Racing vs Cerro Prediction 8 March 2026
📢 The upcoming clash between Racing Montevideo and Cerro promises to be intriguing, given the contrasting form of the teams. Racing are on an upswing, having secured two victories in their last five matches. Meanwhile, Cerro are struggling with three consecutive defeats. Both sides are eager to improve their standings: Racing are fighting for top spots, while Cerro aim to escape the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-1 scoreline. Here's a comparative breakdown of that encounter (home side - Racing Montevideo):
- possession: 49% vs 51%;
- corners: 2 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 0.
📊Analytical review of previous official encounters between Racing Montevideo and Cerro:
- 39 matches played;
- home wins - 15, away wins - 15, draws - 9;
- goals scored (home/away) - 43 against 44;
- average total goals per match - 2.23.
Head-to-head statistics Racing - Cerro

Racing Montevideo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the South American Cup, with Boston River as the home side and Racing Montevideo as the visitors. The game concluded with a 1-0 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Racing Montevideo vs Boston River):
- possession: 58% vs 42%;
- corners: 7 vs 0;
- fouls: 11 vs 13;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 1;
- shots on target: 1 vs 3.
Racing Montevideo sit in 4th place in the standings and have shown solid form, securing two wins in their last five matches, alongside one draw and one loss. The team is renowned for their attacking style of play, as evidenced by their average of 2.5 goals per game. However, their defense can be inconsistent, conceding around 1.5 goals on average per match. In their most recent head-to-head encounter, they claimed a 2-1 victory.
Match Results: Racing Montevideo

Cerro Team Overview
The visiting team recently played their last official match in the Primera tournament, where Cerro hosted Boston River. The game ended in a 1-1 draw.
Here's a breakdown of the match statistics (Cerro vs Boston River):
- possession: 38% vs 62%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 6;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
Cerro currently sit in 14th place and are going through a tough spell: winless in their last five matches, with two consecutive draws following three defeats. Their attack is struggling, averaging only 0.33 goals per game, which makes it significantly harder to climb the table. Defensively, they fare slightly better, conceding around 1.67 goals per game.
Match Results: Cerro
Prediction for the 1st half
First Half Statistics: Racing Montevideo (Home) vs Cerro (Away)
- Number of matches played in the tournament: 2 vs 1;
- Number of wins: 1 (50%) vs 0 (0%);
- Number of losses: 1 (50%) vs 1 (100%);
- Number of draws: 0 (0%) vs 0 (0%);
- Average total goals scored: 2 vs 1;
- Average total goals conceded: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 Matches (Overall):
- Number of wins: 3 vs 2;
- Number of losses: 2 vs 1;
- Number of draws: 5 vs 7;
- Average first half total: 1.3 (scored - 0.7, conceded - 0.6) vs 0.6 (scored - 0.4, conceded - 0.2).
- Cerro have drawn in the 1st half in 6 of last 7 games.
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- home team wins - 15, away team wins - 15, draws - 9.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 2 vs 0;
- win percentage: 50% vs 0%;
- losses: 1 vs 2;
- draws: 1 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 4 vs 3;
- losses: 4 vs 3;
- draws: 2 vs 4.
- Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in 15 of last 16 away games against Racing Montevideo.
- Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
- Cerro won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- the home team scores on average - 1.1, the guests - 1.13;
- average over/under goals in head-to-head matches - 2.23;
- both teams scored: overall - 20; at the home team's field - 8.
- Racing Montevideo have scored under 1.5 goals in 9 of last 10 home games against Cerro.
- Racing Montevideo have scored under 1.5 goals in last 7 home games against Cerro (Primera Division).
Prediction on corners
Racing Montevideo: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6; at home field - 7;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.1; at home field - 4.75.
Cerro: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 2, away - 3;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.6; away - 2.33.
- Racing Montevideo have taken under 5.5 corners in 6 of last 7 games against Cerro.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 39;
- both teams scored all-time - 20 times;
- on the home team’s field - 8 times.
Statistics: Racing Montevideo vs Cerro
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo at home - 1 (50%);
- number of BTTS matches for Cerro away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 4;
- BTTS matches for Racing Montevideo at home - 3 (75%);
- BTTS matches for Cerro away - 2 (67%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (6/31, 19.4%);
- Racing Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 2:4 , 4:0 (1/2, 50%);
- Cerro away most often play: 3:0 (1/1, 100%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.89% (odds 6.5)
2:0 - 9.14% (odds 7.5)
1:0 - 8.6% (odds 5)