Nacional vs Guarani Prediction 1 March 2026

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Nacional and Guarani. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 21:30 1 March. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Arsenio Erico stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place on 14 November 2025 and ended with a score of 0:4. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Guarani):

    • ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
    • corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
    • yellow cards: 1 vs 1.

    📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional and Guarani:

    • played 69 matches;
    • number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 26, draws - 22;
    • number of goals - 90 against 93;
    • average total in the 1st half - 1.22, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
    • average total goals in the match - 2.65.

    Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Guarani

    31%
    22 Wins
    33%
    24 Draws
    36%
    26 Wins
    Total games
    72
    Total Goals Avg
    2.58
    Both teams scored
    49%
    1.28
    Total average
    1.31
    1.57
    Yellow cards
    1.53
    Last matches
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Guarani
    Guarani
    -
    -
    3
    1
    15
    5
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    15
    5
    3
    2
    03.05.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    2
    5
    11
    10
    1
    0
    01.03.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Guarani
    Guarani
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    12
    2
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    -
    -
    4
    5
    11
    12
    2
    1
    14.11.25
    Copa Paraguay
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    0
    4
    0
    2
    0
    2
    -
    -
    4
    6
    -
    -
    1
    1
    21.09.25
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    3
    5
    11
    12
    3
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    5
    11
    12
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Nacional Team Overview

    The team's most recent official match took place on 26 February 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Cd Recoleta, away team - Nacional). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.

    Here's the game statistics (Nacional vs Cd Recoleta):

    • ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
    • fouls: 12 vs 15;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Nacional delighted their fans with 6 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 1 times.

    ⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 2, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.7.

    Match Results: Nacional

    Last matches
    02.09.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Libertad
    Libertad
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    17
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    7
    13
    17
    1
    2
    W
    28.08.26
    Primera Division
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Sp. San Lorenzo
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    6
    4
    14
    12
    1
    1
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    2
    -
    -
    6
    4
    14
    12
    1
    1
    W
    24.08.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Sportivo Luqueno
    Sportivo Luqueno
    -
    -
    4
    5
    9
    11
    1
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    5
    9
    11
    1
    2
    W
    18.08.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
    Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
    Nacional
    Nacional
    -
    -
    4
    2
    9
    14
    4
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    2
    9
    14
    4
    0
    W
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Sportivo Trinidense
    Nacional
    Nacional
    1
    -
    -
    7
    4
    10
    15
    3
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    10
    15
    3
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Guarani Team Overview

    The away team played their last official match on 26 February 2026 as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - Guarani, away - Juventud de Las Piedras). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

    Here are the match stats (Guarani vs Juventud de Las Piedras):

    • ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
    • fouls: 17 vs 10;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 4.

    📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Guarani gifted its fans with 3 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 4 games with a defeat.

    ⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:

    • total number of goals - 18;
    • average goals scored - 1.8;
    • average goals conceded - 1.5.

    Match Results: Guarani

    Last matches
    30.08.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Sportivo Ameliano
    Sportivo Ameliano
    -
    -
    9
    5
    11
    11
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    -
    -
    9
    5
    11
    11
    1
    2
    D
    25.08.26
    Primera Division
    2 de Mayo
    2 de Mayo
    Guarani
    Guarani
    -
    -
    5
    7
    12
    10
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    5
    7
    12
    10
    1
    0
    D
    15.08.26
    Primera Division
    Guarani
    Guarani
    Rubio Nu
    Rubio Nu
    -
    -
    3
    4
    7
    9
    2
    1
    2
    3
    0
    1
    2
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    7
    9
    2
    1
    L
    12.08.26
    Copa Paraguay
    Sportivo Iteno
    Sportivo Iteno
    Guarani
    Guarani
    -
    -
    3
    2
    11
    7
    4
    1
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    3
    2
    11
    7
    4
    1
    L
    09.08.26
    Primera Division
    Nacional
    Nacional
    Guarani
    Guarani
    -
    -
    3
    1
    15
    5
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    -
    -
    3
    1
    15
    5
    3
    2
    D
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Prediction for the 1st half

    Head-to-Head Matches:

    • Total encounters - 69;
    • First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 11; number of draws - 16;
    • Average first-half total: 1.22;
    • Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.65.

