Sturm vs Salzburg Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 8 November 2026
🔉 RB Salzburg go into the match on an impressive attacking run, having scored more than 1.5 goals in five consecutive games. Despite playing at home, Sturm Graz have been inconsistent in their last five matches, with one win, two draws and two defeats. Both teams remain motivated by their league positions: the hosts are holding on to a Champions League place, while the visitors continue their pursuit of top spot in the Bundesliga. The match promises to be a keenly contested one, given the visitors’ attacking potential and the hosts’ desire to hold on to their position.
Red Bull Salzburg struggle away from home
Red Bull Salzburg beat Sturm Graz 3:0 in the Bundesliga on 20 September 2026, scoring all their goals after the break. Despite the shots being almost level at 15:14, Sturm Graz had more dangerous attacks than their opponents (73:26), but trailed in shots on target (2:7) and finished the match with fewer players.
📊 In 62 official meetings, Red Bull Salzburg have won almost twice as often as Sturm Graz - 31 times to 16, with another 15 matches ending in draws. The goal difference also favours Red Bull Salzburg - 109:75. In recent years, Sturm Graz have performed well at home. They have not lost in four consecutive matches.
Head-to-head statistics Sturm - Salzburg
Winless in four matches
Sturm Graz lost 3-2 at home to Celje in their last Europa League match on 5 November 2026, despite having 30 shots to eight and an xG advantage of 3.65 to 1.2. Both teams had seven shots on target.
Sturm Graz are in the Champions League places and are looking to retain their position among the leaders. In their last five matches, they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice. Over their last ten games, Sturm Graz have recorded just three wins, four defeats and three draws. They score an average of 1.6 goals per game and concede the same number, indicating a balance between attack and defence, but their inconsistent results make it difficult to expect them to dominate with confidence, even at home.
Match Results: Sturm
Will the Europa League defeat have an impact?
Away to Anderlecht in their last Europa League match on 5 November 2026, RB Salzburg had more possession (56%) and launched more attacks (95:77), but lost 0:2. Anderlecht had more shots on target, 7:3.
Red Bull Salzburg are in strong form, with six wins and only two defeats in their last ten matches. They have scored an average of 2 goals per game over that period, while their season average is even higher at 2.64 goals. In their last five matches, the visitors have recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, maintaining their high scoring rate. Their objective of challenging for the title keeps motivation high and drives the team to play aggressively in attack.
Match Results: RB Salzburg
Prediction for the 1st half
Sturm Graz have conceded in the first half in four consecutive home Bundesliga matches. That run is directly relevant to the selected bet, although four matches are not enough for a more confident assessment. The input data do not include separate first-half goals averages. We pick Red Bull Salzburg First-Half Team Total Goals - Over 0.5 at odds of 1.61*.
Total Goals Prediction
There have been fewer than 4.5 goals in 23 of Sturm Graz’s last 25 home matches. In their last ten home matches, Sturm have scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.2, while Salzburg’s away averages are 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. At the same time, Salzburg’s last six matches have all had over 2.5 goals, so a high-scoring match remains possible. Given the higher line selected, we’re backing Total Goals - Under 4.5 at odds of 1.30*.
Corners Prediction
RB Salzburg have taken more than 4.5 corners in six of their last seven away Bundesliga matches. They have also stayed under 7.5 corners in eight consecutive matches: these runs do not contradict each other, but they concern closely related figures for the same team. No average corner figures are available in the input data, so the reasoning is limited to these runs of matches. We pick RB Salzburg Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at odds of 1.63*.
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Sturm Graz have scored in 16 of their last 17 home Bundesliga matches, while Red Bull Salzburg have scored in 22 of their last 24 matches. Over their last ten home matches, Sturm have averaged 2.2 goals, compared with Salzburg’s 1.5 in their last ten away matches. A factor against the bet is that Salzburg have conceded an average of 0.6 goals per away match this season. Nevertheless, we pick Both Teams to Score - Yes at odds of 1.38*.
High-Risk Bet
Sturm Graz have scored in the second half in eight consecutive home Bundesliga matches. Red Bull Salzburg have scored after the break in 11 of their last 12 Bundesliga matches. Both trends relate specifically to the second half, although the bet requires both teams to score in that same period. We pick Both Teams to Score in the Second Half - Yes at odds of 2.31*.
Safer Bet
In 21 of RB Salzburg’s last 22 Bundesliga matches, there were fewer than 5.5 goals. Sturm Graz’s home record offers further support for this line: 23 of their 25 home matches had fewer than 4.5 goals. The bet still allows for a high-scoring match, but requires the teams to score fewer than six goals combined. We pick Total Goals - Under 5.5 at odds of 1.10*.
Correct Score Prediction
According to the algorithm’s calculations, the following scorelines made the top three: 1:1 (10.24%), 1:2 (9.49%) and 0:1 (8.13%). Of the three, 1:1 has the highest probability.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.*
⭐ Editor's Pick
Red Bull Salzburg's strong attacking run is backed not only by their season statistics but also by their recent form: they have consistently scored at least two goals. Even away from home, the visitors maintain a high tempo and take their chances, while Sturm Graz's defence has not been reliable, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game over their last ten matches. The visitors' motivation in the standings also encourages open attacking play. The main prediction is Red Bull Salzburg Team Total Goals - Over 1.5.
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Betting Tips: Sturm - RB Salzburg
in 21 of last 23 games (Bundesliga).in last 14 home games (Bundesliga).in 7 of last 8 home games.
in 20 of last 21 games.in 11 of last 12 away games.in last 10 games (Bundesliga).in last 5 away games (Bundesliga).in 23 of last 25 Sturm home games.in 16 of last 17 Sturm home games (Bundesliga).in last 11 RB Salzburg away games (Bundesliga).in 10 of last 11 RB Salzburg away games.
in last 4 home games (Bundesliga).in last 5 games.Comparison of Teams Stats
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