Nacional vs Penarol Prediction

    📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Club Nacional Montevideo and Penarol Montevideo. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 22:30 1 March. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Gran Parque Central stadium in the city of Montevideo. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.

    Head-to-Head

    The most recent official match between the teams ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Peñarol were the hosts):

    • possession: 53% vs 47%;
    • corners: 2 vs 7;
    • yellow cards: 4 vs 2.

    📊Analytical review of the previous official encounters between Nacional Montevideo and Peñarol:

    • A total of 46 matches played;
    • Home wins: 17, Away wins: 12, Draws: 17;
    • Goals scored (home/away): 53 to 51;
    • Average total goals per match: 2.26.

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    36%
    17 Wins
    36%
    17 Draws
    28%
    13 Wins
    Total games
    47
    Total Goals Avg
    2.23
    Both teams scored
    51%
    1.13
    Total average
    1.11
    2.94
    Yellow cards
    2.53
    Last matches
    01.03.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    3
    2
    -
    -
    3
    4
    01.02.26
    Super Cup
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    2
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    4
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    4
    2
    -
    -
    2
    7
    -
    -
    4
    2
    30.11.25
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    2
    -
    -
    4
    5
    23.11.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    -
    -
    7
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    -
    -
    7
    0
    -
    -
    5
    6
    09.08.25
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview

    The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, featuring Progreso as the home side against Nacional Montevideo. The match ended with a 0-1 scoreline.

    Here are the game statistics (Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso):

    • possession: 65% vs 35%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
    • yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
    • shots on target: 9 vs 2.

    Nacional Montevideo, known as "the Tricolor," currently hold third place in the league, renowned for their solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per match. Their recent five-game run has demonstrated consistent form with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Despite this, their attack occasionally falls short of expectations, as the team seldom scores more than one goal per game. Nonetheless, their defensive resilience often compensates for their offensive shortcomings.

    Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo

    Last matches
    06.06.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    Juventud de Las Piedras
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    2
    1
    0
    1
    2
    0
    -
    -
    4
    3
    -
    -
    6
    3
    W
    31.05.26
    Primera Division
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Deportivo Maldonado
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    3
    0
    0
    0
    3
    0
    -
    -
    7
    7
    -
    -
    3
    4
    L
    27.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Coquimbo Unido
    Coquimbo Unido
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0.49
    0.73
    2
    8
    11
    16
    1
    4
    W
    23.05.26
    Primera Division
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1
    Albion
    Albion
    1
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    -
    -
    13
    0
    -
    -
    4
    6
    W
    20.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Universitario de Deportes
    Universitario de Deportes
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0.41
    0.48
    7
    5
    6
    4
    0
    1
    D
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    Penarol Montevideo Team Overview

    The visitors played their most recent official match in the Primera tournament (Peñarol as the home side, Deportivo Maldonado as the visitors). The game concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.

    Here are the match stats (Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado):

    • possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
    • corner kicks: 6 vs 8;
    • yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
    • shots on target: 3 vs 4.

    Peñarol have been performing strongly this season, currently sitting in sixth place on the league table. The team is known for their high-scoring capability, averaging two goals per game. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered two losses, showcasing an aggressive style of play with a focus on attack. This strategy often pays off for the team due to their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

    Match Results: Penarol Montevideo

    Last matches
    07.06.26
    Primera Division
    Cerro
    Cerro
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    4
    4
    -
    -
    2
    0
    W
    01.06.26
    Primera Division
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    3
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    -
    -
    6
    3
    -
    -
    3
    2
    L
    28.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Independiente Santa Fe
    Independiente Santa Fe
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.39
    9
    2
    9
    21
    2
    2
    L
    24.05.26
    Primera Division
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    -
    -
    2
    3
    -
    -
    3
    4
    W
    22.05.26
    Copa Libertadores
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    Corinthians
    Corinthians
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.68
    2.45
    3
    5
    5
    6
    0
    0
    D
    Empty
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    Prediction on the outcome

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 46;
    • home team wins - 17, away team wins - 12, draws - 17.

    Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Penarol Montevideo

    • matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • wins: 2 vs 2;
    • win percentage: 67% vs 67%;
    • losses: 0 vs 1;
    • draws: 1 vs 0.

    Last 10 matches:

    • wins: 5 vs 6;
    • losses: 2 vs 3;
    • draws: 3 vs 1.
    Trends
    • Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 33 of last 34 games (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 26 of last 27 games.
    • Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games (Primera Division).
    • Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games.
    👉Prediction: Penarol Montevideo Handicap (+1.5)(odds: 1.2)

    Prediction on the over/under

    H2H

    • today's home team scores on average - 1.15, the guests - 1.11;
    • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.26;
    • both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 12.

    Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Penarol Montevideo

    • average total in the tournament: 2 vs 3.33;
    • average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 2;
    • average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 1;
    • average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 1;
    • Club Nacional Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament -  1;
    • Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 0;
    • last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
    Trends
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Club Nacional Montevideo home games.
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    • Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Penarol Montevideo away games.
    👉Prediction: Total goals Over (1.5)(odds: 1.38)

    Prediction on corners

    Club Nacional Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.67; at home field - 9;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 6.

    Penarol Montevideo: Statistics

    • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67, away - 0;
    • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 6.
    Trends
    • Club Nacional Montevideo have taken over 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
    👉Prediction: Corners - Club Nacional Montevideo Total Over (5.5)

    Prediction on BTTS

    H2H:

    • number of encounters - 46;
    • both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
    • on the home team’s field - 12 times.

    Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Penarol Montevideo

    • number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
    • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
    • number of BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 1 (100%);
    • number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).

    Last 10 matches:

    • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
    • BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 3 (60%);
    • BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 2 (67%).
    👉Prediction: Both Teams To Score (No)(odds: 1.83)

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Considering the teams' trends and recent results, the most likely outcome appears to be under 2.5 goals. Nacional Montevideo are known for their solid defense and relatively low-scoring attacking plays, while Peñarol, despite having a more vibrant offense, often struggle to break through defenses of a high caliber.

    Our choice
    Total goals Under (2.5) at odds of -182*
    Everygame
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (27 February 2026, 23:24)

    Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Penarol Montevideo

    Club Nacional Montevideo have not lost
    nacional-montevideoin 33 of last 34 games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin last 18 games.
    nacional-montevideoin last 17 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin 16 of last 17 home games.
    Penarol Montevideo have not won
    ca-penarolin 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will not lose
    Everygame
    -312
    Over 1.5 goals scored
    nacional-montevideoin 6 of last 7 Club Nacional Montevideo home games.
    ca-penarolin 12 of last 13 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
    ca-penarolin 8 of last 9 Penarol Montevideo away games.
    Total goals Over (1.5)
    Everygame
    -222
    Club Nacional Montevideo have scored
    nacional-montevideoin 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).
    nacional-montevideoin last 7 home games.
    Penarol Montevideo have conceded
    ca-penarolin 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
    Club Nacional Montevideo will score goal
    Everygame
    -303
    Penarol Montevideo have scored
    ca-penarolin 19 of last 21 games (Primera Division).
    Penarol Montevideo will score goal
    Everygame
    -222
    View more facts

    Nacional - Penarol Table position

    Primera Division 2026
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Albion
    Albion
    1584326-1628
    4.
    Penarol Montevideo
    Penarol Montevideo
    1583423-1627
    5.
    Central Espanol
    Central Espanol
    1573523-2224
    6.
    Montevideo City Torque
    Montevideo City Torque
    1565422-1623
    7.
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    Club Nacional Montevideo
    1571726-2122
    8.
    Defensor Sporting
    Defensor Sporting
    1556413-1121

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    4 - Loses
    Wins - 4
    Draws - 3
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 14
    Conceded - 15
    -1
    +1
    11 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draws
    3
    4
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    14
    Scored
    11
    15
    Conceded
    10
    2.9
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.4
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.1
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    4
    Both teams scored
    5
    64'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    82'
    View all stats