Everton vs Bournem. Prediction 8 February 2025

🔊 Which of the EPL clubs will win in the 1/16 finals of the FA Cup? With a slight edge, Bournemouth is considered the favorite. However, Everton is recovering after a change in management. The tournament could be significant for them, and Bournemouth is performing well in the league, competing for a spot in European competitions. Therefore, we will consider different options to make the prediction optimal. Note that the match will take place in Liverpool at Goodison Park Stadium.

📊 Head-to-head

In the span of 19 head-to-head matches, Bournemouth holds the advantage with a 50 percent win rate. This season, the opponents have already met twice. In August, the "Cherries" were stronger away (3:2), and a month ago they narrowly defeated the "Toffees" at Vitality Stadium (1:0). In both cases, all goals came in the second half. Speaking of Everton, they have scored after the break in 7 of their last 8 home head-to-head matches. Therefore, as a potential bet, we note a home goal in the 2nd half.

🔵 Everton

David Moyes returned to Everton in January. The debut match against Aston Villa was unsuccessful (0:1), but the team won the next three matches. For instance, in the last round, they routed Leicester, scoring four unanswered goals. The "Toffees" were leading by two goals as early as the sixth minute. Everton made no significant acquisitions in January. Only Carlos Alcaraz was loaned from Flamengo. The Argentine previously played for Southampton and Juventus, but his career in Italy did not flourish. Nevertheless, the midfielder is only 22 years old. He should be useful for Everton, especially since Mangala and McNeil are injured. Three forwards are in the infirmary - Calvert-Lewin, Broja, and Chermiti. However, this has not been a problem as Beto and Ndiaye are managing their tasks. Coleman is also on the injured list and personally remembers Moyes' previous stint at Everton.

🍒 Bournemouth

Bournemouth is one of the revelations of the EPL. They are in seventh place but trail Manchester City and Newcastle by just one point. They routed Newcastle at St James' Park three weeks ago (4:1). In that match, Justin Kluivert scored a hat-trick for the visitors. In the next game against Nottingham Forest, he recorded a goal and an assist. Moreover, Bournemouth crushed an opponent from the top-4 of the standings, scoring five unanswered goals. This time, Dango Ouattara scored a hat-trick. However, in the last round, none of the forwards managed to score against Liverpool (0:2). The club did not make any major acquisitions in January. They signed Matai Akinmboni and Julio Soler. The former has yet to debut for Bournemouth, while the latter played only in the previous round of the FA Cup, where the team routed West Bromwich (5:1). Note that the "Cherries" are showing excellent results despite having many injured players. Eight players are unavailable for the upcoming match due to medical reasons, and Julio Soler is with Argentina's U20 national team.

⚽️ Goal Prediction

It seems that the second half should be intense in the upcoming match. We've already noted the likelihood of an Everton goal during this period. It turns out that Bournemouth scores in the second 45 minutes in eight consecutive away matches. Moreover, all their goals in this season's head-to-head meetings occurred after the break. Therefore, it is highly likely that Bournemouth will score in the 2nd half.

🚩 Corner Prediction

Bournemouth has an advantage in corners this season - 6 against 4.5. On average, there are 11.3 corners in matches involving them. The same number of corner kicks occurs in Everton's games under Moyes. In two head-to-head meetings this season, both opponents had 12 corners each. Therefore, a bet on total corners over 9.5 seems justified.

📝 Match Prediction

Bournemouth is favored for the upcoming match. They are performing well in the league and will likely approach the FA Cup with the same responsibility, especially since they essentially played with their main squad in the last round. Everton is also in good form after three consecutive wins. In two head-to-head meetings this season, Bournemouth secured victories towards the end of matches. This time, regular time might not be enough. Therefore, we note a potential exact score of 1:1.

Under Moyes, Everton has been scoring regularly. Bournemouth also performs well in attack. The hat-tricks by Kluivert and Ouattara in January are testament to that. Therefore, as a key bet, we choose - both teams to score (Yes). Moreover, Bournemouth scores and concedes in 7 of their last 8 away matches.