Cruz Azul vs Atlas Prediction
🔅 Cruz Azul and Atlas are gearing up for a decisive second leg in the quarterfinals of the Clausura in the Mexican Liga MX. Their first encounter last week was a high-scoring affair, ending with a 3-2 victory for the capital club. Now, Atlas must mount a comeback, which will force the visitors to take risks in pursuit of a semifinal spot. The hosts, on the other hand, will aim to capitalize on their slight advantage and punish any defensive lapses by their opponents at home.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams ended with a 3-2 scoreline. Here's a comparative analysis of that match (with Atlas as the home side):
- possession: 56% vs 44%;
- corners: 2 vs 5;
- fouls: 13 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3;
- shots on target: 2 vs 9.
📊Statistical preview of the official encounters between Cruz Azul and Atlas:
- 49 matches played;
- home victories - 23, away victories - 14, draws - 12;
- goals scored - 77 for Cruz Azul, 59 for Atlas;
- average first-half total - 1.39, second-half total - 1.39;
- average total goals per match - 2.78.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Cruz Azul Team Overview
Cruz Azul finished third in the standings. In their last five matches, they secured two wins and three draws. Their average scoring rate stands at 1.82 goals per game, while they concede an average of 1.13 goals per match, indicating a balanced approach to both offense and defense. The team relies on ball possession and swift wing attacks.
Match Results: Cruz Azul
Atlas Team Overview
Atlas have secured sixth place in the league, yet recent performances indicate some progress: two wins and two draws from their last five matches underscore this development. Atlas's strength lies in their organized defense, conceding less than one goal per game on average over the last ten matches (0.9). However, their weak spot remains in converting chances, with an average of just 0.8 goals per game.
Match Results: Atlas
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 49;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 12; for visitors away - 8; number of draws - 4;
- Average first-half total: 1.39;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.78, while the visitors net 0.61.
First-Half Stats: Cruz Azul (home) vs Atlas (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 19 vs 17;
- wins: 7 (36.84%) vs 3 (17.65%);
- losses: 2 (10.53%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- draws: 10 (52.63%) vs 7 (41.18%);
- Average goals scored: 1.47 vs 1.24;
- Average goals conceded: 0.58 vs 0.88.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 2;
- losses: 2 vs 2;
- draws: 6 vs 6;
- Average first-half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.6, conceded - 0.7) vs 0.4 (scored - 0.2, conceded - 0.2).
- Cruz Azul have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 14, draws - 12.
- Atlas won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games (Liga MX).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.57, the guests - 1.2;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.78;
- both teams scored: overall - 30; at the home team's field - 16.
Statistics: Cruz Azul vs Atlas
- average total in the tournament: 2.95 vs 2.8;
- average total goals scored: 1.82 vs 1.2;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.77 vs 0.6;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1.05 vs 0.6;
- Cruz Azul: average total at home in the tournament - 2.05;
- Atlas: average total away in the tournament - 0.88;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.4 (home - 1.6) vs 0.8 (away - 0.75).
- Cruz Azul have scored under 2.5 goals in 17 of last 18 home games against Atlas.
- Cruz Azul have scored under 2.5 goals in 15 of last 16 home games against Atlas (Liga MX).
Prediction on corners
Cruz Azul: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.54; at home field - 6.53;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.5; at home field - 6.6.
Atlas: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.43, away - 3.24;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.3; away - 3.25.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 49;
- both teams scored all-time - 30 times;
- on the home team’s field - 16 times.
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in 11 of last 12 games.
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in last 8 games (Liga MX).
- Cruz Azul have scored and conceded in last 5 home games.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (37/327, 11.3%);
- Cruz Azul at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:2 (3/19, 15.8%);
- Atlas away most often play: 2:0 (5/17, 29.4%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 11.7% (odds 9)
2:0 - 10.29% (odds 7.5)
2:1 - 9.95% (odds 8.5)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
The outcome of the first match clearly highlighted that both teams' defensive lines struggle under pressure, leading to costly mistakes. Atlas need to score to stay in the playoff race, so they are likely to launch an aggressive offensive from the start. Cruz Azul, with their excellent finishing, are unlikely to miss the chance to capitalize on the visitors' defensive gaps. Given the players' high motivation and the attacking style typical of the Mexican league, a goal exchange in this encounter seems almost inevitable.
Betting Tips: Cruz Azul - Atlas
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
