Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction 9 March 2025

    🔊 Will the meeting with "Los Blancos" be historic for Iñigo Pérez's guys? An intriguing highlight of the 27th round of the Spanish La Liga is the clash between Real Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. While the "Galacticos" continue to fight for the championship, the "Bees" have a decent chance of qualifying for European competitions. Let's take a look at the bookmakers' preliminary predictions: home win - 1.27, victory for the visitors - 10.5.

    Head-to-Head

    The meeting of the teams at "Campo de Vallecas" in the first round of La Liga ended in a real goal fest - a draw with a score of 3:3. Interestingly, the last 3 head-to-head matches ended in a draw. Meanwhile, the "bees" traditionally have unsuccessful trips to the territory of the "meringues". The previous victory of Rayo Vallecano dates back to the 1995/96 season (2:1).

    H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results

    54%
    7 Wins
    31%
    4 Draws
    15%
    2 Wins
    Total games
    13
    Total Goals Avg
    2.54
    Both teams scored
    62%
    1.46
    Total average
    1.08
    2.31
    Yellow cards
    3.85
    Last matches
    01.02.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2
    1.7
    1.02
    9
    4
    6
    18
    2
    6
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.7
    1.02
    9
    4
    6
    18
    2
    6
    09.11.25
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.38
    1.06
    5
    8
    17
    7
    3
    2
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    0
    1.38
    1.06
    5
    8
    17
    7
    3
    2
    09.03.25
    PRI
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.59
    1.21
    4
    6
    12
    17
    3
    1
    2
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    1.59
    1.21
    4
    6
    12
    17
    3
    1
    14.12.24
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.61
    0.71
    4
    3
    15
    9
    4
    2
    3
    3
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1.61
    0.71
    4
    3
    15
    9
    4
    2
    18.02.24
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1
    -
    -
    4
    10
    10
    3
    4
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    -
    -
    4
    10
    10
    3
    4
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Real Madrid Team Overview

    Recently, there has been a lot of talk about the imminent departure of Carlo Ancelotti. However, after the recent victory over Atletico (2:1), there have been reports about the Italian specialist's intention to stay at the helm of the "Los Blancos" for the next season. Such a development is quite possible if Real wins La Liga or the Champions League. In the European competition against the "Rojiblancos," the "Galacticos" coach fully demonstrated his coaching experience. Moving Brahim Diaz to Vinicius Junior's flank completely confused the defensive line of the "Indios." Thanks to regular position changes, the Spanish midfielder managed to score the winning goal. Federico Valverde should also be mentioned. The Uruguayan is performing excellently in his duties as a right-back. Personnel issues still plague Real. Dani Carvajal, Dani Ceballos, and Eder Militao remain in the infirmary.

    Match Results: Real Madrid

    Last matches
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Athletic Bilbao
    Athletic Bilbao
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    4
    2
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1.39
    1
    2
    1
    6
    20
    2
    0
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Sevilla
    Sevilla
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    0
    1.03
    1.32
    5
    4
    18
    12
    4
    0
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    Real Oviedo
    Real Oviedo
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.66
    0.94
    4
    5
    7
    14
    0
    0
    W
    10.05.26
    La Liga
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    2
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    1.22
    0.67
    4
    8
    18
    9
    2
    4
    L
    03.05.26
    La Liga
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Espanyol Barcelona
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    1.26
    1.76
    5
    6
    19
    16
    3
    4
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
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    Rayo Vallecano Team Overview

    Rayo Vallecano has still lost its place in the European competition zone. Currently, the "bees" are 2 points behind the top-6. However, denying the excellent management of limited resources by Inigo Perez is unacceptable. Rayo Vallecano has managed to maintain its "flair" after Andoni Iraola's departure from the club. This is mostly evident in the intensity of their pressing. Using a 4-2-3-1 formation, the capital team effectively presses opponents on their half of the field, thereby forcing them to resort to long passes. For Inigo Perez, the physical fitness of the players is especially important. After all, the inability of anyone to maintain a high tempo will lead to the collapse of the entire system. Pate Ciss deserves special mention, as he shoulders a huge amount of the defensive workload. In fact, the Senegalese midfielder is the only defensive midfielder in the tactical setup. Let's note the long list of players unavailable for the upcoming match: Sergio Camello, Abdul Mumin, Isi Palazon (all due to injuries), and Jorge de Frutos (suspension).

