Arsenal vs Real Madrid Prediction 8 April 2025
🔊 Can the Londoners build a crucial advantage before heading to Madrid? One of the most intriguing Champions League quarter-final matchups is the clash between Arsenal and Real Madrid. Both teams have faced their share of challenges this season, with injuries proving particularly disruptive. Bookmakers favor the "Galacticos" to advance to the semi-finals, but they give the edge to the "Gunners" in the match at the Emirates. Will Mikel Arteta's squad rise to the occasion against the kings of the tournament?
Head-to-Head
The teams haven't faced each other in official matches since 2006. Back then, Arsenal knocked Real Madrid out of the Champions League in the Round of 16. Thierry Henry scored the only goal across the two-legged tie.
Head-to-head statistics Arsenal - Real Madrid

Arsenal Team Overview
🔴 Arsenal have advanced to the Champions League playoffs from third place, showcasing exemplary defense by conceding just three goals in eight matches. Only Inter have conceded fewer. In the Round of 16, they breezed past PSV, netting seven goals in Eindhoven (7-1). The return leg in London was a mere formality (1-1). This season, injuries have severely hampered the Gunners. While they remain second in the English Premier League, any talk of a title challenge is off the table. Moreover, they dropped points against Everton last weekend (1-1).
📢 Arsenal's head coach believes they must outperform the Madrid side to knock them out: "We need to believe from the first minute and be effective in crucial moments. We know well that in the Champions League, everything is decided in the penalty area."
❌ Arsenal's strong defense could have been their key to overcoming Real Madrid. However, Gabriel picked up an injury against Fulham and is sidelined for the rest of the season. The center-back pairing of Kiwior and Saliba doesn't appear as reliable. Additionally, defenders Calafiori and Tomiyasu are out due to injuries. Bukayo Saka has recovered, although he can't yet play more than one half. Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, whom Arteta has deployed at the forefront of the attack, are injured as well. Raheem Sterling will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards, which further complicates squad rotation.
Match Results: Arsenal

Real Madrid Team Overview
⚪ Real Madrid are statistically enduring one of their worst seasons under Carlo Ancelotti. They still have a shot at winning La Liga, though last weekend they handed Barcelona a gift by losing to Valencia at the Santiago Bernabeu (1-2). Nineteen-year-old Fran Gonzalez started in goal but failed to make a single save, conceding the decisive goal in the fifth minute of stoppage time. As a result, Real Madrid trail Barcelona by four points. Their Champions League journey hasn't been smooth either. They finished the group stage in 11th place overall, drawing Manchester City as their opponent. However, they came out on top against the Citizens in both legs (3-2; 3-1). The Round of 16 saw a Madrid derby against Atletico, decided by a penalty shootout.
📢 Andriy Lunin and Thibaut Courtois did not feature in the match against Valencia. Carlo Ancelotti commented on their condition ahead of the first quarter-final: “Courtois is feeling much better. We hope he can play on Tuesday. We have doubts about Lunin, who needs to undergo an examination. If he's not fit, I have full confidence in Fran Gonzalez.” It seems the Ukrainian is not fit, as the club has not included him in the squad for the match against Arsenal.
❌ In the upcoming fixture, not only will Lunin be absent, but also injured players Dani Carvajal, Dani Ceballos, Eder Militao, and Ferland Mendy. Additionally, Aurelien Tchouameni will miss the game due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Match Results: Real Madrid
Prediction on the outcome
Statistics: Arsenal vs Real Madrid
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of wins: 7 vs 9;
- win percentage: 70% vs 75%;
- number of losses: 1 vs 3;
- number of draws: 2 vs 0.
Last 10 matches:
- number of wins: 4 vs 7;
- number of losses: 2 vs 2;
- number of draws: 4 vs 1.
- Arsenal has won the 1st half in 7 of the last 8 home games.
- Arsenal has won the 1st half in each of their last 6 Champions League games.
Prediction on the over/under
Statistics: Arsenal vs Real Madrid
- average total in the tournament: 3.1 vs 3.75;
- average total goals scored: 2.5 vs 2.33;
- average total in the 1st half: 1.5 vs 0.67;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1.67;
- Arsenal: average total at home in the tournament - 2.2;
- Real Madrid: average total away in the tournament - 1.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 1.25) vs 1.8 (away - 1).
- Real Madrid has scored in 14 of the last 15 games.
Prediction on corners
Arsenal: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.9; at home field - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; at home field - 4.25.
Real Madrid: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6.67, away - 4.67;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 6.8; away - 5.
Prediction on cards
Arsenal: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.5; at home - 2;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.5; at home - 2.
Real Madrid: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2.58, away - 3.17;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.8; away - 2.75.
Prediction on BTTS
Statistics: Arsenal vs Real Madrid
- number of matches played in the tournament: 8 vs 8;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 4 vs 8;
- number of BTS matches for Arsenal at home - 1 (20%);
- number of BTS matches for Real Madrid away - 2 (33%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 7;
- BTTS matches for Arsenal at home - 2 (50%);
- BTTS matches for Real Madrid away - 2 (50%).
- Real Madrid has scored and conceded in 7 of the last 8 games.
Editorial Prediction
Both teams are plagued by injuries, making it difficult to count on solid defensive performances. We believe this is a match where offense will outshine defense, with both sides ultimately finding the back of the net. Our bet is both teams to score (yes), which has hit in 7 of Real's last 8 matches.