
    • corners: 9 vs 2;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2.

    📊 Statistical preview of the official head-to-head encounters between Emelec and Libertad:

    • 6 matches played;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3;
    • total goals - 6 for Emelec, 4 for Libertad;
    • average goals in the first half - 1, in the second half - 0.67;
    • average total goals per match - 1.67.

    Head-to-head statistics Emelec - Libertad Loja

    29%
    2 Wins
    57%
    4 Draws
    14%
    1 Win
    Total games
    7
    Total Goals Avg
    1.71
    Both teams scored
    57%
    1
    Total average
    0.71
    4.71
    Corner
    4.14
    2
    Yellow cards
    2.43
    Last matches
    10.05.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    11
    1
    15
    12
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    11
    1
    15
    12
    2
    2
    03.08.25
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Emelec
    Emelec
    1.13
    1.46
    9
    2
    -
    -
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1.13
    1.46
    9
    2
    -
    -
    2
    2
    12.04.25
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    0.42
    0.63
    7
    6
    7
    18
    1
    5
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.42
    0.63
    7
    6
    7
    18
    1
    5
    30.11.24
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Emelec
    Emelec
    0.81
    0.76
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    3
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0.81
    0.76
    -
    -
    -
    -
    3
    3
    01.06.24
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    3
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    -
    2
    3
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Emelec Team Overview

    The team's last official match took place on in Serie A, with Leones del Norte hosting Emelec. The game concluded with a 2-0 victory for the home side.

    Here are the match statistics (Emelec vs Leones del Norte):

    • possession: 54% vs 46%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 3;
    • fouls: 10 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 2 vs 3.

    Emelec find themselves low in the standings and are eager to climb up the table. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. The team struggles offensively, scoring fewer than 1.5 goals in eight consecutive games. This is underscored by their last ten matches, where they average just 0.8 goals per game. However, their defense shows some resilience, effectively limiting the opposition's chances.

    Match Results: Emelec

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    4
    15
    14
    2
    1
    W
    24.08.26
    Serie A
    LDU Quito
    LDU Quito
    1
    Emelec
    Emelec
    -
    -
    10
    3
    10
    9
    0
    2
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    10
    3
    10
    9
    0
    2
    L
    16.08.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    Tecnico Universitario
    Tecnico Universitario
    -
    -
    4
    8
    7
    12
    0
    2
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    8
    7
    12
    0
    2
    W
    10.08.26
    Serie A
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    Emelec
    Emelec
    -
    -
    5
    1
    10
    17
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    1
    10
    17
    0
    1
    D
    02.08.26
    Serie A
    Emelec
    Emelec
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    -
    -
    4
    3
    13
    13
    2
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    3
    13
    13
    2
    1
    L
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    Libertad Loja Team Overview

    The visitors last played an official match on in Serie A, with Libertad hosting Aucas. The game ended with a 3-2 scoreline.

    Here are the match statistics (Libertad vs Aucas):

    • possession: 38% vs 62%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
    • fouls: 12 vs 14;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 6 vs 9.

    Libertad are still searching for their rhythm. Their current form leaves much to be desired: four losses and just one win in their last five matches. The team struggles with finishing attacks, as evidenced by an average of only 0.9 goals scored per game over the last ten matches. Their defense isn't much better, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match in the same period. However, Libertad have the potential to surprise opponents with quick counterattacks and standout performances from their key players.

    Match Results: Libertad Loja

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Serie A
    SD Aucas
    SD Aucas
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    2
    2
    13
    9
    2
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    2
    13
    9
    2
    1
    L
    25.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Macara
    Macara
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    11
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    6
    4
    13
    11
    3
    2
    W
    15.08.26
    Serie A
    Guayaquil City
    Guayaquil City
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    -
    -
    1
    3
    8
    14
    1
    2
    2
    2
    0
    2
    2
    0
    -
    -
    1
    3
    8
    14
    1
    2
    D
    10.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    2
    Universidad Catolica
    Universidad Catolica
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    5
    5
    11
    6
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Serie A
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    Orense
    Orense
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    2
    4
    20
    7
    0
    0
    W
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 6;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 2; for visitors away - 0; number of draws - 1;
    • Average first-half total: 1;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.67, while the visitors net 0.33.

    First-Half Stats: Emelec (home) vs Libertad Loja (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 6 vs 6;
    • wins: 1 (16.67%) vs 0 (0%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 3 (50%);
    • draws: 5 (83.33%) vs 3 (50%);
    • Average goals scored: 1 vs 1;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.33 vs 0.83.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 1 vs 1;
    • losses: 2 vs 5;
    • draws: 7 vs 4;
    • Average first-half total: 0.8 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.4) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.7).
    Trends
    • Emelec have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half Draw (odds: 2.1)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • home team wins - 2, away team wins - 1, draws - 3.

