St Pauli vs Leipzig Prediction
🔊 In a few days, St. Pauli return to the Millerntor to play their rescheduled Matchday 16 fixture against Leipzig, who are embarking on their second away trip in just three days. The hosts are on a four-match winless streak, while the visitors arrive buoyed by a victory over another struggling side, bouncing back from a heavy defeat to Bayern. This encounter offers the "Pirates" a chance to move from the relegation zone to the playoff spots. The question remains whether they will chase all three points or focus on containing the "Red Bulls" in hopes of securing at least a draw.
Head-to-Head
📊 Last season, St. Pauli didn't have much luck against this opponent. At home, the "Pirates" managed a goalless draw, but at the Red Bull Arena, they fell 0-2. Additionally, St. Pauli made another trip to the Red Bull Arena in the same season for the DFB-Pokal round of 16, where they suffered a 2-4 defeat and were knocked out of the tournament.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
St. Pauli Team Overview
🟤 On Friday, St. Pauli hosted Hamburg at the Millerntor Stadium for the 19th round, but the northern derby didn't live up to expectations and ended in a goalless draw. The "Pirates" are in 17th place with 13 points, the same as bottom-placed Heidenheim.
⚪ St. Pauli are two points behind Mainz, who are in the relegation playoff zone, making the rescheduled match against Leipzig a timely opportunity to escape the drop zone. Last season, the "Pirates" had a strong second half, collecting 18 points after the winter break-just three less than Leipzig during the same period. However, St. Pauli are currently on a four-match winless streak.
Match Results: St. Pauli
Leipzig Team Overview
🔴 In the 19th round, Leipzig got back to winning ways, decisively defeating Heidenheim in the second half (3-0). Goals came from Ridle Baku, Antonio Nusa, and David Raum. With this result, the "Red Bulls" redeemed themselves after a heavy home defeat to Bayern (1-5).
⚪ Ole Werner's team can solidify their place in the top four if they avoid dropping points on Tuesday; however, any slip-up could push them away from the Champions League spots once again. With their victory in Heidenheim, the "Red Bulls" snapped a three-match winless away streak. However, in last season's head-to-head at the "Millerntor," neither team managed to score.
Match Results: Leipzig
Latest news
St. Pauli
🎙 After the derby draw, Alexander Blessin stated: "I'm disappointed. The game was like the weather-it didn't warm me up. In the first half, we couldn't get into the match at all. Hamburg won 63 percent of the duels. When it comes to a survival derby, that's not good enough-neither in terms of winning the ball nor in advancing and defending. The only positive is that we didn't concede. It felt like Hamburg didn't want to win, and we failed to capitalize on that. We played reactively rather than proactively, although we corrected this during the break. After halftime, we got into the game better, and it became more balanced. We created a few chances but were very inconsistent. We had eight corners, and six of them didn't even reach the near post. We lost possession frequently, and usually, you get punished for that. Overall, it wasn't enough, so the result is disappointing. Especially after the matches against Wolfsburg and Dortmund, where we only picked up one point. Who knows what this will cost us in the end."
📝 During the winter transfer window, the "Pirates" continue to strengthen their squad. In addition to central defender Tomoya Ando and goalkeeper Emil Gazdov, the club has signed midfielder Mathias Rasmussen from Union Saint-Gilloise. This season, the 28-year-old Norwegian has played 16 matches in the Belgian league, scoring two goals and providing one assist, as well as participating in five Champions League games.
❌ Andreas Untenji, David Nemeth, and Connor Metcalfe will miss the match due to injuries. Adam Dzwigala is serving a suspension for accumulating too many yellow cards.
Leipzig
🎙 Ole Werner, after the victory, remarked: "In the first half, we created problems for ourselves. We weren't moving the ball quickly enough and made too many wrong decisions. We lost possession too easily, which allowed Heidenheim to launch counterattacks. In the second half, we played significantly better, created good chances, and capitalized on them. It was important for us to settle the match early, so we had the opportunity to make substitutions. In my view, it was a well-deserved win."
❌ After a lengthy recovery, Benjamin Henrichs made an appearance late in the match against Heidenheim. In the previous round, Castello Lukeba, Johan Bakayoko, Assan Ouedraogo, and Viggo Gebel did not participate.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The match at Millerntor will be officiated by Florian Exner. On average, the referee issues 5.5 yellow cards per game. St. Pauli's average over 15 rounds stands at 1.7, while Leipzig's is 1.4. Given this scenario, a bet on Leipzig's individual total of under 2.5 yellow cards appears logical, as this outcome has occurred in the last seven matches for the "Red Bulls".
⚽ Goal Prediction
The "Pirates" are facing significant challenges in attack, having scored just 16 goals - the lowest in the league. Based on this, we opt for St. Pauli's individual total of under 1.5 goals, an outcome that has been seen in 11 of the team's last 12 Bundesliga matches.
🚩 Corner Prediction
St. Pauli averages 5.1 corners per game, while Leipzig boasts an average of 5.6, the second-best in the league. Assuming the hosts will have less possession and create fewer chances near the opponent's goal, we choose St. Pauli's individual total of under 5.5 corners, which has been the case in eight consecutive matches.
Editor's Prediction
After the matches of the 18th round, it seems Leipzig should claim all three points against a team like St. Pauli, even at the "Millerntor". The teams are on different developmental paths, but they share a common goal - not to drop points.
Nevertheless, we believe Leipzig will come out on top, despite playing a day later than their opponents. We anticipate a tough match with a narrow margin for the favorites - a 1-0 victory, which leads us to opt for under 3 goals total.
Betting Tips: St. Pauli - Leipzig
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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