Salzburg vs Sturm Prediction 3 May 2026
In the clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Sturm Graz, we are set for a showdown between two of the league's top teams. Both opponents sit at the top of the table, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the encounter. Red Bull Salzburg, playing at home, have shown inconsistent form with a mix of wins and losses in their last 5 matches. Meanwhile, Sturm display remarkable resilience - an unbeaten streak of 10 matches highlights the visitors' serious ambitions.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 20 March 2026 and ended with a scoreline of 1:1. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Sturm Graz):
- ball possession percentage: 47% vs 53%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 1;
- fouls: 10 vs 9;
- yellow cards: 3 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 1.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams RB Salzburg and Sturm Graz:
- played 60 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 30, for the away team - 16, draws - 14;
- number of goals - 105 against 74;
- average total in the 1st half - 1.2, in the 2nd half - 1.78;
- average total goals in the match - 2.98.
Head-to-head statistics Salzburg - Sturm
RB Salzburg Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Bundesliga tournament (home team - Rapid Wien, away team - RB Salzburg). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:0.
Here's the game statistics (RB Salzburg vs Rapid Wien):
- ball possession: 43% vs 57%;
- corner kicks: 6 vs 5;
- fouls: 15 vs 6;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 1 vs 2.
Red Bull Salzburg currently sit in 2nd place in the standings, but their form raises some concerns. In their last five matches, the hosts have secured 2 wins while suffering 3 losses. The team has the ability to score goals, yet their defense is lacking, conceding an average of 1.21 goals per game. However, in home fixtures, they often deliver strong performances and have the potential to surprise their opponents.
Match Results: RB Salzburg
Sturm Graz Team Overview
The away team played their last official match on as part of the Bundesliga tournament (home team - Sturm Graz, away - Austria Wien). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:1.
Here are the match stats (Sturm Graz vs Austria Wien):
- ball possession: 61% vs 39%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 3;
- fouls: 12 vs 17;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 5 vs 3.
Sturm Graz are leading the league thanks to their consistency and solid defense, conceding just 0.8 goals per game over the last 10 matches. Their form is impressive: with 4 wins and 6 draws in their last 10 outings, they are a tough opponent for any club in the league. It's also worth noting their ability to pick up points even against strong teams, owing to their disciplined play and quality attack.
Match Results: Sturm Graz
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- home team wins - 30, away team wins - 16, draws - 14.
- Sturm Graz won with a +1.5 handicap in 13 of last 14 away games (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz won with a +1.5 handicap in last 12 games (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz won with a +1.5 handicap in last 5 away games.
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.75, the guests - 1.23;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.98;
- both teams scored: overall - 39; at the home team's field - 19.
Statistics: RB Salzburg vs Sturm Graz
- average total in the tournament: 3.03 vs 2.62;
- average total goals scored: 1.83 vs 1.52;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.97 vs 0.66;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 0.86;
- RB Salzburg: average total at home in the tournament - 1.93;
- Sturm Graz: average total away in the tournament - 2.07;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.1 (home - 1) vs 1.6 (away - 2.5).
- RB Salzburg have conceded in 12 of last 13 games (Bundesliga).
- RB Salzburg have conceded in 11 of last 12 home games (Bundesliga).
- RB Salzburg have conceded in last 9 games.
- RB Salzburg have conceded in 8 of last 9 home games.
- Sturm Graz have scored in 16 of last 17 away games (Bundesliga).
- Sturm Graz have scored in 9 of last 10 games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on corners
RB Salzburg: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.07; at home field - 5.21;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5; at home field - 6.
Sturm Graz: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.28, away - 5;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.8; away - 4.75.
- Under 9.5 corners in 7 of last 8 RB Salzburg games (Bundesliga).
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 60;
- both teams scored all-time - 39 times;
- on the home team’s field - 19 times.
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (22/174, 12.6%);
- RB Salzburg at home most often finish matches: 0:2 , 2:1 , 2:2 , 2:3 (2/14, 14.3%);
- Sturm Graz away most often play: 0:2 (4/14, 28.6%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 10.81% (odds 6.8)
2:1 - 9.49% (odds 7.2)
1:0 - 8.3% (odds 8.4)
- Sturm Graz drew 1:1 in last 3 games (Bundesliga).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Considering the trends of the current season, particularly the fact that Red Bull Salzburg rarely scores more than 2.5 goals at home (in 6 of their last 7 matches), a reasonable prediction would be to bet on the home team's individual total under 2.5 goals. Sturm's solid performance should enable them to control the tempo and limit their opponent's attacks.No comments
Betting Tips: RB Salzburg - Sturm Graz
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Comparison of Teams Stats
Other predictions
