Dundalk vs Bohemians Prediction 2 October 2026
🔊 Dundalk host Bohemians in round 33 of the League of Ireland Premier Division. The hosts come into the match on the back of two heavy defeats in a row, while the Dublin side have won four consecutive matches and sit in the upper half of the table. Their meetings this season have already shown that a difference in current form does not always guarantee a straightforward outcome: the two sides have each won once and drawn once.
Recent encounters have kept the intrigue alive
📊 The two sides have met three times in 2026. In March there was a 1-1 draw in Dublin, in May Bohemians won 3-1 away at Dundalk, and in June Dundalk got their revenge with a 2-1 win on the road. None of the three meetings ended without both teams scoring.
Head-to-head statistics Dundalk - Bohemians
Dundalk have lost their consistency.
Dundalk go into this match on the back of two consecutive home defeats. They first lost 0-4 to St Patrick's Athletic, then conceded three against Shelbourne and went down 2-3. Before that came a 1-1 draw with Waterford and a 3-2 win over Drogheda, so the recent run illustrates the hosts' main problem well - they can score, but they allow opponents to create dangerous chances far too often.
This season Dundalk are averaging around 1.5 goals scored per match and approximately 1.7 conceded. At home they are fairly active going forward, earning an average of around 5.3 corners and registering almost 14 shots per game. That gives grounds to expect chances in the upcoming match too, particularly if Bohemians leave space for counter-attacks.
The squad situation ahead of the match does not look like the main factor, so the focus will be squarely on whether Dundalk can stabilise their defence after conceding four against St Patrick's Athletic and three against Shelbourne.
Match Results: Dundalk
Bohemians are gaining momentum
Bohemians are in far more convincing form. The Dublin side have won their last four league matches, beating Drogheda 2-1, Galway 3-2, Sligo Rovers 3-0 and Derry City 5-3. Their most recent defeat was an away loss to Waterford, 1-3. Across those last four rounds, the team have scored 13 goals.
Their attacking statistics back up their current form. Bohemians are scoring around 1.8 goals per match this season and averaging approximately 14.5 shots, with an average possession figure of 59%. They also make consistent use of the flanks, earning around 5.5-6 corners per game on average.
Defensively, Bohemians look more solid than their opponents, conceding around 1.2 goals per match and recording significantly more clean sheets. The visitors are therefore capable not only of exploiting Dundalk's defensive problems, but also of controlling the game through the higher quality of their positional play.
Match Results: Bohemians Dublin
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Dundalk average around 2.5 yellow cards per match, while Bohemians' figure is noticeably lower at around 1.6-1.7. Combined, that points to a rough benchmark of about four bookings per game. Both sides commit fouls fairly regularly, with Dundalk averaging around 11.5 per match and Bohemians around 10.4.
Given the match situation and the fact that Dundalk will need to work hard against an attacking side, the number of tactical fouls could be higher than usual. That said, Bohemians' numbers don't suggest an exceptionally physical game. My pick is Total Yellow Cards - Over 3.5.
⚽ Goals Prediction
The recent scoring form of both sides suggests an open game. Dundalk have conceded seven goals in their last two home matches, while also scoring twice against Shelbourne. Bohemians, meanwhile, have scored 13 goals in their last four league rounds.
There are also grounds to expect both teams to score: that outcome has occurred in 75% of Dundalk's matches and in 65% of Bohemians' matches. It has also landed in the three previous meetings between the sides this season. On that basis, Both Teams to Score - Yes at 1.49* is worth considering here.
🚩 Corners Prediction
Dundalk average around 5.3 corners per game, while Bohemians average around 6. Both teams regularly exceed the four-to-five corner mark, and Bohemians' recent matches have featured a particularly high number of set pieces: they earned 11 corners against Drogheda and nine against Galway.
The head-to-head record adds further weight to this: over the last 15 meetings between the sides, the average corner count was 10.3, and the 9.5 mark was exceeded in 73% of those matches. There are therefore grounds to expect an active game with plenty of deliveries and blocked shots. The selection is Total Corners - Over 8.5 at 1.53*.
*Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Dundalk are going through a difficult spell: they have lost their last two home matches and conceded seven goals in that period. Bohemians, by contrast, have won their last four matches and scored 13 goals in that run. That said, three head-to-head meetings in 2026 have shown that Dundalk are capable of competing even against a stronger opponent.
The most likely scenario here is a match with both sides attacking actively. Bohemians are currently more consistent and more dangerous going forward, but Dundalk's defensive problems do not mean the hosts will be without chances. The main selection is therefore Total Goals - Over 2.5. Predicted score: 1-2 to the visitors.
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Betting Tips: Dundalk - Bohemians Dublin
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