Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 10 May 2026
🔊 In the upcoming Serie A clash, Corinthians face off against São Paulo. Both teams bring unique strengths and motivations to the table. Corinthians, currently sitting in 17th place, are eager to climb up the standings and steer clear of the relegation zone. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with three wins in their last five matches, alongside a loss and a draw. On the other hand, São Paulo hold the fourth spot, showcasing stability with two victories and three draws in their last five outings. This promises to be an exciting encounter.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 18 January 2026 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Here's a comparison of the statistics from that encounter (with Corinthians as the home side):
- possession: 54% vs 46%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 19 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 5 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Corinthians and São Paulo:
- 65 matches played;
- home victories - 24, away victories - 19, draws - 22;
- goals scored - 91 by the home team, 79 by the visitors;
- average first-half total - 1.17, second-half - 1.45;
- average total goals per match - 2.62.
Head-to-head statistics Corinthians - Sao Paulo
Corinthians Team Overview
The team's last official match took place on in the Copa Libertadores, with Santa Fe as the home side and Corinthians as the visitors. The game concluded with a 1-1 draw.
Here are the match statistics (Corinthians vs Santa Fe):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 6 vs 4;
- fouls: 4 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 4;
- shots on target: 3 vs 7.
⚪ Corinthians are struggling with their scoring this season, averaging just 0.71 goals per match. However, their defense remains solid, conceding only 0.93 goals per game on average, highlighted by four consecutive clean sheets at home. The team's current form, with three wins out of their last five matches, suggests a potential upswing despite their low standing in the table (17th place). Their main goal is to stabilize their attack to achieve better results.
Match Results: Corinthians
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Copa Sudamericana, facing O'Higgins away. The match ended in a 0-0 draw.
Here are the match stats (São Paulo vs O'Higgins):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 2 vs 8;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
🔴 São Paulo are performing impressively, sitting in fourth place in the standings due to their balanced play in both attack and defense. Over their last ten matches, they have secured five wins, suffered two losses, and drawn three times, indicating strong form. Their average of 1.36 goals scored per match highlights their aggressive offensive style, complemented by a solid defense allowing just 0.7 goals per game.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 65;
- Home wins - 24, Away wins - 19, Draws - 22.
Statistics: Corinthians vs São Paulo
- Matches in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Wins: 3 vs 7;
- Win percentage: 21% vs 50%;
- Losses: 5 vs 4;
- Draws: 6 vs 3.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 5 vs 5;
- Losses: 2 vs 2;
- Draws: 3 vs 3.
- São Paulo have drawn in 4 of their last 5 away head-to-head clashes against Corinthians in Serie A.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches (Average Total):
- Home team - 1.4, Away team - 1.22;
- Overall head-to-head - 2.62;
- Both teams scored: all-time - 39 times; at home ground - 23 times.
Average Total Statistics: Corinthians vs São Paulo
- In the tournament: 1.64 vs 2.29;
- Goals scored: 0.71 vs 1.36;
- First half: 0.36 vs 0.36;
- Second half: 0.36 vs 1;
- Corinthians: at home in the tournament - 0.71;
- São Paulo: away in the tournament - 0.86;
- Last 10 matches: 1 (home - 1) vs 1.2 (away - 0.4).
- Corinthians score less than 1.5 goals in 15 of their last 17 head-to-head meetings with São Paulo in Serie A.
- Corinthians score less than 1.5 goals in their last 12 Serie A matches.
- Corinthians score less than 1.5 goals at home in their last 5 Serie A matches.
Corners Prediction
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 4.64; at home - 5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.6; at home - 5.6.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average total in the tournament - 6.93, away - 5.43;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 7.8; away - 5.6.
- São Paulo have taken more than 4.5 corners in each of their last five head-to-head matches against Corinthians in Serie A.
- São Paulo have taken more than 4.5 corners in their last seven Serie A matches.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Played - 65;
- Both teams scored all-time - 39 times;
- At home ground - 23 times.
Statistics: Corinthians vs São Paulo
- Played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- Matches this season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 7;
- Corinthians: BTTS at home - 2 (29%);
- São Paulo: BTTS away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 Matches:
- BTTS matches: 2 vs 3;
- Corinthians: BTTS at home - 0 (0%);
- São Paulo: BTTS away - 1 (20%).
- Corinthians have both scored and conceded in seven of their last eight head-to-head clashes with São Paulo in Serie A.
Correct Score Prediction
Frequent Score Statistics (Current Season):
- The most common scoreline in the tournament: 1-1 (18/137, 13.1%);
- Corinthians' most frequent home results: 0-0, 0-1, 0-2, 1-0, 1-1, 1-2, 2-0 (1/7, 14.3%);
- São Paulo's most frequent away result: 1-1 (2/7, 28.6%).
The algorithm predicts the top three outcomes based on statistics and probability distribution:
1-0 - 17.54% (odds of 6)
0-0 - 15.59% (odds of 7)
1-1 - 12.81% (odds of 6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the solid defense of the home team, we don't anticipate a game with plenty of chances for both sides. The total has gone under 2.5 goals in 9 of Corinthians' last 10 matches. Similarly, 6 of São Paulo's last 7 away games have also ended with a low-scoring outcome. Therefore, betting on under 2.5 goals seems to be the most reasonable prediction for this encounter.No comments
Betting Tips: Corinthians - Sao Paulo
in 4 of last 5 away games against Corinthians (Serie A).
in 9 of last 10 games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games against Sao Paulo.in 10 of last 11 games (Serie A).in 22 of last 23 home games against Sao Paulo.in last 13 home games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).in 8 of last 9 games.in 15 of last 17 games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).in last 12 games (Serie A).in last 5 home games (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
