Nacional vs Guarani Prediction 9 August 2026
📣 In March, Guaraní fired Víctor Bernay, in April Nacional brought him back - on Sunday the Argentine will play against his former club for the first time. Guaraní have had another manager since then: Ariel Galeano was presented in July, and at Arsenio Erico this will be his fourth match in the championship. And straight away without four players.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 03 May 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 0:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Guarani):
- ball possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
- shots on target: 0 vs 3.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional and Guarani:
- played 71 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 22, for the away team - 26, draws - 23;
- number of goals - 92 against 94;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.18, in the 2nd half - 1.44;
- average total goals in the match - 2.62.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Guarani
Nacional Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Cd Recoleta, away team - Nacional). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:2.
Here's the game statistics (Nacional vs Cd Recoleta):
- ball possession: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 0;
- fouls: 7 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 5 vs 4.
Bernay have taken four points from three rounds: a draw with Ameliano (1:1), a win over reigning champions Olimpia (2:0), and a defeat to Recoleta (2:3). At home, the "Academia" have gone unbeaten in 12 of their last 13 Primera matches.
All the scoring runs through the flanks via Orlando Gaona Lugo. Hugo Adrian Benitez has scored three times, twice from his assists. Another goal was added by 44-year-old Roque Santa Cruz, an Olimpia academy product who scored against his former club. Between the two of them - 4 of the team's 5 goals in the tournament.
Match Results: Nacional
Guarani Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Guarani, away - Libertad). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:1.
Here are the match stats (Guarani vs Libertad):
- ball possession: 45% vs 55%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 5;
- fouls: 10 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 3.
Galeano have six points, three fewer than leaders Trinidense. In the third round, Guaraní ended Libertad's unbeaten run (2:1): Rodrigo Vera opened the scoring, but on the 52nd minute he received a red card for a foul on Alcides Barbotte, and with ten men Libertad conceded to Patricio Coronel and Diego Fernández.
The win came at a cost: Barbotte left the pitch with an ankle injury. Right back Juan Daniel Pérez is out for several rounds, defensive leader Miguel Jaque is being assessed by the medical staff, and forward Juan Manuel García is also unavailable. Galeano is rebuilding both lines.
Away from home, Guaraní have gone 21 matches in a row without a heavy defeat - a run stretching back to previous tournaments, though they rarely score more than one goal in these away games.
Match Results: Guarani
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 71;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 11; number of draws - 17;
- Average first-half total: 1.18;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.55, while the visitors net 0.63.
First-Half Stats: Nacional (home) vs Guarani (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 4 (36.36%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- losses: 2 (18.18%) vs 2 (18.18%);
- draws: 5 (45.45%) vs 7 (63.64%);
- Average goals scored: 1.27 vs 0.82;
- Average goals conceded: 0.55 vs 0.36.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.1 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.5) vs 0.7 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.3).
- Nacional have drawn in the 1st half in 7 of last 8 games against Guarani (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.3, the guests - 1.32;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.62;
- both teams scored: overall - 35; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: Nacional vs Guarani
- average total in the tournament: 2.48 vs 2.28;
- average total goals scored: 1.44 vs 1.24;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.56 vs 0.48;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.88 vs 0.76;
- Nacional: average total at home in the tournament - 1.73;
- Guarani: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 1 (away - 0.8).
- Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in last 10 games against Guarani (Primera Division).
- Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in 7 of last 8 games against Guarani.
- Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in last 5 home games against Guarani (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
- Guarani have taken over 3.5 corners in 6 of last 7 away games against Nacional (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 71;
- both teams scored all-time - 35 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/150, 16.7%);
- Nacional at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 2:1 (2/11, 18.2%);
- Guarani away most often play: 0:0 (3/11, 27.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.99% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.57% (odds 6.5)
0:0 - 10.66% (odds 7.5)
Against Guaraní, Nacional have the same story: in their last ten head-to-head meetings they have never scored more than one goal, and at Arsenio Erico they failed to do so in five matches in a row. Given that their scoring relies on two players, and the visitors concede little even without key men, we do not expect the run to end right now.
The hosts will get their customary goal - at home they have scored in 11 of their last 12 Primera matches. But one goal is all they will manage. The bet is Nacional to score under 1.5 goals. Predicted score - 1:1.
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Betting Tips: Nacional - Guarani
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
