Estonia vs Lithuania Prediction 9 June 2026
🏆 The Baltic Cup final brings together Estonia and Lithuania. Estonia have lifted the trophy five times and enter this final as the reigning champions, while Lithuania boast ten titles to their name. Who will come out on top in the 2026 showdown in Tallinn? We’ll find out on 9 June at 16:00. To help you make a well-founded prediction, let’s take a closer look at the teams’ key stats.
Head-to-Head
The most recent official meeting between these sides took place on 11 June 2024 in the final of the 2024 tournament. The match ended 1-1 after regular time, with the Estonian team prevailing 4-3 in the penalty shootout.
- Possession: 37% vs 63%;
- Corners: 2 vs 4;
- Fouls: 3 vs 16;
- Yellow cards: 0 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 2 vs 3.
📊 Since 2020, these national teams have faced off four times-Estonia have come out on top in three matches, while Lithuania have claimed one win. Over this stretch, Estonia have averaged 1.25 goals per game, with Lithuania posting 1.00 goals per match.
Head-to-head statistics Estonia - Lithuania
Estonia Team Overview
Their most recent official fixture took place on in the semi-finals of the Baltic Cup, where they edged past the Faroe Islands with a 1-0 victory.
Here are the match stats (Estonia vs Faroe Islands):
- possession: 59% vs 41%;
- corners: 3 vs 3;
- fouls: 11 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 0 vs 1;
- shots on target: 2 vs 3.
Estonia edged past the Faroe Islands in the semi-finals with a narrow victory. The reigning Baltic Cup holders continue to struggle in front of goal-their main issue remains a lack of firepower. In 10 of their last 11 matches, Estonia have failed to score more than once, with the only exception being a 4-2 friendly win over Cyprus last year. Estonia have lifted the trophy five times-fewer than their main regional rivals.
Match Results: Estonia
Lithuania Team Overview
In the Baltic Cup semi-final on , Lithuania edged past Latvia on penalties after a 1-1 draw, prevailing 5-4 in the shootout.
Here’s a look at the key match stats (Lithuania vs Latvia):
- Possession: 50% vs 50%;
- Corners: 6 vs 2;
- Fouls committed: 11 vs 17;
- Yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- Shots on target: 4 vs 1.
Lithuania are reaching the final for the second tournament in a row. Despite having lifted the trophy ten times, their last triumph came way back in 2010. Goals have been hard to come by for Lithuania as well-they have scored no more than once in six of their last seven matches. Defensively, they have held up reasonably well, conceding an average of just 2.0 goals per game over their last ten outings, even when facing the likes of the Netherlands, Poland, and Denmark.
Match Results: Lithuania
Match Outcome Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Games played - 12;
- Home wins - 7, Away wins - 5, Draws - 0.
- Estonia are winless at home in their last 5 matches (International Friendlies).
Total Goals Prediction
Head-to-head (average total goals):
- Home side - 0.92, Away side - 1.08;
- Overall average - 2;
- Both teams have scored: all-time - 3 times; at the home ground - once.
- Under 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of Lithuania’s last 7 matches (International Friendlies).
Corners Prediction
Trends- Over 7.5 corners has hit in 8 of Estonia’s last 9 matches (International Friendlies).
- Over 7.5 corners has landed in 6 of Lithuania’s last 7 matches (International Friendlies).
- Lithuania have seen over 7.5 corners in each of their last 5 away games (International Friendlies).
Yellow Cards Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Average total - 1.16 (Home - 0.58, Away - 0.58);
- Average at the home ground - 1 (Home - 0.33, Away - 0.67).
- Under 3.5 yellow cards has landed in 7 of Estonia’s last 8 matches (International Friendlies).
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Head-to-head record:
- Games played - 12;
- Both teams have scored all-time - 3 times;
- At the home ground - once.
Editorial Prediction
Backing the total in this matchup carries a fair amount of risk, so let's focus on Lithuania's recent form instead. Estonia have failed to win any of their last five home friendlies at international level, which hardly inspires confidence. With the Baltic Cup serving as a warm-up for more important fixtures later in the autumn, a double chance on Lithuania (X2) looks like the most sensible play here. The Lithuanians have every chance of dragging this contest to penalties once again.No comments
Betting Tips: Estonia - Lithuania
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