Corinthians vs Sao Paulo Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 20 November 2025
🔊 The upcoming derby between Corinthians and São Paulo, known as "Majestoso," promises a thrilling contest for three crucial points. Both teams have shown inconsistent form in recent matches, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the encounter. Thirteenth-placed Corinthians have the chance to draw level on points with ninth-placed São Paulo with a win. A closely contested game is anticipated, with each side aiming to exploit the other's weaknesses to secure a result. It's worth noting that the hosts at Neo Química Arena will be eager to avenge their 2-0 away defeat in the first round.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 20 July 2025 and ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that encounter (with São Paulo as the home side):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 18 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
📊 Statistical preview of the official encounters between Corinthians and São Paulo:
- 63 matches played;
- home wins - 23, away wins - 19, draws - 21;
- goals scored - 87 for Corinthians and 77 for São Paulo;
- average first-half total - 1.17, second-half - 1.43;
- average total goals per match - 2.6.
Head-to-head statistics Corinthians - Sao Paulo
Corinthians Team Overview
The last official match was played on in the Serie A tournament, featuring Corinthians as the home team and Ceara as the visitors. The match concluded with a scoreline of 0-1.
Here's the game statistics (Corinthians vs Ceara):
- possession: 77% vs 23%;
- corners: 9 vs 4;
- fouls: 7 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 7;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
⚫ Corinthians have been inconsistent lately: after three wins, they suffered two losses against Bragantino (1-2) and Ceará (0-1). The team sits in 13th place and is searching for ways to improve their attacking play, with an average of just 1.06 goals per match. Their defense also requires bolstering, as Dorival Júnior's side concedes approximately 1.15 goals per game. Currently holding 42 points, Corinthians face the risk of slipping down a spot if they lose their upcoming match and 14th-placed Grêmio secures a victory in their fixture.
Match Results: Corinthians
Sao Paulo Team Overview
The visitors last played an official match on in the Serie A tournament, where São Paulo hosted Bragantino. The match ended with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (São Paulo vs Bragantino):
- possession percentage: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 7 vs 1;
- fouls: 9 vs 20;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
⚪ São Paulo face a daunting challenge as they aim for a spot in the Copa Libertadores zone. Currently sitting in ninth place, Hernán Crespo's side trails seventh-placed Fluminense by six points. The team's form has been inconsistent: following a home draw against Flamengo (2-2), the "Tricolors from São Paulo" suffered an away defeat to Bragantino (0-1). If this streak of poor results continues, São Paulo are unlikely to break into the top seven in the remaining four rounds. Moreover, there is a looming risk that the team could slip below their current ninth position.
Match Results: Sao Paulo
Outcome Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 63;
- Home wins - 23, Away wins - 19, Draws - 21.
Statistics: Corinthians vs São Paulo
- Matches played in the tournament: 33 vs 33;
- Victories: 11 vs 12;
- Win percentage: 33% vs 36%;
- Losses: 13 vs 12;
- Draws: 9 vs 9.
Last 10 Matches:
- Wins: 4 vs 3;
- Losses: 5 vs 6;
- Draws: 1 vs 1.
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Today's hosts average goals - 1.38, visitors - 1.22;
- Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.6;
- Both teams scored: overall - 37 times; at the host's venue - 21 times.
Statistics: Corinthians vs São Paulo
- Average tournament total: 2.21 vs 2.21;
- Average goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.12;
- First-half average total: 0.33 vs 0.61;
- Second-half average total: 0.73 vs 0.52;
- Corinthians: home tournament average total - 1.31;
- São Paulo: away tournament average total - 0.94;
- Last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1.4) vs 1 (away - 1).
- Corinthians score less than 1.5 goals in 15 of the last 16 head-to-head Serie A meetings.
- Corinthians score less than 1.5 goals at home in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head Serie A meetings.
Corner Prediction
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.64; at home - 5.44;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 4.9; at home - 5.4.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 4.97, away - 4.69;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 6.3; away - 5.25.
Card Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches
- Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 3.58 (1.79 for the hosts and 1.79 for the visitors);
- Average yellow cards at the host's venue - 3.8 (1.8 for the hosts and 2 for the visitors).
Corinthians: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 3.09; at home - 2.63;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 3.3; at home - 2.6.
São Paulo: Statistics
- Season: average tournament total - 2.73, away - 2.5;
- Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; away - 2.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 63;
- Both teams scored overall - 37 times;
- At the host's venue - 21 times.
Statistics: Corinthians vs São Paulo
- Tournament matches played: 33 vs 33;
- Matches with both teams scoring (BTTS) this season: Corinthians - 16, São Paulo - 13;
- BTTS at home for Corinthians - 7 (44%);
- BTTS away for São Paulo - 6 (38%).
Last 10 Matches:
- Matches with BTTS: Corinthians - 4, São Paulo - 2;
- BTTS for Corinthians at home - 1 (20%);
- BTTS for São Paulo away - 0 (0%).
- Corinthians score and concede in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head Serie A meetings.
- Corinthians score and concede at home in five consecutive head-to-head matches.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the current form of both teams and their head-to-head statistics, we can anticipate a closely contested match with low scoring: the under 2.5 goals bet has come through six times in the last seven meetings between these clubs at Corinthians' home ground. Thus, betting on a low-scoring outcome appears to be the most reasonable choice for this match, given past results and the pattern of play. The hosts might not manage to secure a win, but we also don't foresee their defeat. We predict the "Majestoso" will end in a 1-1 draw.
No comments
Betting Tips: Corinthians - Sao Paulo
in 8 of last 9 home games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).
in last 4 home games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).in 6 of last 7 games against Sao Paulo..svg)
in 20 of last 21 home games against Sao Paulo.in last 12 home games against Sao Paulo (Serie A).Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
