Inter Miami vs Nashville Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 9 November 2025
🔊 Could Lionel Messi once again miss out on a title in the USA? Inter Miami failed to sprint into the MLS quarterfinals, losing their second match of the series. Now, a decisive showdown awaits. While the bookmakers have a clear favorite, it's worth taking a closer look at this matchup. Our editorial team offers a prediction for the game. Let's delve into what lies ahead.
Head-to-Head
📊 Nashville triumphed over Inter in their latest clash, marking their first victory against this opponent in quite some time. Nashville had long been a favorable matchup for Inter.
Head-to-head statistics Inter Miami - Nashville
Inter Miami Team Overview
⚫️ Many want to see Messi at the pinnacle. We're just used to it. But are Inter Miami genuine title contenders? It's hard to say. Looking at their series against Nashville, we witnessed two very different performances. They cruised to a comfortable win at home, but struggled to make an impact on the road.
⚪️ Messi and his teammates lost the second match of the series 1-2. Inter Miami never looked close to turning things around, trailing 0-2 during the match. Lionel Messi scored in the 90th minute, but it was too little, too late. Inter Miami displayed their usual flair in passing (with an xG of 1.78), yet their defensive frailties were exposed once again. The backline continues to concede regularly, unfortunately. Additionally, the average age of the squad might be affecting their performance, and as you might guess, it's quite high.
Match Results: Inter Miami
Nashville Team Overview
🟡 The team's chances of reaching the quarterfinals don't seem particularly high. However, this is MLS, where anything is possible. In a single match, any team can come out on top. Nashville haven't dazzled against Inter; they simply capitalized on their home advantage. While they've broken their poor head-to-head record, they need to take another step forward. If the club can play smart defensively, opportunities may arise. Their defense hasn't always been reliable throughout the season, but there have been positive moments.
⚫️ Sam Surridge found the net in the second match of the series, albeit from the penalty spot. Expectations are higher for him. Defender Joshua Bauer also made his mark, ultimately being named Man of the Match. After scoring twice, Nashville ceded possession to their opponents, as reflected in the possession stats (39 percent to 61), but they counterattacked effectively, with an xG of 1.93. It's worth noting that the team held up well defensively, conceding only at the end.
Match Results: Nashville
Latest news
Inter Miami
⚠️ Luis Suarez will miss the decisive game of the series. The forward has been suspended for a reckless foul committed during the second match. The MLS Disciplinary Committee handed down the decision, as the player was not penalized during the game.
Nashville
❌ Daniel Lovitz might be missed. The experienced midfielder contributes significantly when he's on the pitch.
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 18;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 1; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.17;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.56, while the visitors net 0.61.
First-Half Stats: Inter Miami (home) vs Nashville (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- wins: 12 (66.67%) vs 4 (22.22%);
- losses: 2 (11.11%) vs 8 (44.44%);
- draws: 4 (22.22%) vs 6 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.67 vs 1.33;
- Average goals conceded: 0.44 vs 0.89.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 7 vs 3;
- losses: 3 vs 4;
- draws: 0 vs 3;
- Average first-half total: 1.8 (scored - 1.1, conceded - 0.7) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.8).
- Inter Miami scored in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games against Nashville.
- Inter Miami scored in the 1st half in 10 of last 11 home games.
- Inter Miami scored in the 1st half in 9 of last 10 games (MLS).
- Inter Miami scored in the 1st half in last 7 home games (MLS).
- Nashville conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- home team wins - 8, away team wins - 5, draws - 5.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Nashville
- matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- wins: 20 vs 17;
- win percentage: 56% vs 47%;
- losses: 8 vs 13;
- draws: 8 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- losses: 2 vs 5;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
- Inter Miami have won in 6 of last 7 games against Nashville.
- Inter Miami have won in 9 of last 10 home games.
- Inter Miami have won in 6 of last 7 home games (MLS).
- Nashville have lost in 7 of last 8 away games (MLS).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.56, the guests - 1.39;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.94;
- both teams scored: overall - 13; at the home team's field - 7.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Nashville
- average total in the tournament: 3.97 vs 3.06;
- average total goals scored: 2.36 vs 1.69;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.11 vs 0.86;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.25 vs 0.83;
- Inter Miami: average total at home in the tournament - 2.61;
- Nashville: average total away in the tournament - 1.28;
- last 10 matches (average total): 3.1 (home - 3.33) vs 1.7 (away - 1.4).
- Nashville have scored under 1.5 goals in last 6 away games against Inter Miami.
- Nashville have scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of last 9 away games (MLS).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 7.89 (3.78 - for home team and 4.11 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 7.67 (3.67 - for home team and 4 - for away team).
Inter Miami: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.92; at home field - 5.11;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.5; at home field - 4.67.
Nashville: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.31, away - 4.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.6; away - 4.6.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 Inter Miami home games.
- Under 9.5 corners in last 6 Inter Miami games (MLS).
- Under 9.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Nashville games (MLS).
Prediction on cards
H2H
- average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 3 (1.5 for home team and 1.5 for away team);
- average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 2.55 (1.33 for home team and 1.22 for away team).
Inter Miami: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.36; at home - 2.56;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; at home - 2.67.
Nashville: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.83, away - 1.89;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.2; away - 2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 18;
- both teams scored all-time - 13 times;
- on the home team’s field - 7 times.
Statistics: Inter Miami vs Nashville
- number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 27 vs 23;
- number of BTTS matches for Inter Miami at home - 14 (78%);
- number of BTTS matches for Nashville away - 13 (72%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 8 vs 9;
- BTTS matches for Inter Miami at home - 5 (83%);
- BTTS matches for Nashville away - 5 (100%).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 13 of last 14 games against Nashville.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 9 of last 10 games against Nashville (MLS).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 home games against Nashville.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 home games.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
- Nashville have scored and conceded in last 9 games.
- Nashville have scored and conceded in last 7 games (MLS).
- Nashville have scored and conceded in last 6 away games (MLS).
Editorial Prediction
It would be quite shocking if Inter were to be eliminated now. The team boasts an excellent record against Nashville, with the last match being the only exception. At home, Messi and his squad appear much stronger compared to their away performances, so the second match shouldn't pose significant problems. Yes, Suarez will be absent, but Messi will be on the field, which should suffice for success on its own. Nashville will likely find the net, but it seems their success will be limited to just one goal. Our bet is on an Inter Miami victory. A possible scoreline could be 3-1.
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Betting Tips: Inter Miami - Nashville
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