Derby vs Bolton Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 6 November 2026
🔊 Derby County come into this match struggling at both ends of the pitch, having lost four of their last five games. They sit in the relegation zone, seven points from safety, leaving them with a steep climb ahead. Bolton Wanderers are in the lower half of the table with little prospect of challenging for promotion, and their results have been inconsistent over the past ten matches. The key contrast is between the hosts’ blunt attack and the visitors’ more balanced, if unspectacular, performances.
Derby County dominate
Derby County beat Bolton Wanderers 1-0 in League One despite the visitors having more shots on target, four to two. The score was 0-0 at half-time.
📊 In 26 competitive head-to-head meetings, Derby County have won 14 to Bolton Wanderers’ five, with seven draws. Derby County are unbeaten at home in this fixture, with ten wins and three draws.
Head-to-head statistics Derby - Bolton
Derby County: Goals remain hard to come by
Derby County lost 4-0 at home to Norwich in their latest Championship match. They trailed 3-0 at half-time and managed just six shots to the visitors’ 19.
Derby County are struggling badly in attack, averaging just 0.6 goals over their last 10 matches. They are winless in their last five, with four defeats, while their defence has also been vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game across the same 10-match stretch. Four straight losses suggest there has been no recent upturn in form. Derby County remain in the relegation zone, and with a sizeable gap to safety at this stage of the season, their prospects of staying up look bleak.
Match Results: Derby
Bolton Wanderers: An Open Style of Play
Bolton Wanderers beat Charlton 1-0 away from home in their latest Championship match. They scored before half-time and held on to their lead, despite Charlton attacking more often and outshooting them 14-11.
Bolton Wanderers have a more balanced record, though consistency remains an issue: four wins and five defeats in their last 10 matches. The visitors average more goals than the hosts, scoring 1.5 per game, but they also concede 2.1 as defensive mistakes continue to cost them. Their last five matches have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats. With Bolton Wanderers well clear of the promotion places and under no pressure from their position in the table, there is little at stake for them.
Match Results: Bolton Wanderers
Match outcome prediction
Derby County have failed to win 14 of their last 15 matches and have lost five of their last six at home. They are yet to win at home this season, with two draws and five defeats, while Bolton Wanderers have recorded three wins, two draws and two defeats on the road. The head-to-head record counts against this pick: Derby County are unbeaten in their last 13 home matches against Bolton Wanderers. But recent form carries more weight, so our pick is Bolton Wanderers to avoid defeat at odds of 1.51*.
Goals / Total Goals Prediction
Derby County have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in ten consecutive matches. They are averaging 0.57 goals per home game this season and 0.4 across their last ten home matches. Those numbers support a bet on Derby County under 1.5 team goals at odds of 1.73*.
Corner kicks prediction
Bolton Wanderers have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in eight of their last nine matches. Their away record also points to a low corner count: they have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in 12 of their last 13 away games, albeit against a higher line. Our pick is Bolton Wanderers under 4.5 team corners at odds of 1.88*.
Both teams to score prediction
Derby County have scored and conceded in six of their last seven matches. Bolton Wanderers have averaged 1.6 goals across their last ten away games, while Derby County have conceded 1.8 per game over their last ten at home. The hosts have scored just 0.4 goals per game at home over that same stretch, however, which limits confidence in the prediction. With that caveat, our pick is both teams to score - yes at odds of 1.51*.
A solid bet
Bolton Wanderers have covered the +1.5 handicap in nine of their last ten away matches. Derby County have yet to win at home this season, drawing twice and losing five times. Bolton Wanderers only need to avoid losing by two or more goals for this bet to land, so we’re backing Bolton Wanderers +1.5 at odds of 1.18*.
*Odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor’s Prediction
Derby County continue to struggle at both ends of the pitch, with a lack of goals and a run of defeats underlining their poor form. Bolton Wanderers look more settled, but they have not shown a clear edge in the quality of their play. The key trend is that Derby County have scored and conceded in most of their matches, with both teams finding the net frequently. That makes both teams to score (yes) the pick. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Derby - Bolton Wanderers
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