    First-Half Stats: Nacional (home) vs Guarani (away)

    • matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
    • wins: 2 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • draws: 2 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
    • Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.67;
    • Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.67.

    Last 10 Matches (Overall):

    • wins: 4 vs 2;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 4 vs 5;
    • Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.9).
    Trends
    • Guarani scored and conceded in the 1st half in last 4 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: 1st Half, Total goals Over (1.5) (odds: 3.3)

    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 69;
    • home team wins - 21, away team wins - 26, draws - 22.
    Trends
    • Guarani have drawn in last 3 away games.
    👉Prediction: Draw (odds: 3)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.3, the guests - 1.35;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
    • both teams scored: overall - 34; at the home team's field - 15.

    Statistics: Nacional vs Guarani

    • average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.86;
    • average total goals scored: 2 vs 2.14;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.86 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 1.14 vs 1.14;
    • Nacional: average total at home in the tournament -  2;
    • Guarani: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
    Trends
    • Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Guarani (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Nacional Total goals Under (1,5) (odds: 1.44)

    Prediction on corners

    Trends
    • Nacional have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 games against Guarani.
    👉Prediction: Corners - Nacional Total Over (4,5) (odds: 1.74)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 69;
    • both teams scored all-time - 34 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 15 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes) (odds: 1.83)

    Correct score prediction

    Statistics of frequent results (current season):

    • most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (7/42, 16.7%);
    • Nacional at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 5:1 (1/4, 25%);
    • Guarani away most often play: 0:0 , 2:1 , 3:3 (1/3, 33.3%).

    Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:

    1:1 - 12.29% (odds 6)
    1:0 - 8.89% (odds 7)
    2:1 - 8.04% (odds 9.5)

    Editorial Prediction

    Key statistics:
    • Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Guarani (Primera Division).

    Nacional Total goals Under (1,5)
    Everygame
    Place a bet-189
    Published: 27/02/2026, 22:24

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    Betting Tips: Nacional - Guarani

    Guarani have drawn:
    club-guaraniin last 3 away games.
    Draw
    Bovada
    +205
    Nacional have not won:
    nacional-fcclub-guaraniin 7 of last 8 games against Guarani (Primera Division).
    Guarani will not lose
    Everygame
    -204
    Nacional have not lost:
    nacional-fcin 15 of last 17 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 10 of last 11 games (Primera Division).
    Nacional will not lose
    Everygame
    -278
    Under 3.5 goals scored:
    nacional-fcclub-guaraniin 15 of last 17 Nacional home games against Guarani.
    nacional-fcclub-guaraniin 14 of last 16 Nacional home games against Guarani (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcclub-guaraniin 7 of last 8 Nacional games against Guarani.
    nacional-fcclub-guaraniin last 6 Nacional games against Guarani (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 13 of last 15 Nacional games (Primera Division).
    nacional-fcin 7 of last 8 Nacional home games (Primera Division).
    club-guaraniin 6 of last 7 Guarani away games.
    in 12 of last 13 David Ojeda games (in the Primera Division).
    Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -455
    View more facts

    Nacional - Guarani Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Olimpia Asuncion
    Olimpia Asuncion
    22154337-1749
    2.
    Nacional
    Nacional
    22109331-2239
    3.
    Cerro Porteno
    Cerro Porteno
    22115630-2238
    6.
    Libertad
    Libertad
    2294934-2631
    7.
    Guarani
    Guarani
    2278727-2329
    8.
    Cd Recoleta
    Cd Recoleta
    22841035-3228

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    6 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    1 - Lose
    Wins - 3
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 18
    Conceded - 6
    +12
    -1
    10 - Scored
    11 - Conceded
    6
    Wins
    3
    3
    Draws
    3
    1
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    18
    Scored
    10
    6
    Conceded
    11
    2.4
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.8
    Goals scored per match on average
    1
    0.6
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.1
    4
    Both teams scored
    6
    50'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    90'
    View all stats