Queensland vs Melbourne Prediction 11 August 2026
🔊 Heading into this FFA Cup round of 16 match, Queensland Lions are approaching it in near-optimal form, having maintained a steady rhythm of competitive matches. Favourites Melbourne City are far from the same condition, but are still considered the main contenders to advance to the quarterfinals.
Head-to-Head
📊 These teams have not previously met.
Head-to-head statistics Queensland - Melbourne

Queensland Lions Team Overview
Queensland Lions' last match was played in the NPL Queensland. At home, the team beat Brisbane Roar U23 (4:2). Moreover, they won on merit, holding 55% of possession, registering 14 shots on target against two from their opponents. The advantage is also visible in the corner count (6:4).
Queensland Lions are in good shape, as the regional tournament is already in full swing. Since the beginning of May, the side has played 13 matches. During that period, Lions have won 11 matches, one game ended in a draw in regular time and one ended in defeat. Over the last five matches, the hosts have scored eight goals and conceded only three. In the previous round of the Australia Cup they eliminated Perth Glory (1:1, 4:2 on penalties).
Match Results: Queensland Lions

Melbourne City Team Overview
Melbourne City last played in a friendly against Palermo (0:2). The Australians lost the possession battle (41%), did not win a single corner, and were outshot on target (2 against 6).
Melbourne City, unlike their opponents, came out of their break exclusively for cup matches. The team had no trouble getting past Weston Workers (3:0) in the previous round, but then lost a friendly to Palermo the day before. The situation against the Italian club was close to dire. It is clear that pre-season preparations and fitness levels are far from optimal, but the fans are unlikely to accept a potential exit in the round of 16 of the Australia Cup.
Match Results: Melbourne City
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Queensland Lions vs Melbourne City
- average total in the tournament: 2.33 vs 3;
- average total goals scored: 1.67 vs 3;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.67 vs 1;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 2;
- Queensland Lions: average total at home in the tournament - 1;
- Melbourne City: average total away in the tournament - 3;
- last 10 matches (average total): 2.2 (home - 2.43) vs 1.7 (away - 1.5).
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Queensland Lions games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 11 of last 12 Melbourne City games.
- Under 3.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Melbourne City away games.
Correct Score Prediction
Most frequent results statistics (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:3 (13/178, 7.3%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
0:1 - 11.77% (odds 8)
0:2 - 10.91% (odds 7.5)
1:2 - 10.09% (odds 8.5)
⭐️ Editor's Pick
We're basing this on two factors: Queensland Lions' current condition and Melbourne City's poor form. The visitors will surely try to rely on quality, but Queensland Lions shouldn't be underestimated. Lions have scored in each of their last 35 matches and in 19 consecutive home games. Given that the motivation to reach the Australian Cup quarterfinal is a strong factor, we'll back Queensland Lions to score.