    Statistics: Emelec vs Libertad Loja

    • matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • wins: 4 vs 3;
    • win percentage: 33% vs 25%;
    • losses: 6 vs 5;
    • draws: 2 vs 4.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 4 vs 2;
    • losses: 5 vs 5;
    • draws: 1 vs 3.
    Trends
    • Libertad Loja have not won in last 14 away games.
    • Libertad Loja have not won in last 13 away games (Serie A).
    • Libertad Loja have not won in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Emelec will not lose (odds: 1.19)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1, the guests - 0.67;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.67;
    • both teams scored: overall - 3; at the home team's field - 1.

    Statistics: Emelec vs Libertad Loja

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 2.25;
    • average total goals scored: 0.75 vs 0.92;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.33 vs 0.25;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.42 vs 0.67;
    • Emelec: average total at home in the tournament -  1.17;
    • Libertad Loja: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 0.8 (home - 1.2) vs 0.9 (away - 0.4).
    Trends
    • Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Emelec games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Emelec Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.62)

    Prediction on corners

    H2H

    • average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.34 (3.67 - for home team and 4.67 - for away team);
    • average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9 (6.33 - for home team and 2.67 - for away team).

    Emelec: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.5; at home field - 5.5;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.4; at home field - 5.4.

    Libertad Loja: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.42, away - 4.33;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.7; away - 3.8.
    Trends
    • Emelec have taken under 6.5 corners in 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Emelec Total Under (6,5) (odds: 1.73)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 6;
    • both teams scored all-time - 3 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 1 times.

    Statistics: Emelec vs Libertad Loja

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 12 vs 12;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 6;
    • number of BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 3 (50%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 3 (50%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 3 vs 5;
    • BTTS matches for Emelec at home - 2 (40%);
    • BTTS matches for Libertad Loja away - 2 (40%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No) (odds: 1.74)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:0 (18/96, 18.8%);
    • Emelec at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:3 , 2:0 , 2:1 (1/6, 16.7%);
    • Libertad Loja away most often play: 2:1 (2/6, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:0 - 14.37% (odds 6)
    1:1 - 12.16% (odds 6.5)
    2:0 - 10.35% (odds 7.5)

    👉Prediction: Correct Score (1:0) (odds: 6)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering current trends and statistics, the match is likely to be low-scoring. Both teams are struggling to find the back of the net-Emelec have failed to score more than 1.5 goals in their last eight games, and Libertad are also showing a lack of scoring prowess. Recent head-to-head stats reveal that under 2.5 goals has been a common outcome in most of their matches. Therefore, a low-scoring affair seems to be the most likely outcome.

    Total goals Under (2,5)
    Published: 08/05/2026, 07:40

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    Betting Tips: Emelec - Libertad Loja

    Emelec have drawn in the 1st half:
    club-sport-emelecin 6 of last 7 games (Serie A).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +125
    Libertad Loja have not won:
    libertad-lojain last 14 away games.
    libertad-lojain last 13 away games (Serie A).
    libertad-lojain 8 of last 9 games (Serie A).
    Emelec will not lose
    Everygame
    -833
    Emelec have scored under 2.5 goals:
    club-sport-emeleclibertad-lojain last 6 games against Libertad Loja (Serie A).
    club-sport-emelecin 10 of last 11 home games.
    club-sport-emelecin 9 of last 10 home games (Serie A).
    Emelec Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -333
    Over 1.5 goals scored:
    club-sport-emelecin 9 of last 10 Emelec home games.
    club-sport-emelecin 8 of last 9 Emelec home games (Serie A).
    libertad-lojain 10 of last 11 Libertad Loja away games.
    libertad-lojain 9 of last 10 Libertad Loja away games (Serie A).
    Total goals Over (1,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Emelec - Libertad Loja Table position

    LigaPro Primera A 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    6.
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    Barcelona Guayaquil
    27109828-2239
    7.
    Libertad Loja
    Libertad Loja
    271071029-3037
    8.
    Mushuc Runa
    Mushuc Runa
    2799933-3436
    10.
    Leones Del Norte
    Leones Del Norte
    27981029-3035
    11.
    Emelec
    Emelec
    27981023-3232
    12.
    Cuenca
    Cuenca
    27951323-3532

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    3 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 2
    Loses - 2
    10 matches
    Scored - 9
    Conceded - 15
    -6
    +7
    12 - Scored
    5 - Conceded
    3
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    2
    4
    Loses
    2
    Goal difference
    9
    Scored
    12
    15
    Conceded
    5
    2.4
    Match goals average
    1.7
    0.9
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.2
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    2
    100'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    75'
    View all stats