Estoril Praia vs Arouca Prediction 7 September 2026

Details
The main thing

    🔊 Estoril go into this match in a difficult position, sitting second-bottom in the relegation zone, which makes every point feel significant even at this early stage of the season. Arouca have made a much stronger start and sit third, just six points off the top. The main contrast is between the visitors' productivity and consistency and the hosts' lack of cutting edge in attack. That makes this an important fixture for Estoril's survival ambitions and for Arouca's bid to hold their place among the leading sides.

    Head-to-Head

    📊 The two sides are roughly evenly matched in head-to-head meetings.

    Head-to-head statistics Estoril Praia - Arouca

    36%
    8 Wins
    23%
    5 Draws
    41%
    9 Wins
    Total games
    22
    Total Goals Avg
    3.14
    Both teams scored
    68%
    1.68
    Total average
    1.45
    Last matches
    06.04.26
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1.68
    0.96
    3
    3
    13
    18
    3
    2
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    0
    1.68
    0.96
    3
    3
    13
    18
    3
    2
    07.11.25
    Primeira Liga
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1.88
    1.01
    10
    2
    9
    13
    1
    1
    4
    3
    2
    2
    2
    1
    1.88
    1.01
    10
    2
    9
    13
    1
    1
    16.03.25
    Primeira Liga
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    0.8
    2.21
    3
    4
    14
    14
    0
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    0
    1
    0.8
    2.21
    3
    4
    14
    14
    0
    1
    26.10.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.21
    1.67
    6
    9
    18
    15
    4
    2
    4
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    2.21
    1.67
    6
    9
    18
    15
    4
    2
    20.01.24
    Примейра-лига
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Arouca
    Arouca
    -
    -
    7
    4
    16
    13
    3
    2
    1
    2
    1
    2
    0
    0
    -
    -
    7
    4
    16
    13
    3
    2
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Estoril Praia Team Overview

    Estoril are going through a prolonged slump, reflected in both their results and their attacking numbers. They have not won in their last four matches - three defeats and a draw - which shows how much they are struggling to pick up points even at this early stage of the season. They have consistent problems creating chances and converting them: the hosts have now failed to score more than one goal in ten consecutive matches, a run that stretches back to last season. Given their position in the relegation zone, the motivation to cut out mistakes is obvious, but their current attacking output makes a bet on a breakthrough unlikely.

    Match Results: Estoril Praia

    Last matches
    31.08.26
    liga portugal
    Benfica Lisbon
    Benfica Lisbon
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1.96
    0.34
    9
    0
    14
    12
    0
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    1.96
    0.34
    9
    0
    14
    12
    0
    1
    L
    22.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Rio Ave
    Rio Ave
    1.56
    0.7
    6
    3
    11
    14
    1
    1
    0
    2
    0
    1
    0
    1
    1.56
    0.7
    6
    3
    11
    14
    1
    1
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Nacional de Madeir
    Nacional de Madeir
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    1
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.08
    0.74
    7
    4
    13
    13
    2
    2
    L
    07.08.26
    liga portugal
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    Famalicao
    Famalicao
    0.87
    1.29
    7
    6
    12
    13
    1
    2
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    0.87
    1.29
    7
    6
    12
    13
    1
    2
    D
    31.07.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    CF Os Belenenses
    CF Os Belenenses
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    1
    1
    0
    1
    1
    0
    2
    4
    -
    -
    6
    2
    -
    -
    2
    0
    L
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Arouca Team Overview

    Aroka have made a confident start to the new season, winning three of their last four league matches. The team are showing stability and a decent balance between attack and defence, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. Their output on the road is noticeably more modest, though: Aroka have scored under 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight away Primeira Liga matches. The club are aiming to compete in the upper part of the table, but the gap to the leaders gives them room to pick up points without critical pressure, even at this early stage of the season.

