Nacional vs Penarol Prediction 1 March 2026
📣How will an early goal change the strategy of both teams? If it happens, we will see an interesting development in the confrontation between the teams Club Nacional Montevideo and Penarol Montevideo. Recall that the meeting is scheduled for 22:30 1 March. The tournament match will take place at the Estadio Gran Parque Central stadium in the city of Montevideo. Note the odds - bookmakers offer to bet on the victory of the side for and , respectively.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official match between the teams ended in a 0-0 draw. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (Peñarol were the hosts):
- possession: 53% vs 47%;
- corners: 2 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 2.
📊Analytical review of the previous official encounters between Nacional Montevideo and Peñarol:
- A total of 46 matches played;
- Home wins: 17, Away wins: 12, Draws: 17;
- Goals scored (home/away): 53 to 51;
- Average total goals per match: 2.26.
Head-to-head statistics Nacional - Penarol
Club Nacional Montevideo Team Overview
The last official match took place in the Primera tournament, featuring Progreso as the home side against Nacional Montevideo. The match ended with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the game statistics (Nacional Montevideo vs Progreso):
- possession: 65% vs 35%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 1;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- shots on target: 9 vs 2.
Nacional Montevideo, known as "the Tricolor," currently hold third place in the league, renowned for their solid defense, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per match. Their recent five-game run has demonstrated consistent form with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Despite this, their attack occasionally falls short of expectations, as the team seldom scores more than one goal per game. Nonetheless, their defensive resilience often compensates for their offensive shortcomings.
Match Results: Club Nacional Montevideo
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The visitors played their most recent official match in the Primera tournament (Peñarol as the home side, Deportivo Maldonado as the visitors). The game concluded with a 2-1 scoreline.
Here are the match stats (Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado):
- possession percentage: 46% vs 54%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 8;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Peñarol have been performing strongly this season, currently sitting in sixth place on the league table. The team is known for their high-scoring capability, averaging two goals per game. In their last five matches, they have secured three wins and suffered two losses, showcasing an aggressive style of play with a focus on attack. This strategy often pays off for the team due to their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- home team wins - 17, away team wins - 12, draws - 17.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Penarol Montevideo
- matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- win percentage: 67% vs 67%;
- losses: 0 vs 1;
- draws: 1 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 5 vs 6;
- losses: 2 vs 3;
- draws: 3 vs 1.
- Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 33 of last 34 games (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 26 of last 27 games.
- Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 12 of last 13 away games (Primera Division).
- Penarol Montevideo won with a +1.5 handicap in 6 of last 7 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.15, the guests - 1.11;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.26;
- both teams scored: overall - 24; at the home team's field - 12.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Penarol Montevideo
- average total in the tournament: 2 vs 3.33;
- average total goals scored: 1.33 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.67 vs 1;
- Club Nacional Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total away in the tournament - 0;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1 (home - 0.8) vs 1.3 (away - 1).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Club Nacional Montevideo home games.
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 13 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Penarol Montevideo away games.
Prediction on corners
Club Nacional Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 7.67; at home field - 9;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.8; at home field - 6.
Penarol Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.67, away - 0;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 6.
- Club Nacional Montevideo have taken over 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 46;
- both teams scored all-time - 24 times;
- on the home team’s field - 12 times.
Statistics: Club Nacional Montevideo vs Penarol Montevideo
- number of matches played in the tournament: 3 vs 3;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 2 vs 3;
- number of BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 1 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 6;
- BTTS matches for Club Nacional Montevideo at home - 3 (60%);
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo away - 2 (67%).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the teams' trends and recent results, the most likely outcome appears to be under 2.5 goals. Nacional Montevideo are known for their solid defense and relatively low-scoring attacking plays, while Peñarol, despite having a more vibrant offense, often struggle to break through defenses of a high caliber.
No comments
Betting Tips: Club Nacional Montevideo - Penarol Montevideo
in 33 of last 34 games (Primera Division).in last 18 games.in last 17 home games (Primera Division).in 16 of last 17 home games.in 7 of last 8 away games (Primera Division).
in 6 of last 7 Club Nacional Montevideo home games.in 12 of last 13 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).in 8 of last 9 Penarol Montevideo away games.in 8 of last 9 home games (Primera Division).in last 7 home games.in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).in 19 of last 21 games (Primera Division).
Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
