Santos vs Atletico PR Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊 In round 22 of the Brazilian Série A, Santos will host Athletico Paranaense at Vila Belmiro. The two sides come into this match with very different positions in the table: the hosts are in the bottom half and are currently more concerned about the gap to the relegation zone, while the Furacão are sitting in the leading group. Santos got an emotional boost after reaching the Copa do Brasil quarter-finals, but in the league they have won just one of their last five matches. Athletico, on the other hand, had been on a run of four consecutive Série A wins until recently, but on Thursday suffered a painful 0-4 defeat to Vitória and were knocked out of the Copa do Brasil.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 12 February 2026 and ended 2:1. Here is the comparative statistics from that match (home side - Atletico Paranaense):
- possession: 57% vs 43%;
- corner kicks: 8 vs 2;
- fouls: 15 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview based on official meetings between Santos and Atletico Paranaense:
- 41 matches played;
- home wins - 20, away wins - 15, draws - 6;
- goals - 57 vs 41;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.1, in the 2nd - 1.29;
- average total goals per match - 2.39.
Head-to-head statistics Santos - Atletico PR
Santos Team Overview
The last official match was played on in the Copa do Brasil (home side - Remo Belém, away side - Santos). The match ended 0:1.
Match statistics (Santos vs Remo Belém):
- possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corners: 8 vs 3;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 5 vs 1;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
After 20 matches, Santos sit 14th with 22 points. Kuka's side have five wins, seven draws and eight defeats, with a goal difference of 29:33. The gap above the relegation zone is still small, so points in a home match against one of the leaders are particularly valuable for the Peixe.
Since the resumption of the championship, Santos lost to Botafogo 1:2 and then drew 2:2 at home with Chapecoense. Against that backdrop, a 1:0 win over Remo in the Copa do Brasil carries some psychological importance, even though Santos' football has remained fairly inconsistent.
The main injury concern ahead of Sunday's match is the absence of Neymar. The forward picked up his third yellow card in the match against Chapecoense and will miss the game against Atletico. It is a serious loss: Neymar scored both of Santos' goals in the previous round and was directly involved in Roni's winning goal in Belem.
Match Results: Santos
Atletico Paranaense Team Overview
The current away side's last official match was played on in the Copa do Brasil (home side - Vitória, away side - Athletico Paranaense). The match ended 4-0.
The match stats were as follows (Athletico Paranaense vs Vitória):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 6 vs 8;
- fouls: 18 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 9.
Furaкао remain third in the table after matchday 21. They have 37 points - 11 wins, four draws and six defeats. Going into the match against Corinthians, the team were on a run of four consecutive league wins, beating São Paulo (2:1) and Internacional (2:0) after the break. In São Paulo, Odair Hellmann's side drew 0:0 with Corinthians, extending their unbeaten league run to six matches. At the same time, "furacão" have maintained their status as one of the most organised sides in the upper half of the table: in 21 rounds they have conceded just 19 goals.
But right before the trip to Santos, the team suffered a serious blow. Atlético held a 2:0 advantage from the home leg against Vitória in the Copa do Brasil, but collapsed in the return fixture and lost, conceding four goals. It is the worst defeat of the team under Odair Hellmann, and the manager specifically acknowledged individual errors.
On the other hand, elimination from the Copa do Brasil will now allow "furacão" to focus entirely on the league. For a team sitting third and in direct contention for the top positions, this could even prove to be a positive over the long run. In attack, Kevin Viveros continues to stand out: the forward has already scored 13 goals this season and remains one of the main threats to opposition defences.
Match Results: Atletico Paranaense
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 41;
- first-half wins for the home side - 9; for the away side - 3; draws - 8;
- average first-half total: 1.1;
- today's home side average 0.61 goals scored, the away side - 0.49.
First-half stats: Santos (home) vs Atletico Paranaense (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 10;
- wins: 5 (45.45%) vs 1 (10%);
- losses: 1 (9.09%) vs 7 (70%);
- draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 2 (20%);
- average goals scored total: 1.27 vs 1.3;
- average goals conceded total: 0.55 vs 1.
Last 10 matches (overall):
- wins: 5 vs 3;
- losses: 1 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 4;
- average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.3) vs 0.9 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.5).
- Atletico Paranaense have conceded in the first half away in 8 of their last 9 matches (Serie A).
Corners Prediction
Santos: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 5.35; at home - 5.45;
- last 10 matches: average total - 5.6; at home - 5.33.
Atletico Paranaense: Statistics
- season: average total in the tournament - 4.81, away - 3.9;
- last 10 matches: average total - 4.8; away - 4.17.
- Total over 8.5 corners landed in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches between these teams (Série A).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head matches:
- played - 41;
- both teams scored all time - 17 times;
- at the home team's ground - 8 times.
Stats: Santos vs Atletico Paranaense
- matches played in the tournament: 20 vs 21;
- season matches in which both teams scored (hereinafter - BTTS): 15 vs 10;
- Santos: BTTS at home - 7 (64%);
- Atletico Paranaense: BTTS away - 5 (50%).
Last 10 matches:
- matches with BTTS: 7 vs 3;
- Santos: BTTS at home - 4 (67%);
- Atletico Paranaense: BTTS away - 2 (33%).
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (33/205, 16.1%);
- Santos at home most often finish matches: 1:1 , 2:0 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Atletico Paranaense away most often play: 1:0 , 1:2 (2/10, 20%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 13.47% (odds 6)
1:0 - 10.79% (odds 7)
2:1 - 9.11% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editor's Pick
Santos will be helped by the Vila Belmiro factor, and the emotional lift from reaching the Copa do Brasil quarterfinals should add confidence to the hosts. However, the absence of Neymar noticeably reduces the creativity of the Peixe, especially against an opponent capable of defending compactly and working well without the ball.
Atletico have the opposite problem - a heavy defeat to Vitoria just three days before the match. But in the league, the Furacão look far more convincing than Santos: third place, six matches without defeat, and just 19 goals conceded in 21 rounds. So after the emotional collapse in the Copa do Brasil, I expect the visitors to play more pragmatic football with an emphasis on solidity.
Final bet: Atletico Paranaense not to lose. Predicted score - 1:1.
No comments
Betting Tips: Santos - Atletico Paranaense
in 15 of last 17 home games against Atletico Paranaense (Serie A).
in 15 of last 17 home games against Atletico Paranaense (Serie A)..svg)
in 8 of last 9 games.in last 6 games (Serie A).in 18 of last 19 home games against Atletico Paranaense.in last 17 home games against Atletico Paranaense (Serie A).in 7 of last 8 games.in last 6 home games.
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
