Hammarby vs Elfsborg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 November 2026
🔊 With three rounds left in the Allsvenskan, Hammarby IF trail leaders Sirius by three points. The Stockholm side cannot afford a slip-up, but IF Elfsborg are awkward opponents in a title race: they have lost just five of their 27 matches and drawn ten. Hammarby IF, though, are unbeaten in their last six Allsvenskan head-to-head meetings. Will the hosts’ pursuit of Sirius prevail, or will the visitors’ resilience hold firm?
Head-to-Head
Hammarby IF won the last head-to-head meeting, beating IF Elfsborg 2-1 away from home. After a goalless first half, the visitors finished with nine shots on target to the hosts’ five and held a 2.12-0.75 advantage in expected goals (xG).
Hammarby IF have a narrow edge in the head-to-head record, with 17 wins to IF Elfsborg’s 14 across 44 meetings. The other 13 matches ended in draws. At home, Hammarby IF have won 11 of their 21 meetings.
Head-to-head statistics Hammarby - Elfsborg
Hammarby Team Overview
Hammarby IF came from behind at half-time to beat Malmö 2-1 in the previous Allsvenskan round. The visitors outshot their opponents 21-9 and led the xG battle 1.64 to 0.42.
Hammarby IF have returned to the title race after a derby defeat. Henrik Rydström’s side lost 1-0 at home to Djurgården on 11 October, but have since taken maximum points from four Allsvenskan matches. Sirius were among those beaten, with the Stockholm side keeping a clean sheet in their head-to-head meeting. Last round, Hammarby IF took all three points away at Malmö thanks to a second-half winner from Montader Madjed. Their strength is their defence: they have conceded just 22 goals in 27 matches, the fewest in the league. Hammarby IF have also won six of their last seven home league games.
Match Results: Hammarby
Elfsborg Team Overview
IF Elfsborg beat Örgryte 2-1 in the previous Allsvenskan round. The match was goalless at half-time, but IF Elfsborg finished with 70% possession, a 12-1 advantage in corners and an xG edge of 2.26 to 0.78.
IF Elfsborg are a difficult side to put away. Björn Hamberg’s team sit fifth on 46 points, three behind fourth-placed Häcken. They have lost just one of their last 12 Allsvenskan matches. In October, IF Elfsborg drew three in a row, including away to league leaders Sirius, and often rescued points late on. At AIK, Rasmus Wikström headed in a 90th-minute equaliser from a corner to make it 2-2. Last time out, they snatched a win over Örgryte in stoppage time.
Match Results: Elfsborg
Prediction for the 1st half
Hammarby IF have scored in the first half in six of their last seven home league matches. We expect the hosts to find the net before the break again. Our pick is Hammarby IF over 0.5 first-half team goals.
Match Result Prediction
IF Elfsborg have gone 15 consecutive away matches without losing by more than one goal. Their away record this season stands at four wins, six draws and three defeats. The risk is that Hammarby IF have won ten of their 13 home matches, but we still do not expect the hosts to win by two goals or more. Our pick is IF Elfsborg +1.5 on the handicap.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm, the three most likely scorelines are 1-0 (15.26%), 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.6%). Of these, 1-0 is the most likely.
⭐ Editor’s prediction
Hammarby IF and IF Elfsborg have not served up a goal fest in some time: each of their last ten head-to-head meetings has produced three goals or fewer. Hammarby IF’s recent form follows the same pattern, with none of their last five Allsvenskan matches featuring four or more goals. IF Elfsborg have scored no more than twice in eight of their last nine league games. We expect Hammarby IF to take all three points without the match reaching four goals. The pick is under 3.5 goals.
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Betting Tips: Hammarby - Elfsborg
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