    Match Results: Arouca

    Last matches
    29.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Maritimo Madeira
    Maritimo Madeira
    1.35
    0.98
    2
    3
    8
    9
    2
    1
    2
    1
    1
    1
    1
    0
    1.35
    0.98
    2
    3
    8
    9
    2
    1
    W
    23.08.26
    liga portugal
    Porto
    Porto
    Arouca
    Arouca
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    0
    2.72
    0.45
    12
    2
    16
    8
    1
    0
    L
    16.08.26
    liga portugal
    Arouca
    Arouca
    Moreirense
    Moreirense
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    4
    0
    3
    0
    1
    0
    1.72
    0.74
    5
    3
    10
    9
    3
    4
    W
    08.08.26
    liga portugal
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Vitoria SC Guimaraes
    Arouca
    Arouca
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    0
    1
    0
    0
    0
    1
    2.38
    0.31
    5
    2
    9
    7
    2
    3
    W
    01.08.26
    Club Friendly Games
    Lusitania
    Lusitania
    Arouca
    Arouca
    0
    2
    0
    0
    0
    2
    W
    Empty
    There are no events
    Add the matches you are interested in or Subscribe to a team, tournament or player.

    Correct Score Prediction

    According to the algorithm's calculations, the most likely outcomes are 0:1 (13.57%), 1:1 (12.37%) and 0:0 (11.51%). These options reflect a tendency towards low-scoring play and frequent minimal results, as well as a notable spread of probabilities with no single score clearly dominant.

    *Odds are indicative and may vary across different bookmakers.

    Match Result Prediction

    Estoril have gone 12 matches in a row without a win, a trend reflected in their overall season record and their home form alike. Arouca, meanwhile, have won 3 of their 4 matches this season, including one away from home. This points to a clear advantage for the visitors, and a bet on Arouca not to lose at 1.62* looks logical.

    ⭐ Editorial Prediction

    Both sides are having contrasting seasons, but the key factor here is the scoring trends. Estoril have failed to score more than one goal in ten consecutive matches, despite having strong motivation to climb the table. Arouca have shown consistency in terms of points and defensive solidity, but away from home they rarely score freely: fewer than 1.5 goals in seven of their last eight away matches points to a cautious approach on the road. Even accounting for the visitors' recent positive results, the statistics suggest limited attacking output in this type of fixture. The bet is Arouca Team Total - Under 1.5.
    Arouca Total goals Under (1,5)
    Published: 05/09/2026, 07:04
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Yaroslav Saplenkov
    Snooker and football expert
    38
    0
    29
    67 predictions
    Statistics for September 2026

    Will this prediction come true?

    Total votes cast: 0

    No comments

    Minimum 20 characters, maximum 500 characters

    Betting Tips: Estoril Praia - Arouca

    Arouca have drawn in the 1st half:
    fc-aroucain 6 of last 7 away games (Primeira Liga).
    1st Half Draw
    Bovada
    +128
    Estoril Praia have lost the 1st half:
    gd-estoril-praia-1in 6 of last 7 games (Primeira Liga).
    1st Half Arouca Win
    Bovada
    +255
    Estoril Praia have lost:
    gd-estoril-praia-1in 5 of last 6 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Arouca Win
    Bovada
    +195
    Estoril Praia have not won:
    gd-estoril-praia-1in last 12 games (Primeira Liga).
    gd-estoril-praia-1in last 7 home games (Primeira Liga).
    Arouca will not lose
    -161
    View more facts

    Estoril Praia - Arouca Table position

    Liga Portugal 26/27
    gWDLGDPForm
    3.
    Sporting Lisbon
    Sporting Lisbon
    431012-510
    4.
    Arouca
    Arouca
    43017-39
    5.
    Santa Clara Azores
    Santa Clara Azores
    42205-38
    16.
    Alverca
    Alverca
    50235-102
    17.
    Estoril Praia
    Estoril Praia
    40132-71
    18.
    Casa Pia
    Casa Pia
    40040-110

    Comparison of Teams Stats

    10 matches
    0 - Wins
    3 - Draws
    7 - Loses
    Wins - 6
    Draw - 1
    Loses - 3
    10 matches
    Scored - 6
    Conceded - 17
    -11
    +7
    17 - Scored
    10 - Conceded
    0
    Wins
    6
    3
    Draws
    1
    7
    Loses
    3
    Goal difference
    6
    Scored
    17
    17
    Conceded
    10
    2.3
    Match goals average
    2.7
    0.6
    Goals scored per match on average
    1.7
    1.7
    Goals conceded per match on average
    1
    6
    Both teams scored
    5
    150'
    Minutes / Goal scored
    53'
    View all stats