Genoa vs Como Prediction 4 September 2026
📢 The Serie A schedule has given Genoa and Como the honour of opening the third round of fixtures. The two sides have made very different starts to the season: the Griffins have lost both of their matches without scoring, while the Lariani have taken four points from six and beat Napoli away last week, 2-1. That said, Genoa at the Luigi Ferraris are no easy proposition, so the visitors will have to work hard to take all three points.
Head-to-Head
📊 Over the last 20 years, the two sides have met just six times, with all of those matches taking place from 2022 onwards. Como are unbeaten in this fixture: two wins and four draws. Last season, Fabregas's side dropped points at home, drawing 1-1, but were far more convincing away from home and won 2-0.
Head-to-head statistics Genoa - Como
Genoa Team Overview
🔴 Serie A's fixture list has shown Genoa no mercy, throwing them in against serious opponents from the very first rounds. The Griffins have already faced Napoli and Lazio, and now they come up against Como. After two rounds, Genoa are still without a point, and they have yet to score a single goal, looking very poor in attack throughout.
🔵 Last weekend the Genoa side travelled to Rome to face Lazio and lost 0-1. Despite the narrow margin, it would be hard to describe Genoa as close to a draw: shots were 8-15 and xG 0.56 against 1.15. The only area where they had a slight edge was possession - 54% to 46% - though that is largely explained by the fact that they conceded as early as the 23rd minute and were forced to push forward more after the break. It did not help much, though - the team never worked out how to break down the opposition defence and created no real goalscoring chances.
Match Results: Genoa
Como 1907 Team Overview
🔵 Como started the season by dropping points - they unexpectedly drew 1-1 with Udinese, and didn't look any better than their opponents in terms of football quality. Talk then began to emerge that Cesc Fàbregas's side would suffer a serious dip following last year's success. Perhaps that criticism only fired the team up, because in the second round they managed to beat Napoli away 2-1 as clear underdogs. With four points on the board ahead of the upcoming match, things look considerably calmer - another slip could have done real damage to the team's confidence.
⚪ Looking at the numbers, Como deserved that win. Despite being the away side, they played the more dominant game, holding 58% possession to Napoli's 42% and producing almost twice as many shots - 21 to 13 - with six on target compared to two. They dropped off a little in the second half, but that was understandable: they needed to protect the lead they had built before the break, and Fàbregas's side did exactly that.
Match Results: Como 1907
Latest news
Genoa
✅ Genoa have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of the third round and go into the match with a fully fit squad.
Como 1907
❌ Como's squad situation is also fairly settled. Their only absentee remains Jayden Addai, who is continuing his recovery from an Achilles tendon injury and is expected to return around mid-September.
⚽️ Goals Prediction
Head-to-head meetings between these two sides rarely produce many goals - in 5 of their last 6 matches, the teams have scored no more than two between them. In the upcoming fixture, Genoa will most likely sit back again against Como, who like to control possession. And Como had quite a few problems last season breaking down compact defences in positional play. So it makes sense to back Total Goals - Under 2.5 at odds of 1.69*.
🚩 Corners Prediction
In the first two rounds, Como have clearly outperformed their opponents in terms of corners. They won the corner count 10:1 against Udinese and 7:2 against Napoli. Both of those matches were played away from home, which makes the numbers even more telling. Como to win the corners at 1.50* looks a good option here.
🟨 Yellow Cards Prediction
Como have been very disciplined - in their first two matches of the new season, they have not received a single yellow card. The team look to control games through possession and have so far avoided picking up many fouls. Against that backdrop, backing Como Team Total Yellow Cards - Under 1.5 makes sense.
* Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.
⭐️ Editorial Prediction
The bookmakers make Como clear favourites for this match, and it's hard to disagree. Last weekend's win over Napoli showed any remaining sceptics that Cesc Fàbregas's side have not weakened after a successful previous season and are still capable of beating strong opponents. Add to that the head-to-head record, where Genoa have not beaten Como recently, along with the Griffins' poor start to the league campaign, and the choice looks obvious. Our main bet is a Como win. Expected score: 0-1.
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Betting Tips: Genoa - Como 1907
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Comparison of Teams Stats
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