Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Prediction 5 April 2026
🔊 The match between Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe promises to be intriguing. Deportes Tolima are in excellent form, having won their last five home games. Their defense is also noteworthy, as they rarely concede goals at home. On the other hand, Santa Fe are unpredictable on the road: they score, but they also often concede. The teams sit at opposite ends of the standings-Tolima are fighting for the top spot, while Santa Fe are looking to improve their position.
Head-to-Head
The last official encounter between the teams took place on 29 November 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 1:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team - Tolima):
- ball possession percentage: 54% vs 46%;
- corner kicks: 4 vs 4;
- fouls: 12 vs 14;
- yellow cards: 6 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 4.
📊Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Tolima and Independiente Santa Fe:
- played 44 matches;
- number of wins for the home team - 14, for the away team - 17, draws - 13;
- number of goals - 41 against 46;
- average total in the 1st half - 0.82, in the 2nd half - 1.16;
- average total goals in the match - 1.98.
Head-to-head statistics Deportes Tolima - Santa Fe
Tolima Team Overview
The team's most recent official match took place on in the Primera A, featuring Deportes Tolima as the home side against Rionegro Águilas. The match concluded with a 4-1 victory.
Here are the game statistics (Deportes Tolima vs Rionegro Águilas):
- possession: 68% vs 32%;
- corners: 2 vs 3;
- fouls: 8 vs 15;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 2;
- shots on target: 8 vs 1.
Deportes Tolima are showcasing an impressive home form, having won their last five games on their turf. In their past ten matches, the team have secured six victories and suffered only two defeats. They boast an average of 1.6 goals scored per game while maintaining a low concession rate of 0.9. Currently sitting third in the league standings, they aim to solidify their position among the league leaders with a reliable defense and efficient attack.
Match Results: Tolima
Independiente Santa Fe Team Overview
The visitors played their last official match on in the Primera A, where they faced Santa Fe away. The game concluded with a 0-1 scoreline.
Here are the match statistics (Santa Fe vs Llaneros):
- possession: 69% vs 31%;
- corners: 12 vs 4;
- fouls: 13 vs 10;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 5;
- shots on target: 3 vs 4.
Santa Fe are currently positioned thirteenth in the standings and are striving to climb higher. Their last ten matches have been a mixed bag, with three wins, four losses, and three draws. Offensively, they have been average, scoring 1.1 goals per game, while defensively, they have been vulnerable, conceding 1.3 goals per match. On the road, they manage to find ways to challenge opponents' defenses, but consistency remains an issue for the team.
Match Results: Independiente Santa Fe
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- home team wins - 14, away team wins - 17, draws - 13.
Statistics: Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe
- matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- wins: 7 vs 4;
- win percentage: 50% vs 29%;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 5 vs 6.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 3;
- losses: 2 vs 4;
- draws: 2 vs 3.
- Tolima have won in last 5 home games (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 0.93, the guests - 1.05;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 1.98;
- both teams scored: overall - 18; at the home team's field - 6.
Statistics: Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe
- average total in the tournament: 2.36 vs 2.36;
- average total goals scored: 1.57 vs 1.14;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.71 vs 0.43;
- average total in the 2nd half: 0.86 vs 0.71;
- Tolima: average total at home in the tournament - 2;
- Independiente Santa Fe: average total away in the tournament - 1;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.6 (home - 2) vs 1.1 (away - 1).
- Under 2.5 goals scored in 8 of last 9 Tolima home games against Independiente Santa Fe (Liga Aguila).
Prediction on corners
Tolima: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.79; at home field - 4.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 4.9; at home field - 3.67.
Independiente Santa Fe: Statistics
- season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 6, away - 5.71;
- last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.7; away - 5.2.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 44;
- both teams scored all-time - 18 times;
- on the home team’s field - 6 times.
Statistics: Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe
- number of matches played in the tournament: 14 vs 14;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 7 vs 11;
- number of BTTS matches for Tolima at home - 3 (43%);
- number of BTTS matches for Independiente Santa Fe away - 5 (71%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 8;
- BTTS matches for Tolima at home - 2 (33%);
- BTTS matches for Independiente Santa Fe away - 4 (80%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 1:1 (25/143, 17.5%);
- Tolima at home most often finish matches: 2:0 (2/7, 28.6%);
- Independiente Santa Fe away most often play: 1:1 (3/7, 42.9%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:1 - 12.63% (odds 6)
1:0 - 12.4% (odds 5.5)
0:0 - 11.01% (odds 6)
⭐ Editorial Prediction
Based on the current form of the teams and their head-to-head statistics, Deportes Tolima appear to be the favorites in this matchup. Their streak of home victories underscores a trend of success at their own ground. Additionally, the trend suggests that the visitors might not score in this match due to the hosts' strong defense-a prediction supported by past head-to-head encounters. The editorial choice is a Deportes Tolima victory.
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Betting Tips: Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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