Heidenheim vs Freiburg Prediction
🔊 Can Heidenheim build on their success at the Voith-Arena? Frank Schmidt's side pulled off a surprising comeback in the capital last round and are now set to host Freiburg, who have been showcasing strong offensive prowess and solid defensive play. However, Julian Schuster's team has only managed one win in six Bundesliga away matches, and that victory came back in the fourth round. Let's assess the current form of both teams to make an insightful prediction for the upcoming match.
Head-to-Head
📊 In their last four Bundesliga head-to-head encounters, Heidenheim have claimed one victory, while Freiburg have secured two. During the 23/24 season, the "red-blue-whites" won 3-2 at home and drew 1-1 away. However, in the 24/25 season, they suffered a 0-3 defeat at the Voith-Arena and a 0-1 loss at the Europa-Park Stadion.
H2H Stats Matches and Previous Teams Results
Heidenheim Team Overview
🔴 Frank Schmidt's squad, sitting at the bottom of the league, traveled to the capital in the last round to face Union Berlin. The Berliners took the lead just before halftime, but the visitors saved their best for the closing moments of the second half. In the 90th minute, Stefan Schimmer leveled the score following a cross from Omar Traore, and in the fifth minute of added time, Jan Schöppner, assisted by Arijon Ibrahimovic's delivery, secured a second league victory for the "Red-Blue-Whites" (2-1), lifting them off the bottom spot. Schmidt's team now sits in 16th place with 8 points. A home win could help Heidenheim escape the relegation zone.
🔵 However, the club has the worst goal difference in the league at minus 17. With just 10 goals scored, they share the least productive offense in the league with St. Pauli. They have conceded 27 goals, tied for the most with Augsburg. Besides having home advantage, Heidenheim also benefits from more preparation time: Schmidt's team was knocked out of the German Cup in the previous round and did not play a midweek fixture.
Match Results: Heidenheim
Freiburg Team Overview
⚪ Freiburg have climbed to eighth place in the table after defeating Mainz, who played with ten men from the middle of the first half, in the final match of the 12th round (4-0). Goals came from Lukas Kübler, Vincenzo Grifo, Johan Manzambi, and Patrick Osterhage. The "Brazilians of Breisgau" now have 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses after 12 rounds. Even with a victory in Heidenheim, they won't climb higher as they trail seventh-placed Eintracht by five points, but they will solidify their place in the top eight; a loss could drop Freiburg to 12th place.
🏆 Schuster's team also defeated Darmstadt in the DFB-Pokal Round of 16 (2-0), with goals from Vincenzo Grifo and Lucas Höler securing their spot in the quarter-finals. This season, Freiburg have won only one of their six away games in the Bundesliga (4-0 in Bremen), collecting just 5 out of a possible 18 points on the road. However, heading into the upcoming match, the "Brazilians of Breisgau" boast an impressive clean sheet record, having not conceded in their last three matches.
Match Results: Freiburg
Latest news
Heidenheim
🎙 Frank Schmidt after the victory in the capital: "It has never been as crucial as it was today, given our current situation. We played quite well in the first fifteen minutes. The game was balanced, and we probably had the first good chance: Marvin Pieringer made a long pass to Mathias Honsak, and the ball hit the crossbar. Of course, we wanted to take the lead. Conceding a goal before the break was really disappointing. But I think we gave it our all and showed the composure that we've been lacking lately. The team made a step forward. In the end, the game was evenly matched. In my view, a point would have been a fair result for both teams, but we finally got lucky: we attacked again in stoppage time, earned a corner, and it was time to capitalize on a set piece to take all three points."
❌ The "red-blue-whites" will be missing Budu Zivzivadze, Sirlord Conteh, Frank Feller, Mikkel Kaufmann, and Leart Paqarada from their lineup.
Freiburg
🎙 Julian Schuster after the victory over Darmstadt: "I'm pleased we've progressed to the next round. It's valuable to gain experience playing against teams that defend deep, and we maintained patience in possession. I want to commend Darmstadt; they really made us work hard today."
🔝 Vincenzo Grifo netted his 69th Bundesliga goal for the club, now sharing the top spot with Nils Petersen. "I'll definitely message him today to let him know," Grifo said with a smile. Overall, he has scored 102 goals for the "Brazilians of Breisgau" and is close to surpassing Petersen (105) on the club's all-time top scorers list.
❌ Daniel-Kofi Kyereh, Cyriaque Irie, Eren Dinkci, and Jean-Victor Makengo will not be traveling with the team.
🟨 Referee and Yellow Cards
The main referee for the match is Florian Exner. Known for his strictness, he averages 6.8 yellow cards per game over his last ten matches. However, Heidenheim and Freiburg are among the league's most disciplined teams. The hosts have received 19 warnings over 12 rounds (1.6 per game), while the visitors have 18 (1.5). We recommend betting on Heidenheim's individual total of fewer than 2.5 yellow cards-this bet has been successful in the last ten Bundesliga matches for the "red-blue-whites".
⚽ Goal Prediction
Considering the hosts' struggles with finishing and the visitors' recent performances, we suggest betting on Heidenheim's individual total of fewer than 1.5 goals-this bet has hit in five of the last six matches for the "red-blue-whites". Additionally, in their last three head-to-head games with Freiburg, Heidenheim has scored only once.
🚩 Corner Prediction
Both teams average the same number of corners after 12 rounds-4.6 per game. Our pick: Freiburg's individual total of fewer than 5.5 corners. This bet has been successful in 12 of Julian Schuster's team's last 13 away matches.
Editorial Prediction
For Heidenheim, home games are crucial, with their away success in Berlin being more of an exception. Schmidt's team is expected to earn most of their points on home turf. The hosts had more preparation time, yet bookmakers still don't favor them, primarily due to their struggles in creating and converting chances.
Freiburg have shown confidence in away fixtures in the Europa League and the German Cup, but have only one away win in the league. However, they have demonstrated solid defense in their last three matches. With players involved in three competitions, fitness remains a concern, suggesting a low-scoring affair here. Our pick is under 3 goals, allowing for a possible 1-1 draw or a hard-fought 1-0 victory for Freiburg.
Betting Tips: Heidenheim - Freiburg
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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