Toronto FC vs Inter Miami Prediction 9 May 2026
🔊 The upcoming MLS match promises to be thrilling. The teams are showing contrasting form: Toronto have drawn three times and lost twice in their last five matches, slipping out of the playoff zone, while Inter Miami have secured two wins and suffered one defeat. Leo Messi's team has solidified their position among the top three teams in the North American championship. The hosts focus on an attacking style, which, however, results in a high number of goals conceded. Meanwhile, the visitors capitalize on their offensive opportunities and regularly find success on the road.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams took place on 27 September 2025 and ended in a 1-1 draw. Let's take a look at the comparative statistics from that encounter (Toronto were the home side):
- ball possession: 39% vs 61%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 7;
- fouls: 9 vs 12;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 5.
📊 Statistical preview of official encounters between Toronto and Inter Miami:
- 13 matches played;
- home wins - 2, away wins - 9, draws - 2;
- goals scored - 12 for Toronto, 25 for Inter Miami;
- average first-half total - 1.38, second-half - 1.46;
- average total goals per match - 2.85.
Head-to-head statistics Toronto FC - Inter Miami

Toronto Team Overview
The Canadian team's last official match took place on , where they suffered a 1-3 defeat at home to Atlético Ottawa in the national championship.
Here are the match statistics (Toronto vs Atlético Ottawa):
- possession percentage: 55% vs 45%;
- corner kicks: 3 vs 6;
- fouls: 9 vs 7;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Toronto have displayed inconsistent form in recent months. Over their last five matches, the team have suffered two defeats and played to three draws. Their playing style relies on aggressive attacking, which often results in high-scoring affairs on both ends of the pitch. However, this approach doesn't always yield the desired outcome, as their average goals conceded per game exceed 1.8.
Toronto's standing in the tournament demands an improvement in results-they currently sit eighth, within the play-in zone. Home support could be a decisive factor in achieving a positive outcome. However, the Canadian club have not secured a home victory in six consecutive matches, dating back to early April.
Match Results: Toronto

Inter Miami Team Overview
Inter Miami's last official match was on in the MLS, where they lost in a thrilling shootout against Orlando City (3-4).
The match statistics are as follows (Inter Miami vs Orlando City):
- possession: 64% vs 36%;
- corner kicks: 10 vs 2;
- fouls: 18 vs 5;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 9.
Inter Miami are showcasing excellent form in recent games. Over the last five matches, they have secured two wins and suffered just one loss, underscoring their resilience. The visitors' playing style is built on powerful counterattacks, which has brought them success even against formidable opponents. On average, they score more than two goals per game.
The team's league standing is equally impressive. Lionel Messi's squad has climbed into the top three, although they sit slightly lower when considering points dropped. However, with their current pace of accumulating points, they are well-positioned to remain in the upper third of the standings.
Match Results: Inter Miami
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- home team wins - 2, away team wins - 9, draws - 2.
Statistics: Toronto vs Inter Miami
- matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- wins: 3 vs 5;
- win percentage: 27% vs 45%;
- losses: 3 vs 2;
- draws: 5 vs 4.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 3 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 1;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
- Toronto won with a +1.5 handicap in last 6 home games against Inter Miami (MLS).
- Toronto won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 home games.
- Toronto won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.92, the guests - 1.92;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.85;
- both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 2.
Statistics: Toronto vs Inter Miami
- average total in the tournament: 3.45 vs 3.73;
- average total goals scored: 1.64 vs 2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.27 vs 0.91;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.36 vs 1.09;
- Toronto: average total at home in the tournament - 1.88;
- Inter Miami: average total away in the tournament - 2;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.7 (home - 1.78) vs 1.7 (away - 1.6).
- Toronto have scored under 1.5 goals in 10 of last 11 games against Inter Miami (MLS).
Prediction on corners
H2H
- average Over/Under corners in H2H matches - 8.54 (4.62 - for home team and 3.92 - for away team);
- average Over/Under corners at home team's field - 9.33 (5 - for home team and 4.33 - for away team).
Toronto: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.27; at home field - 6.63;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.4; at home field - 6.22.
Inter Miami: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 4.29;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.9; away - 3.6.
- Over 9.5 corners in 10 of last 11 Toronto home games (MLS).
- Over 9.5 corners in 8 of last 9 Toronto games (MLS).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 13;
- both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
- on the home team’s field - 2 times.
Statistics: Toronto vs Inter Miami
- number of matches played in the tournament: 11 vs 11;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 9 vs 8;
- number of BTTS matches for Toronto at home - 8 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Inter Miami away - 4 (57%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 9 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Toronto at home - 9 (100%);
- BTTS matches for Inter Miami away - 2 (40%).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 14 home games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 13 home games (MLS).
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 9 games.
- Toronto have scored and conceded in last 8 games (MLS).
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 7 of last 8 games.
- Inter Miami have scored and conceded in 6 of last 7 games (MLS).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:2 (15/159, 9.4%);
- Toronto at home most often finish matches: 1:1 (3/8, 37.5%);
- Inter Miami away most often play: 2:3 (2/7, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:2 - 9.35% (odds 8)
1:1 - 8.85% (odds 8.5)
2:1 - 6.74% (odds 11)
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Considering current trends and statistics, a bet on Inter Miami's victory seems the most reasonable. The team is showing excellent results in away games, having won 5 of their last 6 matches on the road. Moreover, Inter Miami consistently scores over 1.5 goals in most of their games. The visitors' current form suggests another successful outing can be expected.