Sparta vs Heracles Prediction 11 January 2026
⚡️ The upcoming clash between Sparta and Heracles Almelo promises to be an intriguing duel. Sparta sit mid-table, showcasing consistent performances with five victories in their last ten matches. However, they struggle defensively, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per game. Meanwhile, Heracles Almelo are fighting for survival, languishing near the bottom of the standings, yet they display fighting spirit and a high level of scoring prowess-averaging 2.7 goals in their last ten outings.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 3-0 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (home team - Heracles Almelo):
- possession: 48% vs 52%;
- corners: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Sparta and Heracles Almelo:
- 32 matches played;
- wins for the home side - 10, for the visitors - 10, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 42 against 39;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.84, in the 2nd half - 1.69;
- average total goals per match - 2.53.
Head-to-head statistics Sparta - Heracles

Sparta Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Eredivisie, with Volendam hosting Sparta. The game ended with a score of 0-1.
Here are the match statistics (Sparta vs Volendam):
- possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corners: 8 vs 6;
- fouls: 6 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 5.
Sparta head into this match riding the momentum of two consecutive victories, boosting their overall form to five wins in their last ten games. Despite this, their defense has been prone to lapses, conceding an average of 1.82 goals per match in the current Eredivisie season. Their recent triumph over Heracles with a commanding 3-0 scoreline adds a layer of confidence as they prepare for a home fixture. However, it's important to note a concerning trend: Sparta have struggled at home against this team, losing the last six encounters in a row.
Match Results: Sparta

Heracles Almelo Team Overview
The last official match for the current visitors took place in the Eredivisie, with Heracles Almelo hosting Heerenveen. The game ended with a scoreline of 0-3.
Here are the match statistics (Heracles Almelo vs Heerenveen):
- possession: 42% vs 58%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 8.
Heracles Almelo are going through a challenging period, with only four wins in seventeen matches this season, placing them among the league's underdogs. However, their attack has been impressive, scoring more than two goals in every other match over the last ten games, showcasing the attacking potential of the black and whites. Their playing style focuses on rapid counterattacks and relentless pressure up front, which recently enabled them to triumph over a strong opponent like AZ Alkmaar.
Match Results: Heracles Almelo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- home team wins - 10, away team wins - 10, draws - 12.
Statistics: Sparta vs Heracles Almelo
- matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- win percentage: 41% vs 24%;
- losses: 8 vs 11;
- draws: 2 vs 2.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 5;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 2.
- Heracles Almelo have drawn in 4 of last 5 away games against Sparta (Eredivisie).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.31, the guests - 1.22;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.53;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Sparta vs Heracles Almelo
- average total in the tournament: 2.88 vs 4.12;
- average total goals scored: 1.06 vs 1.53;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.47 vs 0.65;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.59 vs 0.88;
- Sparta: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Heracles Almelo: average total away in the tournament - 0.89;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.5 (home - 1.33) vs 2.7 (away - 2).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 9 of last 10 Sparta games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Sparta home games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Sparta games (Eredivisie).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in last 5 Sparta home games (Eredivisie).
Prediction on corners
Sparta: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.35; at home field - 4.22;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 5.33.
Heracles Almelo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.47, away - 4.44;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.3; away - 5.
- Sparta have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Heracles Almelo (Eredivisie).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 32;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Sparta vs Heracles Almelo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 6 vs 10;
- number of BTTS matches for Sparta at home - 4 (44%);
- number of BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo away - 5 (56%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 4 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Sparta at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Heracles Almelo away - 4 (80%).
- Heracles Almelo have scored and conceded in 8 of last 9 games.
- Heracles Almelo have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 away games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 2:2 (17/152, 11.2%);
- Sparta at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (2/9, 22.2%);
- Heracles Almelo away most often play: 2:1 , 4:0 (2/9, 22.2%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.02% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.74% (odds 8)
1:0 - 7.07% (odds 9.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Statistical trends strongly suggest a high-scoring affair in the upcoming match. The key argument for goals: Heracles, whose matches have seen over 2.5 goals in 14 of the last 16 occasions. The combination of both sides' attacking styles and their current form makes betting on over 2.5 goals the most promising wager for this clash. A 2-1 scoreline is possible.