Penarol vs Nacional Prediction

    🔅 The clash between Peñarol and Nacional Montevideo promises to be a true battle on the field. Both teams are in excellent form, and the fight for three points will be crucial for their league ambitions. The hosts, known for their aggressive style and attacking efficiency, will face formidable visitors who have avoided defeat in 17 of their last 18 matches. How will this encounter end? Find out in our prediction!

    Head-to-Head

    The last official match between the teams took place in July and ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of the stats from that encounter (with Nacional Montevideo as the home side):

    • possession: 50% vs 50%;
    • corners: 3 vs 4;
    • yellow cards: 6 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 1 vs 7.

    📊Analytical review of past official encounters between Peñarol and Nacional Montevideo:

    • 42 matches played;
    • home team victories - 10, away team wins - 16, draws - 16;
    • goals scored (home/away) - 46 to 50;
    • average total goals per match - 2.29.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    28%
    13 Wins
    36%
    17 Draws
    36%
    17 Wins
    Total games
    47
    Total Goals Avg
    2.23
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.11
    Total average
    1.13
    2.53
    Yellow cards
    2.94
    Last matches
    01.03.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    01.02.26
    Super Cup
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    2
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    4
    2
    30.11.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    23.11.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    7
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    09.08.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    Empty
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    Peñarol's last official match was in the Primera tournament against Progreso, where they secured a 2-1 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Peñarol vs Progreso):

    • possession percentage: 68% vs 32%;
    • corner kicks: 5 vs 3;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 7 vs 3.

    Peñarol are a team showcasing confident performances this season. Their strength lies in their attack, averaging 1.52 goals per match, while maintaining a solid defense, conceding just 0.96 goals on average. In their last ten games, they have secured seven victories and suffered only one defeat. Their home ground often turns into a fortress for the "Aurinegros," as evidenced by their current fourth-place standing, with strong ambitions to challenge for the top spot. 

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
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    Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors played their last official match in the Primera Division against Montevideo City, securing a 5-2 victory.

    Here are the match statistics (Nacional Montevideo vs Montevideo City):

    • possession: 45% vs 55%;
    • corners: 3 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 2 vs 4;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 4.

    Nacional Montevideo continue to impress with their performances and results this season. They currently sit second in the standings, thanks to their high scoring rate of 2.33 goals per game and solid defense, conceding just one goal. Over their last ten matches, they have claimed nine victories, underscoring the strength of the "Tricolores." The visitors also boast a remarkable ability to avoid defeats, with an unbeaten streak stretching across 17 of their last 18 encounters, showcasing the team's consistency both at home and on the road.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    W
    31.05.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Albion
    Albion
    1
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Universitario de Deportes
    Universitario de Deportes
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    D
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    Outcome Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total matchups - 42;
    • Home wins - 10, Away wins - 16, Draws - 16.

    Total Goals Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Current home side average goals per game - 1.1, visitors - 1.19;
    • Average total goals in head-to-head matches - 2.29;
    • Both teams scored: overall - 23 times; at the home team's ground - 4 times.

    Statistics: Peñarol vs Nacional Montevideo

    • Average tournament total: 2.48 vs 3.33;
    • Average goals scored: 1.52 vs 2.33;
    • Average first-half total: 0.61 vs 1;
    • Average second-half total: 0.91 vs 1.33;
    • Peñarol: average home total in the tournament - 1.64;
    • Nacional Montevideo: average away total in the tournament - 2.55;
    • Last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.83) vs 2.2 (away - 2).
    Trends
    • Total under 3.5 goals has hit in 10 of Peñarol's last 11 home matches (Primera).
    • Total under 3.5 goals has hit in Peñarol's last 7 consecutive home matches.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Under (3.5)(odds: 1.24)

    Corners Prediction

    Trends
    • Peñarol have delivered over 4.5 corners at home in 12 of their last 14 matches.
    • Peñarol have delivered over 4.5 corners at home in 10 of their last 11 matches (Primera).
    • Peñarol have delivered over 4.5 corners in 6 of their last 7 matches (Primera).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Penarol Montevideo Total Over (4.5)(odds: 1.6)

    Cards Prediction

    Head-to-Head

    • Average yellow cards in head-to-head matches - 4.66 (2.33 for home side and 2.33 for visitors);
    • Average yellow cards at the home ground - 4.8 (1.93 for home side and 2.87 for visitors).

    Peñarol: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2; at home - 1.73;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 1.9; at home - 1.67.

    Nacional Montevideo: Statistics

    • Season: average tournament total - 2.67, away - 2.64;
    • Last 10 matches: average total - 2.9; away - 2.67.
    👉Prediction: Yellow Cards - Total Under (4.5)

    Both Teams to Score Prediction

    Head-to-Head:

    • Total matchups - 42;
    • Both teams scored overall - 23 times;
    • At the home team's ground - 4 times.
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (Yes)(odds: 1.75)

    ⭐ Editor's Prediction

    Considering the attacking style of both teams and their current form, along with Nacional's ability to secure points on the road and Peñarol's scoring prowess at home, it's reasonable to predict that we'll see goals from both sides in the upcoming match. The statistics, showing a high average scoring rate for both teams this season (over two goals per game), make the bet on both teams to score particularly appealing.

    Our choice
    Both Teams To Score (Yes) at odds of -133*
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (7 August 2025, 10:09)

    Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Club Nacional Montevideo

    Penarol Montevideo have won the 2nd half
    ca-penarolin 9 of last 10 home games.
    ca-penarolin last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    2nd Half Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    +165
    Penarol Montevideo have won
    ca-penarolin 9 of last 10 home games.
    ca-penarolin last 7 home games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    +145
    Club Nacional Montevideo have won
    nacional-montevideoin 14 of last 15 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 10 of last 11 games.
    nacional-montevideoin 9 of last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin last 5 away games.
    Club Nacional Montevideo Win
    Everygame
    +200
    Club Nacional Montevideo have not lost
    nacional-montevideoin 17 of last 18 games.
    nacional-montevideoin last 15 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 12 of last 13 away games.
    nacional-montevideoin last 10 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -200
    View more facts

    Penarol - Nacional Table position

    Apertura
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Liverpool Montevideo
    Liverpool Montevideo
    1595122-932
    2.
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1594235-1631
    3.
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    1593323-1530
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583421-1727
    5.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1573517-1224

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    4 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 5
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 4
    10 matches
    Scored - 11
    Conceded - 10
    +1
    -1
    14 - Scored
    15 - Conceded
    4
    Wins
    5
    3
    Draws
    1
    3
    Loses
    4
    Goal difference
    11
    Scored
    14
    10
    Conceded
    15
    2.1
    Match goals average
    2.9
    1.1
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.5
    5
    Both teams scored
    4
    82'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats