Inter vs Napoli Prediction, H2H Stats & Statistical Bets 5 September 2026

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Key points

    📢 The standout match of the week takes place in Milan, where Inter host Napoli. These two clubs have dominated Serie A in recent years, each winning two Scudetti over the last four seasons. They have started the new campaign differently: the Milanese side are yet to drop a point, while the Neapolitans have already suffered their first defeat. Napoli will be looking to bounce back and avoid a second consecutive setback, but doing that at the Giuseppe Meazza will be far from straightforward.

    🔁 This prediction is updated on match day. Keep an eye on the Latest News section.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 Over recent years, the two sides have met 45 times, with the record almost perfectly balanced. Inter have won 16 of those matches, Napoli 15, and 14 have ended in draws. Last season the advantage went to Napoli: they won comfortably at home 3-1, then took a point from Milan in a 2-2 draw.

    Head-to-head statistics Inter - Napoli

    37%
    17 Wins
    30%
    14 Draws
    33%
    15 Wins
    Total games
    46
    Avg. total goals
    2.59
    Both teams scored
    54%
    1.28
    Average total
    1.3
    Last matches
    05.09.26
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Napoli
    Napoli
    4.19
    2
    10
    5
    7
    5
    1
    2
    3
    2
    0
    0
    3
    2
    4.19
    2
    10
    5
    7
    5
    1
    2
    11.01.26
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Napoli
    Napoli
    1
    1.62
    1.08
    4
    1
    12
    11
    0
    1
    2
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    1.62
    1.08
    4
    1
    12
    11
    0
    1
    25.10.25
    Serie A
    Napoli
    Napoli
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1.37
    1.82
    1
    4
    15
    10
    2
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    1
    1.37
    1.82
    1
    4
    15
    10
    2
    1
    01.03.25
    Serie A
    SSC Napoli
    SSC Napoli
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1.73
    0.45
    12
    3
    7
    15
    0
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.73
    0.45
    12
    3
    7
    15
    0
    0
    10.11.24
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Napoli
    Napoli
    1.53
    0.54
    4
    2
    14
    10
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1.53
    0.54
    4
    2
    14
    10
    1
    0
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    Inter Milano Team Overview

    🔵 Inter, as befits the reigning Italian champions, made a perfect start to the new season - six points from six. They sit second in the table, behind Roma only on goal difference. That said, their opening opponents were fairly modest, so the scoring return could have been even higher.

    ⚫ Last weekend Inter travelled to Cagliari. They started the match brightly and took the lead as early as the ninth minute, but couldn't add to their tally after that. One goal was enough to win, though (1-0). Cristian Chivu's side were utterly dominant in terms of play: 31-10 in shots, 7-0 in shots on target, 6-0 in chances created, and 3.59 versus 0.57 in xG. Only their finishing let them down. Notably, the round before, Inter scored four goals from a fairly modest xG, and here the situation was reversed - they created plenty of chances but converted just one.

    Match Results: Inter Milano

    Last matches
    21.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    1
    Shakhtar Donetsk
    Shakhtar Donetsk
    1
    0.84
    5
    4
    9
    10
    4
    2
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0.84
    5
    4
    9
    10
    4
    2
    W
    17.10.26
    Serie A
    Bologna
    Bologna
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    0.99
    2.82
    2
    7
    8
    11
    4
    3
    1
    3
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0.99
    2.82
    2
    7
    8
    11
    4
    3
    W
    13.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Club Brugge
    Club Brugge
    4.14
    3.57
    4
    4
    6
    13
    2
    4
    3
    4
    1
    1
    2
    3
    4.14
    3.57
    4
    4
    6
    13
    2
    4
    L
    10.10.26
    Serie A
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Parma
    Parma
    2.66
    0.4
    3
    1
    13
    9
    0
    0
    3
    0
    3
    0
    0
    0
    2.66
    0.4
    3
    1
    13
    9
    0
    0
    W
    03.10.26
    Club Friendlies
    Inter Milano
    Inter Milano
    Lumezzane
    Lumezzane
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    0
    W
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    Napoli Team Overview

    🔵 It has been far from an ideal start for the Italian runners-up. Yes, Napoli won away at a solid Genoa side 2-0 in the opening round, but a week later they failed to make home advantage count and were surprisingly beaten by Como (1-2). The defeat was fully deserved: Napoli put in a very poor performance and, even after falling behind, had virtually nothing to offer in attack.

    ⚪ Massimiliano Allegri's side currently sit tenth in the table. After just two rounds it is too early to read too much into league positions, but if Napoli cannot pick up points in Milan either, that will already be a cause for concern. Three points from a possible nine is simply too weak a return for a team with title ambitions.

    Match Results: Napoli

    Last matches
    20.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Napoli
    Napoli
    Bodo/Glimt
    Bodo/Glimt
    1.68
    2.23
    2
    5
    7
    5
    3
    0
    4
    3
    2
    1
    2
    2
    1.68
    2.23
    2
    5
    7
    5
    3
    0
    W
    17.10.26
    Serie A
    Venezia
    Venezia
    Napoli
    Napoli
    0.92
    2.4
    0
    12
    7
    6
    2
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    0
    0.92
    2.4
    0
    12
    7
    6
    2
    0
    L
    13.10.26
    UEFA Champions League
    Villarreal
    Villarreal
    Napoli
    Napoli
    1.49
    2.18
    4
    4
    8
    15
    2
    3
    3
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1.49
    2.18
    4
    4
    8
    15
    2
    3
    L
    10.10.26
    Serie A
    Napoli
    Napoli
    Frosinone Calcio
    Frosinone Calcio
    3.36
    1.04
    6
    4
    8
    12
    2
    0
    3
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    3.36
    1.04
    6
    4
    8
    12
    2
    0
    W
    20.09.26
    Serie A
    Fiorentina
    Fiorentina
    Napoli
    Napoli
    1.5
    1.43
    4
    5
    11
    9
    3
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1.5
    1.43
    4
    5
    11
    9
    3
    0
    D
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    Latest news

    Inter Milano

    ❌ Inter head into the third matchday with one injury concern. Jed Spence is recovering from a shin injury but has already returned to training, so his comeback to the squad is expected soon.

    🔁 Update - 5 September, 11:40 UTC:

    • John Stones is set to make his first start for Inter. According to Corriere dello Sport, the new signing will play in a back three alongside Pavard and Bastoni.

    Napoli

    ❌ Napoli have a notably longer injury list. Alessandro Buongiorno continues to recover from a meniscus injury, while Luca Marianucci is out with a ligament injury. Giovane is recovering from a hernia, and Scott McTominay remains unavailable due to a health issue. Benoît Badiashile is also doubtful.

    ⚽️ Goals Prediction

    Matches between Inter and Napoli are interesting not only because of the quality of both squads and their title ambitions, but also because of the high scoring. In the last five head-to-head meetings, both teams have always scored at least one goal. In the upcoming match, neither side will want to give ground, and both have plenty of attacking potential. Both Teams to Score - Yes is worth considering at 2.05*.

    🚩 Corners Prediction

    In head-to-head meetings, Inter do not get to the corner flag all that often: in the last 14 Serie A matches between these two sides, the Milan club have never taken more than five corners. Napoli, meanwhile, are unlikely to spend the whole match sitting deep and simply clearing the ball. On that basis, Inter Milan Team Total Corners - Under 5.5 at 1.67* looks a reasonable option.

    🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction

    Although Inter and Napoli are always among the main title contenders, their head-to-head meetings are not always full of emotion and rough play. Last season, referees showed just five yellow cards across the two matches between these sides - three in Naples and two in Milan. With that in mind, Total Yellow Cards - Under 3.5 is worth a look.

    🚀 Player Statistics Bet

    Hakan Çalhanoğlu has looked very comfortable at the start of the season. The Turkish midfielder scored against Monza and then netted the winner against Cagliari, despite playing fewer than 65 minutes in both games. His well-struck long-range shot could be a serious weapon against Napoli's compact defence. Hakan Çalhanoğlu to Score is priced at 4.30*.

    😱 Risky Bet

    The match against Como showed that Napoli are still some way from their best. Inter are very confident at home and could take advantage of their opponents' current difficulties. If the Nerazzurri take control early and find their finishing, the match could end in a comfortable home win. Inter Milan - Handicap (-2) is available at 4.90*.

    🎯 Safe Bet

    If you prefer to keep the risk low, Inter Milan Not to Lose is priced at 1.20*. The Nerazzurri have been very assured in home matches against Napoli and have gone nine consecutive Serie A head-to-head meetings at their own ground without defeat against this opponent.

    👀 If the Match Goes Another Way

    Although the head-to-head record points towards a high-scoring game, the opposite scenario cannot be ruled out entirely. This summer Napoli appointed Massimiliano Allegri, who knows how to set up a cautious side and may look to defend deep away at Inter. If the score stays 0-0 for long enough, both teams will take fewer and fewer risks, and the likelihood of a high-scoring game will drop considerably. In that case, Total Goals - Under 1.5 at 3.50* becomes an interesting option.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Inter are considered clear favourites, but backing either side to win in such a high-profile match at the start of the season still carries risk - not all players have yet reached their best form. Defensive errors could appear at both ends, and there is enough attacking potential on both sides. Our editorial selection is therefore Both Teams to Score - Yes. We also expect a home win, with a scoreline of 2-1.

    Both Teams to Score – (Yes)
    MyBookie
    Place a bet-105
    Published: 03/09/2026, 22:02
    Insaf Gataulin
    Insaf Gataulin
    Football expert
    100
    1
    99
    200 predictions
    Statistics for October 2026

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    Betting Tips: Inter Milano - Napoli

    Napoli have drawn:
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in last 3 away games against Inter Milano (Serie A).
    Draw
    MyBookie
    +290
    Napoli have not lost:
    ssc-napoli-1in last 6 away games (Serie A).
    Napoli will not lose
    Everygame
    +128
    Inter Milano have not lost:
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in last 9 home games against Napoli (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in last 7 home games against Napoli.
    inter-milan-2in 27 of last 28 games (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2in last 14 games.
    inter-milan-2in last 13 home games (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2in last 8 home games.
    Inter Milano will not lose
    Everygame
    -667
    Inter Milano have scored under 2.5 goals:
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in 15 of last 16 home games against Napoli.
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in 14 of last 15 home games against Napoli (Serie A).
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in 9 of last 10 games against Napoli.
    inter-milan-2ssc-napoli-1in 8 of last 9 games against Napoli (Serie A).
    Inter Milano Total goals Under (2,5)
    Everygame
    -303
    View more facts

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    7 - Wins
    1 - Draw
    2 - Losses
    Wins - 4
    Draw - 1
    Losses - 5
    10 matches
    Scored - 26
    Conceded - 15
    +11
    +1
    15 - Scored
    14 - Conceded
    7
    Wins
    4
    1
    Draw
    1
    2
    Losses
    5
    Goal difference
    26
    Scored
    15
    15
    Conceded
    14
    4.1
    Average total per match
    2.9
    2.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.5
    1.5
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1.4
    7
    Both teams scored
    5
    35'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    60'
    View all stats