Nacional vs Guarani Prediction 1 March 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Nacional and Guarani. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 21:30 1 March. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Arsenio Erico stadium in the city of Asuncion. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 14 November 2025 and ended with a score of 0:4. Let's compare the statistics from that encounter (home team - Guarani):
- ball possession percentage: 51% vs 49%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Nacional and Guarani:
- played 69 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 21, for the away team - 26, draws - 22;
- number of goals - 90 against 93;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.22, in the 2nd half - 1.43;
- average total goals in the match - 2.65.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Guarani

Nacional Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on 26 February 2026 as part of the Primera Division tournament (home team - Cd Recoleta, away team - Nacional). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:2.
Here's the game statistics (Nacional vs Cd Recoleta):
- ball possession: 63% vs 37%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊However, to understand the overall picture, let's evaluate the performance over the last ten matches. During this period, Nacional delighted their fans with 6 victories, settled for a draw in 3 matches, and lost 1 times.
⚽Regarding goals over a similar stretch of 10 matches, the average number of goals scored stands at 2, the average number of goals in the last 10 home performances is 2, and the average number of goals conceded is 0.7.
Match Results: Nacional

Guarani Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on 26 February 2026 as part of the Copa Libertadores tournament (home team - Guarani, away - Juventud de Las Piedras). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.
Here are the match stats (Guarani vs Juventud de Las Piedras):
- ball possession: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 17 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 7 vs 4.
📊For now, let's look at the team's statistics based on the last 10 matches in the calendar. During this time, the team Guarani gifted its fans with 3 victories, played to a draw 3 times, and finished 4 games with a defeat.
⚽Overall, the indicators speak for themselves, but let's also assess the effectiveness during this time. The figures are as follows:
- total number of goals - 18;
- average goals scored - 1.8;
- average goals conceded - 1.5.
Match Results: Guarani
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 69;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 7; for visitors away - 11; number of draws - 16;
- Average first-half total: 1.22;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.57, while the visitors net 0.65.
First-Half Stats: Nacional (home) vs Guarani (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 3;
- wins: 2 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- losses: 0 (0%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- draws: 2 (50%) vs 1 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1.67;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 0.67.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 4 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 4 vs 5;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.8, conceded - 0.5) vs 1.6 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.9).
- Guarani scored and conceded in the 1st half in last 4 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 69;
- home team wins - 21, away team wins - 26, draws - 22.
- Guarani have drawn in last 3 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.3, the guests - 1.35;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.65;
- both teams scored: overall - 34; at the home team's field - 15.
Statistics: Nacional vs Guarani
- average total in the tournament: 3 vs 3.86;
- average total goals scored: 2 vs 2.14;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.86 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.14 vs 1.14;
- Nacional: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Guarani: average total away in the tournament - 1.33;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2 (home - 2) vs 1.8 (away - 1.2).
- Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Guarani (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
- Nacional have taken over 4.5 corners in last 5 games against Guarani.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 69;
- both teams scored all-time - 34 times;
- on the home team’s field - 15 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (7/42, 16.7%);
- Nacional at home most often finish matches: 1:0 , 1:1 , 1:2 , 5:1 (1/4, 25%);
- Guarani away most often play: 0:0 , 2:1 , 3:3 (1/3, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.29% (odds 6)
1:0 - 8.89% (odds 7)
2:1 - 8.04% (odds 9.5)
Editorial Prediction
- Nacional have scored under 1.5 goals in last 8 games against Guarani (Primera Division).
