Ilves vs Mariehamn Prediction 9 August 2026
🔊 Mariehamn have gone 18 Veikkausliiga matches without a win and sit bottom with five points. The only thing is, Ilves are meeting them at an awkward moment: on Thursday they lost to Rijeka in Croatia (0:1) in the first leg of the third qualifying round of the Conference League. The second leg is on 13 August. And the league is the last thing on the hosts' minds.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 18 April 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 2:2. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - IFK Mariehamn):
- ball possession percentage: 52% vs 48%;
- corner kicks: 5 vs 4;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 3;
- shots on target: 10 vs 4.
📊 Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tampereen Ilves and IFK Mariehamn:
- played 33 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 15, for the away team - 11, draws - 7;
- number of goals - 51 against 40;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.91, in the 2nd half - 1.85;
- average total goals in the match - 2.76.
Head-to-head statistics Ilves - Mariehamn
Tampereen Ilves Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the UEFA Europa Conference League tournament (home team - Rijeka, away team - Tampereen Ilves). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (Tampereen Ilves vs Rijeka):
- ball possession: 34% vs 66%;
- corner kicks: 1 vs 9;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 14.
Ilves are ninth with 22 points, but at home they are a completely different team: they have won eight of their last nine matches across all competitions and have scored in 22 games in a row. However, their ceiling against Mariehamn is known - Ilves have not scored more than two goals in nine matches in a row.
Sunday in Tampere promises to be a celebratory occasion: the club will be inducting five people into their hall of fame at this match. But the main event for Ilves comes on Thursday - the second leg against Rijeka, where their place in the Conference League play-off round will be decided.
Match Results: Tampereen Ilves
IFK Mariehamn Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Veikkausliiga tournament (home team - TPS Turku, away - IFK Mariehamn). The match concluded with a scoreline of 3:0.
Here are the match stats (IFK Mariehamn vs TPS Turku):
- ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 5;
- fouls: 16 vs 11;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 4.
Mariehamn are the biggest disaster of the season: 5 points and not a single win. All five points have come from draws, one of which was against Ilves - in April at home (2:2).
The numbers only get worse from there. Away from home, Mariehamn have gone without a win in 17 of their last 18 league matches, conceded in 18 rounds in a row, and lost the second half in 12 matches across all competitions.
Match Results: IFK Mariehamn
Prediction for the 1st half
Head-to-Head Matches:
- Total encounters - 33;
- First-half wins at home for hosts - 4; for visitors away - 3; number of draws - 7;
- Average first-half total: 0.91;
- Today's home team scores on average 0.48, while the visitors net 0.42.
First-Half Stats: Tampereen Ilves (home) vs IFK Mariehamn (away)
- matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 9;
- wins: 4 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- losses: 2 (25%) vs 6 (66.67%);
- draws: 2 (25%) vs 3 (33.33%);
- Average goals scored: 1.5 vs 1;
- Average goals conceded: 0.5 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- wins: 2 vs 1;
- losses: 4 vs 7;
- draws: 4 vs 2;
- Average first-half total: 0.9 (scored - 0.3, conceded - 0.6) vs 1.1 (scored - 0.1, conceded - 1).
- IFK Mariehamn conceded in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.55, the guests - 1.21;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.76;
- both teams scored: overall - 15; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Tampereen Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn
- average total in the tournament: 3.33 vs 2.67;
- average total goals scored: 1.61 vs 0.5;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.83 vs 0.22;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.78 vs 0.28;
- Tampereen Ilves: average total at home in the tournament - 1.75;
- IFK Mariehamn: average total away in the tournament - 0.44;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 2) vs 0.4 (away - 0.6).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Tampereen Ilves home games against IFK Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on corners
Tampereen Ilves: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.44; at home field - 4;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 6.
IFK Mariehamn: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 3.83, away - 3.33;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.2; away - 2.8.
- Under 12.5 corners in 9 of last 10 Tampereen Ilves home games against IFK Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga).
- Under 12.5 corners in last 8 Tampereen Ilves games against IFK Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga).
- Under 12.5 corners in 12 of last 13 IFK Mariehamn away games (Veikkausliiga).
- Under 12.5 corners in 7 of last 8 IFK Mariehamn games (Veikkausliiga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 33;
- both teams scored all-time - 15 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Tampereen Ilves vs IFK Mariehamn
- number of matches played in the tournament: 18 vs 18;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 11 vs 7;
- number of BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves at home - 3 (38%);
- number of BTTS matches for IFK Mariehamn away - 3 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 3;
- BTTS matches for Tampereen Ilves at home - 2 (67%);
- BTTS matches for IFK Mariehamn away - 2 (40%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (18/109, 16.5%);
- Tampereen Ilves at home most often finish matches: 1:0 (3/8, 37.5%);
- IFK Mariehamn away most often play: 3:0 (3/9, 33.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
2:0 - 12.56% (odds 6.5)
1:0 - 11.8% (odds 8)
2:1 - 10.33% (odds 7)
Editor's Pick
A home win raises no questions - the only intrigue is whether there will be a heavy defeat. At home against Mariehamn, Ilves kept it to two goals or fewer in seven consecutive head-to-head meetings, and overall on their own ground they held that mark in 7 of their last 8 league matches.
Add to that the second leg against Rijeka on Thursday, where their place in the Conference League play-off round will be decided. Ilves will be saving their energy for that one, which means they will score just enough to get the result. The bet is Ilves to score under 2.5 goals. Predicted score - 2:0.
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Betting Tips: Tampereen Ilves - IFK Mariehamn
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