Keflavik vs Valur Prediction 5 September 2026
🔊 This weekend the Icelandic Úrvalsdeild will split into two groups of six, with round 22 marking the end of the first phase. Keflavík have just come up from the first division, yet they sit fifth and are holding their place in the top half on their own merits. Valur have had the opposite kind of summer: a sacked manager, a squad sold off, and a fight to stay in that same top six. In June at Hliðarendi the two sides drew 1-1. The match takes place on 5 September at the HS Orka stadium.
Head-to-Head
Over the course of their official meetings, Keflavík and Valur Reykjavík have played each other 33 times. The hosts have won 8, the visitors 15, with 10 draws. The goal tally stands at 42 for Keflavík and 55 for Valur.
Head-to-head statistics Keflavik - Valur
Keflavik Team Overview
Keflavík won promotion back to the top flight through the play-offs after two years in the first division. Their previous stint in the top tier ended badly: relegation in 2023 and a run of 19 matches without a win, the worst such sequence that season. Things look different now - Harald Freyr Guðmundsson's side have 28 points from 21 rounds and sit fifth. In August they won back-to-back matches for the first time all summer, winning away in Akureyri with a brace from Eiður Orri Ragnarsson and then beating ÍBV at home. Keflavík have scored in 19 of their last 20 home matches. However, they lost their most recent outing, going down 1-2 to FH away from home.
Match Results: Keflavik
Valur Reykjavik Team Overview
Valur finished last season in second place and earned a spot in the Conference League. Things have gone downhill since then. Hermannur Hreiðarsson, who signed a three-year contract in November, was sacked on 29 June - by which point Valur had 19 points from 13 rounds. His former assistant Chris Brazell is seeing out the season, with Halldór Árnason taking over from 1 November. This week, the Tufegdžić brothers left for Malmö. In the last round, Valur were leading at home against IA but failed to hold on for the win. Away from home, they have conceded in 24 of their last 25 matches.
Match Results: Valur Reykjavik
Correct Score Prediction
The algorithm's calculations highlight three most likely outcomes: 1-1 (8.99%), 2-1 (8.15%) and 1-2 (7.45%). The 1-1 draw has a slightly higher probability than the other two, though the gap between the top three results is small, which points to a potentially close contest.
⭐ Editor's Prediction
Keflavík are hard to beat at home: they have gone unbeaten in 7 of their last 8 league matches on home soil. Valur, meanwhile, have not managed three points in a long time - winning just one of their last eight matches. In head-to-head meetings, the two sides have failed to produce a winner in four consecutive games. For both teams right now, avoiding defeat matters more than taking risks. The pick is a draw. Predicted score: 1-1.
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Betting Tips: Keflavik - Valur Reykjavik
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