    Match Results: Rayo Vallecano

    Last matches
    27.05.26
    Conference League
    Crystal Palace
    Crystal Palace
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1.85
    0.76
    4
    1
    16
    15
    3
    6
    L
    23.05.26
    La Liga
    Deportivo Alaves
    Deportivo Alaves
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    0
    0
    2
    2.13
    1.23
    10
    5
    13
    14
    3
    3
    W
    17.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    1.61
    1.16
    1
    9
    12
    10
    2
    1
    W
    14.05.26
    La Liga
    Valencia
    Valencia
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    0.79
    1.16
    5
    1
    9
    20
    1
    1
    D
    11.05.26
    La Liga
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    Girona
    Girona
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    1
    1.47
    1.01
    9
    5
    10
    9
    1
    1
    D
    Empty
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    ⚽️ GOALS PREDICTION

    The average scoring of the “Merengues” in head-to-head encounters with the “Bees” is 2.7 goals per game. During the current season, the “Galacticos” score approximately 2.1 times. Let's note the following trend: in 4 out of the last 5 personal meetings, there were successful shots on goal from both sides. Rayo Vallecano also does not face significant problems in creating chances. Considering the factors mentioned above, the following event seems logical - both teams to score (yes).

    🚩 CORNERS PREDICTION

    Head-to-head encounters between the teams are characterized by an abundance of corner kicks - 10.7 per match. In 4 out of the last 5 matches involving Real Madrid, there were at least 11 corner kicks. Both the “Merengues” and the “Bees” employ active pressing in the opponent's half, thereby creating danger. In our opinion, the upcoming game will again record a significant number of corners. Our choice - total over 9.5 corners.

    Editor's Prediction

    Our editorial team wouldn't count on the success of the visitors. Firstly, the “bees” struggle in away head-to-heads with the “whites”. The main evidence of this is a series of 15 matches without a win. Secondly, the injuries of key players from Rayo Vallecano favor the hosts. As a result, the visitors risk losing their organized pressing in Saturday's match. A final score of 3:1 seems quite rational. The key bet is Real's victory with a handicap (-1.5).

    Our choice
    Real Madrid Handicap (-1,5) at odds of -132*
    MyBookie
    Bet
    *The odds are relevant for the time of publication (8 March 2025, 11:58)

    Betting Tips: Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano

    Real Madrid have won:
    real-madrid-1in 6 of last 7 home games.
    Real Madrid Win
    MyBookie
    -333
    Real Madrid have not lost:
    real-madrid-1in 13 of last 14 home games (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in 8 of last 9 games.
    real-madrid-1in last 7 home games.
    Real Madrid will not lose
    Everygame
    -1667
    Under 4.5 goals scored:
    in 17 of last 18 Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso games.
    Total goals Under (4,5)
    -400
    Real Madrid have scored under 3.5 goals:
    real-madrid-1rayo-vallecano-1in last 10 games against Rayo Vallecano (La Liga).
    real-madrid-1in last 12 games.
    Real Madrid Total goals Under (3,5)
    Everygame
    -357
    View more facts

    Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano Table position

    LaLiga 24/25
    gWDLGDPForm
    1.
    Barcelona
    Barcelona
    382846102-3988
    2.
    Real Madrid
    Real Madrid
    38266678-3884
    3.
    Atletico Madrid
    Atletico Madrid
    382210668-3076
    7.
    Celta de Vigo
    Celta de Vigo
    381671559-5755
    8.
    Rayo Vallecano
    Rayo Vallecano
    3813131241-4552
    9.
    Osasuna
    Osasuna
    3812161048-5252

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    5 - Wins
    2 - Draws
    3 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draws - 3
    Lose - 1
    10 matches
    Scored - 17
    Conceded - 13
    +4
    +7
    14 - Scored
    7 - Conceded
    5
    Wins
    6
    2
    Draws
    3
    3
    Loses
    1
    Goal difference
    17
    Scored
    14
    13
    Conceded
    7
    3
    Match goals average
    2.1
    1.7
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.4
    1.3
    Goals conceded per match on average
    0.7
    6
    Both teams scored
    4
    53'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    64'
    View all stats