Penarol vs Danubio Prediction 7 March 2026
📢 The upcoming match between Peñarol and Danubio promises to be a dynamic encounter. Peñarol, solidly holding third place in the standings, are in strong form at home. They have secured four wins in their last five matches, showcasing impressive scoring ability. Meanwhile, Danubio sit mid-table and have displayed more inconsistent results, with only two victories from their last five outings. Both teams will be eager for success. Read the prediction for their clash below.
Head-to-Head
The last official match between the teams ended with a 2-0 scoreline. Here is the comparative statistics from that encounter (home team - Peñarol):
- possession: 50% vs 50%;
- corners: 5 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 2 vs 3.
📊Statistical preview of official encounters between Peñarol and Danubio:
- 37 matches played;
- home victories - 23, away wins - 9, draws - 5;
- goals scored - 55 against 29;
- average goals in the first half - 0.92, second half - 1.35;
- average total goals per match - 2.27.
Head-to-head statistics Penarol - Danubio
Penarol Montevideo Team Overview
The team's last official match took place in the Primera tournament, with Nacional Montevideo as the hosts and Peñarol as the visitors. The match concluded with a score of 0-1.
Here's the game statistics (Peñarol vs Nacional Montevideo):
- possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
- corner kicks: 2 vs 3;
- yellow cards: 4 vs 3;
- shots on target: 3 vs 2.
Peñarol are one of the league's strongest teams at home, having won 16 of their last 17 home matches in the Primera Division. This season, they average 1.75 goals per game while conceding just one goal per match. These stats highlight their solid defense and efficient attack, as evidenced by their last five games (four wins). With such performances, Peñarol have every chance to extend their successful run.
Match Results: Penarol Montevideo
Danubio Team Overview
The visiting team played their last official match in the Primera tournament, with Danubio as the hosts and Progreso as the visitors. The match ended in a 2-2 draw.
Here are the game statistics (Danubio vs Progreso):
- possession percentage: 60% vs 40%;
- corner kicks: 9 vs 2;
- yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
- shots on target: 7 vs 3.
Danubio sit ninth in the table and struggle with consistency, having secured just two wins in their last five matches, highlighting their fluctuating form. They score less than a goal per game (0.9) and face defensive challenges, conceding 1.5 goals per match. However, their knack for securing draws makes them an unpredictable opponent for any team.
Match Results: Danubio
Prediction on the outcome
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- home team wins - 23, away team wins - 9, draws - 5.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Danubio
- matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- wins: 3 vs 2;
- win percentage: 75% vs 50%;
- losses: 1 vs 1;
- draws: 0 vs 1.
Last 10 matches:
- wins: 6 vs 4;
- losses: 3 vs 3;
- draws: 1 vs 3.
- Danubio won with a +1.5 handicap in 9 of last 10 games.
- Danubio won with a +1.5 handicap in 8 of last 9 games (Primera Division).
Prediction on the over/under
H2H
- today's home team scores on average - 1.49, the guests - 0.78;
- average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 2.27;
- both teams scored: overall - 16; at the home team's field - 9.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Danubio
- average total in the tournament: 2.75 vs 2.75;
- average total goals scored: 1.75 vs 1.25;
- average total in the 1st half: 0.75 vs 0.25;
- average total in the 2nd half: 1 vs 1;
- Penarol Montevideo: average total at home in the tournament - 2.5;
- Danubio: average total away in the tournament - 0.5;
- last 10 matches (average total): 1.2 (home - 1.43) vs 0.9 (away - 0.6).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in last 6 Penarol Montevideo home games against Danubio (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 12 of last 14 Penarol Montevideo games (Primera Division).
- Over 1.5 goals scored in 6 of last 7 Penarol Montevideo home games.
Prediction on BTTS
H2H:
- number of encounters - 37;
- both teams scored all-time - 16 times;
- on the home team’s field - 9 times.
Statistics: Penarol Montevideo vs Danubio
- number of matches played in the tournament: 4 vs 4;
- number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 3 vs 1;
- number of BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 2 (100%);
- number of BTTS matches for Danubio away - 0 (0%).
Last 10 matches:
- number of BTTS matches: 5 vs 2;
- BTTS matches for Penarol Montevideo at home - 4 (57%);
- BTTS matches for Danubio away - 1 (20%).
Correct score prediction
Statistics of frequent results (current season):
- most common score in the tournament: 0:1 (6/31, 19.4%);
- Penarol Montevideo at home most often finish matches: 2:1 , 3:1 (1/2, 50%);
- Danubio away most often play: 0:1 , 4:0 (1/2, 50%).
Based on statistics and probability distribution, the algorithm predicts the top 3 outcomes:
1:0 - 13.51% (odds 5)
1:1 - 11.62% (odds 6.2)
2:0 - 11.18% (odds 6.3)
- Penarol Montevideo won 2:0 in last 3 home games against Danubio (Primera Division).
⭐ Editorial Prediction
At their home ground, Peñarol traditionally showcase a powerful attacking style, aiming to overwhelm their opponents with intense pressure from the first whistle. The current form of the home side's attacking leaders and their high efficiency in the final third suggest they are likely to deliver a strong performance upfront. Danubio's defense often falters in away matches against favorites, struggling to withstand relentless pressure and making critical errors in the penalty area. Considering this, the hosts scoring over 1.5 goals seems a reasonable outcome. A 2-0 scoreline is possible.
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Betting Tips: Penarol Montevideo - Danubio
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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