Osasuna vs Athletic Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 7 November 2026
๐ Another battle between Pamplona and Bilbao is brewing at El Sadar. Osasuna are trying to climb out of the bottom half of the table following Jagoba Arrasateโs return, while Athletic Bilbao have picked up momentum and are once again eyeing the European places. Four points separate the sides, although the Pamplona side have performed better at home than away. Away trips, meanwhile, remain a weak spot for the visitors. The upcoming derby will test how far each club have come in addressing their problems.
Athletic Bilbao hold on to their lead
๐ In 24 head-to-head matches, Athletic Bilbao have recorded 11 wins, Osasuna have won six times, and another seven matches have ended in draws. The visitors retain the historical edge, although these figures alone are not enough to call them a difficult opponent for Osasuna.
In recent La Liga head-to-head matches, the teams have rarely been involved in high-scoring games. Eight of the previous nine meetings have featured no more than three goals.
Head-to-head statistics Osasuna - Athletic

Osasuna: A Team of Two Halves
Osasuna are 15th after 11 rounds with 11 points. Three wins, two draws and six defeats make for an unpleasant record for a club that was challenging for a place in the top half of the table not long ago. Away matches have been the biggest problem. The team concede plenty outside Pamplona, while they look more assured at El Sadar, where they have taken eight points from five matches.
Jagoba Arrasateโs appointment has not yet solved all their problems. After a 2-0 home win over Racing, Osasuna lost twice in the league. Their latest defeat, 2-1 to Deportivo, was particularly frustrating: the Pamplona side opened the scoring but then surrendered the initiative and allowed their opponents to turn the game around. Against Athletic Bilbao, recovering from such a setback will be even harder.
Match Results: Osasuna

Athletic Bilbao: The attack finally clicks
Athletic Bilbao are gradually getting back into contention for the top places. After 10 matches, the Basque side sit seventh with 15 points. Four wins, three draws and three defeats are a decent return given their personnel problems and uneven start to the season. In the last two rounds, Edin Terziฤโs team have scored six goals, thrashing Getafe (4-0) and beating Real Sociedad (2-1). For a club that, until recently, struggled to manage even one shot on target, the progress is clear.
Terziฤ has received an important sign from his attack, but their work at set pieces is even more interesting. Against Getafe, 3 of their 4 goals came from set pieces. In the match against Real Sociedad, the win was largely down to Unai Simรณn, who saved the hosts several times. Athletic Bilbao are dangerous in attack again, although their defence still needs help from their goalkeeper.
Match Results: Athletic Bilbao
Latest news
Osasuna
โ Aimar Oroz, Jorge Herrando and Romain Del Castillo are receiving treatment.
Athletic Bilbao
๐ Gorka Guruzeta and Unai Eguiluz are sidelined through injury. Maroan Sannadi and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta have resumed training, but their participation in the match has not been confirmed.
Total Goals Prediction
Osasuna have conceded 22 goals in 11 rounds - an average of 2 per game. Away matches have contributed significantly to that figure. At home, the Pamplona side play more cautiously and give opponents fewer chances to create dangerous opportunities. But Arrasate's new team have yet to learn to play with the same defensive reliability throughout all 90 minutes. At least two goals have been scored in each of Osasuna's last eight La Liga matches.
Athletic Bilbao are gradually improving in attack. Six goals in the previous two rounds show that Terziฤ's attacking changes have started to work. The Pamplona side will almost certainly try to apply pressure from the opening minutes, especially as they have scored in 20 of their last 22 home league matches. If the teams exchange early blows, the match could become less cautious than usual. Bet: Total Goals - Over 2.5 at 2.12*.
Corners Prediction
This season, the Basques have averaged around 6 corners per match. They have taken at least 5 corners in all five of their away league matches. At home, Osasuna allow opponents an average of 3.8 corners, but Athletic Bilbao are capable of exceeding that figure. Terzicโs team make good use of the flanks and the Williams brothersโ pace, and regularly put the ball back into the box after unsuccessful crosses. Therefore, our pick is: Athletic Bilbao Team Total Corners - Over 4.5 at 1.53*.
Yellow Cards Prediction
Osasuna have received 30 yellow cards in 11 rounds - an average of 2.73 bookings per game. Athletic Bilbao's figure is lower - 19 cards in 10 matches, or 1.9 on average. The hosts also lead in fouls committed. They commit almost 14 fouls per match on average, while the visitors commit around 11-12.
Matches in Pamplona rarely pass without a physical battle. Osasuna will have to contain quick attacks down the flanks, while the absence of some first-team players limits their options for changes. Many fouls could occur in midfield, where the hosts will try to break up attacks before their opponents reach the penalty area. Weโre backing Osasuna to receive more yellow cards than Athletic Bilbao.
*The odds are approximate and may vary between bookmakers.
โญ๏ธ Editorโs Prediction
Athletic look stronger on current form and attacking quality, but the trip to Pamplona will not be easy. Osasuna concede less often at home than away, and Arrasateโs return has given the team more energy. The hosts will surely make life difficult for the Basques through pressing and battles in midfield. However, they have not yet been able to maintain a high tempo throughout a match.
Athletic have shown they can punish mistakes at set pieces and exploit space. Osasuna will create chances of their own thanks to their attacking play at home and Ante Budimir, but taking points off the in-form visitors will not be easy. The Basques are more likely to win, although they are unlikely to keep a clean sheet against the motivated hosts. Predicted exact score: 1-2. Main bet: Both Teams to Score - Yes.
